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Weekly Earnings RecapPGINTCINTC

Intel’s Earnings Shock Steals the Week

April 25, 20269 min read
Intel’s Earnings Shock Steals the Week

Key Takeaway

This week’s earnings showed that investors are still rewarding execution over narrative, with Intel delivering the biggest upside shock and Newmont, Thermo Fisher, Union Pacific and Procter & Gamble also posting solid beats. The takeaway for investors is clear: companies that pair earnings strength with visible operating momentum are getting the market’s attention, while even premium names like American Express can lag after a good quarter.

This week’s earnings told a simple story: execution still wins, but the market paid most for proof. Intel(INTC), Newmont(NEM), American Express(AXP), Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO), Union Pacific(UNP), and Procter & Gamble(PG) all posted solid quarterly results, yet the sharpest stock moves followed companies that paired headline beats with a clear operating narrative.

Across semis, payments, healthcare tools, railroads, mining, and staples, the pattern was consistent. Strong demand, pricing discipline, and selective investment mattered more than broad macro hand-wringing, though a few stocks still showed that a good quarter and a good stock reaction are not always the same thing.

Key Takeaways

Intel(INTC) delivered one of the week’s biggest surprises, with Q1 EPS of $0.29 vs. a $0.01897 estimate, and the stock jumped 23.6% to $82.54.

Newmont(NEM) posted Q1 EPS of $2.90 vs. a $2.07 estimate, and shares climbed 8.68% as higher commodity prices and cost discipline drove margin expansion and free cash flow.

American Express(AXP) beat on EPS at $4.28 vs. $4.00 and reaffirmed 2026 guidance, but the stock slipped 1.43% to $314, a reminder that strong results do not always lift a premium multiple.

Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO), Union Pacific(UNP), and Procter & Gamble(PG) each beat EPS estimates, showing that steady operators still have room to outperform through pricing, execution, and broad-based demand.

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Analyst sentiment stayed constructive on most names this week, with Buy consensuses on PG, TMO, UNP, and NEM, while Intel and American Express carried Hold consensuses despite their earnings beats.

Intel (INTC)

Intel(INTC) reported Q1 2026 earnings on April 23 and delivered the cleanest upside shock of the group. Actual EPS came in at $0.29, far above the $0.01897 estimate. The stock responded with a 23.6% surge to $82.54, adding $15.76 in a single session while volume reached 279.1M shares versus an average of 102.7M.

The company did not provide a revenue figure here, but management said revenue, gross margin, and EPS all finished above the high end of guidance. That matters because it frames the quarter as more than a one-line beat. Lip-Bu Tan said demand continues to run ahead of supply across the business, with especially strong momentum in Xeon server CPUs. He also said Intel 3-based Xeon 6 and Intel 18A-based Core Series 3 products are in full volume production ramp, each marking the fastest new product ramp in five years.

In plain English, Intel is no longer selling only a turnaround story. It is showing operating traction. The market treated that distinction seriously. A company with a Hold analyst consensus can still rip higher when execution outruns skepticism, and that is exactly what happened here. Intel still has 45 Hold ratings and 9 Sell ratings against 29 Buy ratings, so the Street has not fully capitulated to the bull case.

The most important forward signal was management’s emphasis on sustained demand this year and next, especially in server CPUs, alongside factory output expansion. That combination matters because demand strength without supply is just a backlog with good manners. Intel’s message this quarter was that supply is improving while demand remains ahead of it.

American Express (AXP)

American Express(AXP) also reported on April 23 and posted a strong quarter, even if the stock reaction was muted. Q1 EPS came in at $4.28 vs. the $4.00 estimate. CEO Stephen Squeri said revenue grew 11%, or 10% on an FX-adjusted basis, while card member spending rose 10%, the highest quarterly growth in three years.

That spending backdrop is the core of the story. American Express is still seeing healthy demand across goods, services, and travel and entertainment. The company also said U.S. Platinum spending accelerated after the portfolio refresh, while Millennial and Gen Z spending remained robust. More than 70% of new accounts globally were on fee-paying products, and international billings rose at a double-digit pace for the 20th straight quarter on an FX-adjusted basis.

Even so, the stock fell 1.43% to $314. That kind of move usually says less about the quarter itself and more about the bar investors had already set. AXP trades at 19.6 times earnings, and the market often demands more than a beat from premium financial franchises. It wants upside that changes the slope of the story, not just confirms it.

Analyst sentiment remains cautious, with a Hold consensus made up of 21 Buy, 32 Hold, and 4 Sell ratings. Still, management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance for 9% to 10% revenue growth and EPS of $17.30 to $17.90. That reaffirmation, paired with increased investment in marketing and technology, says American Express is leaning into growth rather than protecting near-term optics.

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Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

Thermo Fisher Scientific(TMO) reported Q1 results on April 23 and beat expectations with EPS of $5.44 vs. $5.25 estimated. Shares rose 0.64% to $469.71. The move was modest, but the quarter itself looked steady and well controlled.

Management described the period as a strong start to the year and said end markets are progressing in line with expectations. Thermo Fisher also highlighted the completed acquisition of Clario, tying the quarter to its broader growth strategy. That is a familiar TMO playbook: use scale, tuck in capabilities, and keep the machine running with very little drama. On Wall Street, boring can be beautiful when margins and execution hold.

The stock reaction was restrained, likely because Thermo Fisher remains below both its 50-day average of $499.29 and 200-day average of $525.62. In other words, the quarter helped, but it did not fully reset sentiment. Still, the analyst backdrop remains favorable. TMO carries a Buy consensus with 38 Buy ratings and 4 Hold ratings, with no Sell ratings listed.

The important takeaway from this report is consistency. Thermo Fisher did not need a flashy quarter. It needed to show that its end markets were stable, its strategy was intact, and its acquisition engine was still adding capability. It did all three.

Union Pacific (UNP)

Union Pacific(UNP) reported on April 23 and delivered another example of industrial discipline paying off. Adjusted Q1 EPS came in at $2.93 vs. a $2.86 estimate. Management also said operating revenue rose 3% to $6.2B, while freight revenue increased 4% to $5.9B even though volume fell 1%.

That mix tells the story. Union Pacific offset lower volume with pricing, business mix, and fuel surcharge revenue. CFO Jennifer Hamann said core pricing combined with business mix added 325 basis points to freight revenue improvement, and pricing dollars exceeded inflation dollars. For a railroad, that is the operating equivalent of keeping the engine efficient while hauling a mixed load.

CEO Jim Vena called the quarter a record first quarter, citing $1.7B in reported net income, reported EPS of $2.87, and an adjusted operating ratio of 59.9%, an 80 basis point improvement. Those are hard numbers, and they explain why analysts remain constructive. UNP carries a Buy consensus with 1 Strong Buy, 27 Buy, 18 Hold, and 1 Sell rating.

Still, the stock slipped 0.94% to $268.70. That mild decline looks more like profit-taking than a rejection of the quarter. Shares entered the report near the top of their 52-week range, with a year high of $274.79. When a stock is already priced for competence, even record results can get a shrug.

Newmont (NEM)

Newmont(NEM) reported on April 23 and delivered one of the strongest earnings beats of the week. Q1 EPS came in at $2.90 vs. a $2.07 estimate. The stock climbed 8.68% to $120.70, up $9.64 on the day.

Management framed the quarter around operational consistency, cost discipline, and leverage to higher commodity prices. CEO Natascha Viljoen said the company is on track to achieve 2026 guidance and highlighted margin expansion and robust free cash flow generation. She also pointed to a new $6B share repurchase authorization, alongside the quarterly dividend and ongoing buybacks.

That matters because miners often get trapped between commodity price strength and operational noise. Newmont showed both the upside and the messier reality. The company discussed the April 14 earthquake near Cadia, but said there were no injuries, surface infrastructure was undamaged, underground power and dewatering systems were restored, and repairs had begun after regulatory approval. The market looked through the disruption because the broader earnings and cash flow picture stayed intact.

Analyst sentiment is supportive, with a Buy consensus based on 27 Buy and 9 Hold ratings. The stock now sits above both its 50-day average of $114.77 and 200-day average of $94.41, which shows how sharply the market has rewarded gold producers with clean execution and capital returns.

Procter & Gamble (PG)

Procter & Gamble(PG) reported on April 24 and posted Q3 fiscal 2026 EPS of $1.59 vs. a $1.56 estimate. Shares rose 1.65% to $148.11, up $2.40, with trading volume of 13.5M shares versus an average of 10.7M.

The quarter’s main feature was broad-based organic growth. CFO Andre Schulten said organic sales increased more than 3%, with volume up 2 points, pricing up 1 point, and mix flat. All 10 product categories grew organic sales, and all 7 regions posted organic sales growth. North America organic sales rose 4%, while Greater China organic sales grew 3% despite what management called a challenging consumer environment.

That is the kind of report investors want from a staples giant. Nothing heroic, nothing fragile, just a wide base of demand and enough pricing power to protect the model. Management also said the company remains on track to deliver within its fiscal 2026 guidance ranges, even with incremental business investment and energy cost impacts tied to the conflict in the Middle East.

PG carries a Buy analyst consensus, with 28 Buy ratings, 23 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell rating. The stock remains close to both its 50-day and 200-day averages near $150.9, which fits the market’s view of P&G as a steady compounder rather than a momentum trade. This quarter reinforced that identity.

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Other Earnings

ServiceNow(NOW): Technology, Software - Application, reported April 22 after market close.

Moody’s(MCO): Financial Services, Financial Data & Stock Exchanges, reported April 22 after market close.

United Rentals(URI): Industrials, Rental & Leasing Services, reported April 22 after market close.

Waste Connections(WCN): Industrials, Waste Management, reported April 22 after market close.

Comcast(CMCSA): Communication Services, Telecom Services, reported April 23 after market close.

Freeport-McMoRan(FCX): Basic Materials, Copper, reported April 23 after market close.

Edwards Lifesciences(EW): Healthcare, Medical Devices, reported April 23 after market close.

CBRE Group(CBRE): Real Estate, Real Estate Services, reported April 23 before market open.

PulteGroup(PHM): Consumer Cyclical, Residential Construction, reported April 23 before market open.

This week’s earnings recap came down to credibility. Intel and Newmont delivered the biggest upside jolts, while American Express, Thermo Fisher, Union Pacific, and Procter & Gamble showed that disciplined operators can still put up strong numbers in very different sectors.

The broader lesson is straightforward. Markets rewarded companies that paired earnings beats with visible demand, pricing power, or margin control. In a noisy tape, that kind of evidence still cuts through.

Frequently Asked Questions

+Why did Intel stock jump after earnings?

Intel reported Q1 EPS of $0.29, far above the $0.01897 estimate, and said revenue, gross margin, and EPS all beat the high end of guidance. Investors also reacted to management’s message that demand is running ahead of supply and that key products are ramping in volume.

+Why did American Express fall even though it beat earnings?

American Express posted Q1 EPS of $4.28 versus the $4.00 estimate and reaffirmed full-year guidance, but the stock still slipped 1.43%. That usually means the market had already priced in a strong quarter and wanted a bigger change in the growth outlook.

+Which companies beat earnings this week?

Intel, Newmont, American Express, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Union Pacific, and Procter & Gamble all reported quarterly results that topped EPS estimates. The strongest stock reaction came from Intel, while the others saw more modest moves.

+What was the main theme of this week’s earnings reports?

The main theme was that execution mattered more than broad macro concerns. Companies with strong demand, pricing power, and clear operating progress were rewarded most by investors.

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