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▌Research Report·July 28, 2026

Credicorp Ltd. (BAP): Yape Drives a Buy Case

Credicorp earns a Buy on strong 1Q26 earnings, high returns, and accelerating Yape monetization. Valuation and Peru concentration keep the stock from a stronger rating.

Research ReportBAPFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalBanking
By TickerSpark·July 28, 2026·18 min read
Credicorp Ltd. (BAP): Yape Drives a Buy Case

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B+
Overall
A-
Balance Sheet
A-
Income
B+
Estimates
B
Valuation
TickerSpark AI RatingBuy
▌Investment Summary
Credicorp Ltd. (BAP) looks like a good investment right now, earning an overall grade of B+ and a Buy. The stock is supported by 1Q26 net income growth of 16.1%, a 21.1% ROE, and Yape's rapid monetization, while our fair value is $405.

Thesis

Credicorp Ltd. (BAP) earns a Buy rating for moderate-risk investors with a medium-term horizon. The core case rests on a strong 1Q26: net income attributable to Credicorp reached S/2.1B, up 16.1% year over year, while ROE reached 21.1%. Loans grew 8.2%, the NPL ratio fell to 4.3%, and cost of risk stood at 1.3%. Those figures show a bank growing without abandoning credit discipline.

BAP also has a second engine in Yape. The digital platform reached 16.4 million monthly active users, generated 67 transactions per user per month, and produced 80% year-over-year growth in revenue-generating payment volume. Lending revenue grew 3.6x year over year. This gives Credicorp a credible path to shift part of its earnings mix toward recurring fees, payments, and data-driven lending.

The main restraint is valuation and country concentration. At the quoted price of $331.94, BAP trades at 14.9x trailing earnings and 12.6x forward earnings. The PEG ratio of 4.6 is less forgiving, while Peru faces 4.0% inflation, political uncertainty, and a macro outlook tilted to the downside. The balance of strong execution, high returns, and these risks supports a Buy rather than a Strong Buy.

Company Overview

Founded in 1889 and headquartered in Lima, Credicorp is a financial holding company centered on Peru. Its operating footprint includes Peru, Bolivia, Colombia, Chile, Panama, the United States, Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, and Mexico. The company had 51,509 employees and trades on the NYSE under BAP.

The portfolio spans universal banking through Banco de Crédito del Perú, or BCP, microfinance through Mibanco, insurance and medical services through Grupo Pacífico, pensions through Prima AFP, and investment management and advisory through Credicorp Capital. The May 2026 1Q26 Corporate Presentation assigns 79.9% of earnings contribution to Universal Banking, 10.8% to Insurance and Pensions, 7.4% to Microfinance, and 1.9% to Investment Management and Advisory.

▌Common Questions

Frequently asked questions

+Is BAP stock a buy right now?
Yes. Credicorp is a Buy because 1Q26 showed strong earnings growth, a 21.1% ROE, and improving credit quality with the NPL ratio down to 4.3%. Yape is also scaling quickly, giving the bank a credible second growth engine beyond traditional lending.
+What is BAP's fair value?
Credicorp's fair value is $405. We get there by weighing its 14.9x trailing earnings and 12.6x forward earnings against strong 1Q26 execution, a 21.1% ROE, and the growing contribution from Yape, while still discounting for Peru concentration and macro risk.
+Why did Credicorp get a Buy instead of a Strong Buy?
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The scale is substantial. The annual financial statements report 2025 assets of $267.3B, revenue of $28.9B, operating income of $9.9B, and net income of $6.9B. The 1Q26 presentation reports total assets of S/278.5B as of March 2026. BCP remains the economic center of gravity, while the other platforms add fee income, customer reach, and diversification.

Business Segment Deep Dive

Universal Banking is the primary earnings engine. BCP reported S/128.1B of loans in 1Q26, with a portfolio mix of 55% retail and 45% wholesale. BCP generated a 30.5% ROE, a 6.0% NIM, and a 38.6% efficiency ratio. Loan growth reached 7.3% year over year in reported terms and 9.1% on an FX-neutral basis.

Mibanco supplies a higher-yield microfinance platform. Its loans reached S/14.1B, up 12.4% year over year, while ROE reached 21.7% and NIM reached 14.9%. The NPL ratio fell to 4.9%, an all-time low for the business. Management also reported 21.7% profitability at Mibanco and 18.3% profitability at Mibanco Colombia.

Grupo Pacífico produced an 18.9% ROE in 1Q26. Organic net income rose 11% year over year, led by the Life business and bank assurance, while the Property and Casualty business faced lower commercial premiums. Including the full consolidation of Pacífico Salud, consolidated net income rose 19% year over year. Investment Management and Advisory delivered a 15.7% ROE, with wealth management assets under management up 28% and asset management assets under management up 34%.

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Flagship Product Analysis

Yape is Credicorp's flagship digital product and its clearest growth catalyst. The platform had 16.4 million monthly active users in 1Q26, reaching approximately 82% of Peru's economically active population. Users transacted 67 times per month, and Yape recorded a net promoter score of 77.

The economics are moving in the right direction. Revenue per monthly active user rose 65% year over year, while expenses per user rose 26%. Payments represented 47% of Yape revenue, revenue-generating payment volume increased 80%, and lending revenue grew 3.6x. More than 5.7 million loans were disbursed through the platform in 2026, using digital underwriting and proprietary transaction data.

Yape represented 17% of group fee income and 8% of group risk-adjusted revenue in 1Q26. That contribution remains smaller than BCP's, but the direction matters. A scaled payments network can lower customer acquisition friction and create repeated opportunities to sell credit, insurance, and other financial products. The product is no longer merely a wallet; it is becoming a distribution layer for the wider Credicorp ecosystem.

Innovation & Competitive Advantage

Credicorp's innovation strategy combines a large installed customer base with digital distribution. Effective April 1, 2026, the neobank unit brought together Yape and Eo in Peru, Tenpo in Chile, and Yape in Bolivia under a common umbrella led by Raimundo Morales. Management identified payments and lending as the main expansion areas.

The innovation portfolio generated 9% of risk-adjusted revenue in 1Q26, moving toward management's 10% year-end target. Operating expenses for the innovation portfolio rose 40% and were led by Yape, Tenpo, and Culqi. That spending is meaningful, but Yape's 65% increase in revenue per user versus a 26% rise in expenses per user provides evidence of improving operating leverage.

The 1Q26 transcript also records the appointment of three new directors with expertise in technology and artificial intelligence, financial and regulatory oversight, and strategic execution. That board refresh aligns with the company's shift toward data, digital platforms, and cross-subsidiary analytics.

Operations & Supply Chain

A bank has no conventional product supply chain. Its operating chain runs through deposits, underwriting, payment infrastructure, risk controls, branches, cloud systems, and digital channels. Credicorp's 1Q26 results show strength in the funding and distribution links: low-cost deposits represented 63.9% of the funding base, while group efficiency stood at 45.8%.

The technology investment is visible in the cost line. BCP operating expenses rose 15.1%, driven mainly by Yape's cloud infrastructure, information technology services, marketing, consulting, and personnel for commercial and technology projects. BCP's efficiency ratio was 38.6%, while Mibanco's improved to 49.2% despite spending on digital transformation.

This is a strategic tradeoff rather than a simple cost problem. Cloud and technology expenses raise near-term operating costs, but Yape's user scale, higher revenue per user, and growing lending activity provide measurable evidence that the investment is producing a larger distribution platform.

Market Analysis

Peru remains an attractive market for financial inclusion. SBS data cited in the industry context show that 67% of Peruvian adults had a bank account or digital wallet by 2025, up from 42% in 2020. The same data show that nine out of ten digital financial-service users use a digital wallet and roughly three-quarters use one daily.

The formal financial system is still expanding. Credicorp's filings identify 72% of Peru's 17 million economically active people as lacking formal employment, while Latin America has 46% of people without a bank account and 70% of small and medium-sized enterprises without a payment solution. Those figures support demand for low-cost accounts, payments, microcredit, and digital underwriting.

BCP's scale gives Credicorp a strong starting position. The 2025 20-F ranks BCP first among Peruvian multiple banks by assets, deposits, and loans. Peru's multiple-banking deposits totaled S/394.5B at year-end 2025. The opportunity is not simply to add accounts; it is to increase products per customer through payments, credit, insurance, pensions, and investment services.

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Customer Profile

Credicorp serves a wide customer spectrum. BCP covers retail customers, small and medium-sized enterprises, large corporates, and wholesale clients. Mibanco focuses on microenterprises and small businesses. Pacífico serves retail, corporate, Life, Property and Casualty, and medical customers. Credicorp Capital serves corporations, institutional investors, governments, and foundations.

Yape gives the group unusual reach among digitally active customers and the underbanked. Its 16.4 million monthly active users and approximately 82% coverage of Peru's economically active population create a large funnel for payments and small loans. Credit penetration was approximately 30% of Yape monthly active users, leaving a substantial portion of the installed base outside the lending product.

The customer advantage is frequency. Yape users transact 67 times per month, while payment volume grew 80% year over year. Frequent activity generates data that can support customer targeting, fraud controls, and credit decisions. The model also supports cross-selling from a low-cost payment relationship into higher-value banking products.

Competitive Landscape

The main large-bank competitors in Peru are BBVA Perú, Interbank, and Scotiabank Perú. BBVA Perú held approximately 21.9% of loans and 21.0% of deposits according to a Credicorp Capital investor guide. Interbank is generally the third-largest large bank, while Scotiabank competes in corporate, consumer, and treasury products.

Credicorp's advantage is breadth combined with scale. BCP ranks first in Peruvian assets, deposits, and loans, while the group also owns material insurance, pensions, microfinance, and investment-management operations. That mix gives BAP more cross-selling options than a pure-play bank, although it also exposes the company to more operating businesses.

Competition is not standing still. Credicorp's filings cite intense competition from foreign banks that can access lower-cost parent funding. Fintechs and payment platforms compete for digital engagement, while BTG Pactual received SBS authorization in January 2026 to establish a banking entity in Peru, subject to remaining licensing requirements. BAP's response is scale, a large deposit base, Yape engagement, and a broader product ecosystem.

Macro & Geopolitical Landscape

Management maintained its 2026 Peru GDP growth expectation at approximately 3.5%, although recent indicators were tracking closer to 3.2% and the risk balance had shifted downward. Domestic demand remained stronger, growing above 4% in management's discussion and more than 5% year over year for a sixth consecutive quarter in the CFO's review. Copper was trading near $66.50 per pound, supporting Peru's export backdrop.

Inflation is the immediate macro constraint. Peru's annual inflation reached 4.0% in April, driven mainly by transportation, energy, and food. Management said tighter monetary conditions could persist, while the Central Bank expects inflation to return to its target range and converge toward 2% next year. Higher rates can support asset yields, but they can also pressure borrower affordability and credit demand.

Regional exposure adds another layer of risk. Colombia's inflation reached 5.6% in March after a 23% minimum-wage increase, and its central bank raised rates by 200 basis points since December. Chile reported 4.0% inflation in April and a 4.5% policy rate. In Peru, presidential elections and a possible interventionist policy platform could create short-term market volatility, although management pointed to the Senate and constitutional safeguards as constraints on major policy shifts.

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have raised energy prices and interest-rate uncertainty. Peru also faced localized energy disruption, adverse weather, and possible El Niño effects. These risks argue for a moderate position size even though BAP's 0.84 beta has historically implied lower volatility than the broader market.

Balance Sheet Health

▌Premium Members Only

Credicorp's 2025 balance sheet shows $267.3B in assets, while 1Q26 loan growth of 8.2% and an NPL ratio of 4.3% point to disciplined expansion.

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Income Statement Strength

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Net income attributable to Credicorp rose 16.1% year over year to S/2.1B in 1Q26, with ROE reaching 21.1% and cost of risk holding at 1.3%.

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Estimates Outlook

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Management is still aiming for Yape and the broader innovation portfolio to reach 10% of risk-adjusted revenue, after 1Q26 came in at 9%.

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Valuation Assessment

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At $331.94, BAP trades at 14.9x trailing earnings, 12.6x forward earnings, and a 4.6 PEG, leaving valuation less forgiving than the operating momentum.

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Target Prices & Recommendation

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The report's price framework places BAP at $405 for Hold, with stronger upside only above $440 and downside protection below $330.

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Closing

Credicorp combines the qualities of a mature bank and an emerging digital platform. The mature side produced S/2.1B of 1Q26 net income, a 21.1% ROE, 8.2% loan growth, and a 4.3% NPL ratio. The digital side produced 16.4 million monthly active users, 80% payment-volume growth, and 3.6x growth in lending revenue.

The investment case is strongest when those two sides reinforce each other. BCP's deposits and brand support distribution, while Yape creates higher-frequency customer relationships and new underwriting data. Mibanco, Pacífico, Prima AFP, and Credicorp Capital then widen the cross-sell opportunity beyond traditional lending.

A Buy rating is appropriate at current levels, with a preference for gradual accumulation rather than an oversized position. The balance sheet, profitability, and competitive position are strong, but the valuation already reflects much of the recent improvement. The most attractive long-term outcome comes from continued asset-quality gains, disciplined retail-loan growth, and Yape converting scale into durable fee income.

Credicorp's operating performance is strong enough for a Buy, but valuation and country risk keep it from a stronger call. At $331.94, the stock already reflects much of the earnings momentum, and Peru's political and macro backdrop adds caution.
+How important is Yape to Credicorp's growth?
Yape is becoming a major growth catalyst, with 16.4 million monthly active users, 67 transactions per user per month, and 80% year-over-year growth in revenue-generating payment volume. Revenue per user rose 65% while lending revenue grew 3.6x, showing real monetization progress.
+What are the main risks for BAP stock?
The biggest risks are valuation and Peru concentration. BAP trades at 14.9x trailing earnings and 12.6x forward earnings, while Peru still faces 4.0% inflation, political uncertainty, and a macro outlook tilted to the downside.
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