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▌Research Report·September 23, 2026

Credicorp (BAP): Digital Growth Meets Banking Scale

Credicorp combines Peru’s dominant banking franchise with fast-growing digital monetization from Yape and improving asset quality. The stock looks attractive on a Buy rating, though El Niño-related credit risk keeps the setup from being a pure momentum story.

Research ReportBAPFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalBanking
By TickerSpark·September 23, 2026·18 min read

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Credicorp (BAP): Digital Growth Meets Banking Scale
B+
Overall
A-
Balance Sheet
B+
Income
B+
Estimates
B
Valuation
TickerSpark AI RatingBuy
▌Investment Summary
Credicorp (BAP) looks like a good investment right now, earning an overall grade of B+ and a Buy rating. The shares combine a dominant Peruvian banking franchise, rising digital monetization, and improving credit trends, while our fair value is $420.

Thesis

Credicorp Ltd. (BAP) offers a strong medium-term banking compounder with a dominant Peruvian franchise, improving asset quality, a growing digital ecosystem, and a forward P/E of 10.1x. The investment case rests on BCP's deposit and lending scale, Mibanco's microfinance reach, Yape's rising monetization, and management's increased medium-term ROE objective of approximately 22%.

The latest operating data support that thesis. Second-quarter 2026 ROE was 20.3%, loans increased 13.1% year over year, deposits rose 17.7%, and the NPL ratio improved to 4.1%. Net income attributable to Credicorp reached approximately S/2.0B, up 8.8% year over year. The company also raised 2026 loan-growth guidance to around 12% and reaffirmed ROE guidance of approximately 19.5%.

The risk is not hidden. El Niño-related provisions added approximately $106M in the second quarter, and management identified roughly 9% of total loans as directly exposed to potentially affected clients. The shares also trade above the 200-day moving average of $345.20, which reflects a meaningful recovery from the 52-week low of $219.84. For a moderate-risk investor, BAP merits a Buy rather than an aggressive accumulation rating because the business is strong while the stock already reflects part of that strength.

Company Overview

Founded in 1889 and headquartered in Lima, Credicorp is a financial holding company centered on Peru, with additional operations in Chile, Colombia, Bolivia, Panama, Bermuda, the Cayman Islands, Mexico, and the United States. The group employs approximately 52,770 people and trades on the NYSE under the symbol BAP.

The company operates through four principal lines: Universal Banking, Insurance and Pensions, Microfinance, and Investment Banking and Advisory. Banco de Crédito del Perú, or BCP, is the economic anchor. BCP represented 76.1% of Credicorp's total assets and 66.6% of equity attributable to Credicorp at year-end 2024, making BAP's holding-company economics heavily dependent on the quality of its Peruvian banking franchise.

▌Common Questions

Frequently asked questions

+Is BAP stock a buy right now?
Yes, BAP is a Buy right now. Credicorp’s dominant Peruvian banking franchise, improving asset quality, and growing digital ecosystem support the case, even though El Niño-related provisions and exposed loans add some near-term risk.
+What is BAP's fair value?
Credicorp’s fair value is $420. We get there by weighing its 10.1x forward P/E, strong medium-term ROE profile near 22%, and the market’s willingness to pay for a dominant deposit franchise with improving Yape monetization and credit quality.
+How strong is Credicorp's balance sheet?
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Credicorp's 2025 annual figures show revenue of $28.9B, operating income of $10.0B, and net income of $6.9B. The company also reported $36.6B of equity and $267.3B of assets at December 2025. Its structure gives investors exposure to traditional banking, insurance, pensions, microfinance, payments, wealth management, and capital markets through one platform.

Business Segment Deep Dive

Universal Banking is the primary earnings engine. BCP's second-quarter ROE reached 29.2%, while total BCP loans grew 10.9% year over year, or 12.2% on an FX-neutral basis. BCP's NPL ratio fell to 3.9%, and its risk-adjusted NIM was 5.2%. Those figures combine scale, pricing power, and improving credit performance.

Mibanco adds a higher-yield microfinance platform with a different risk profile. Its second-quarter loans increased 15% year over year, NIM reached 15.2%, and the NPL ratio declined to a record-low 4.8%. Quarterly ROE was 22.9%. The tradeoff is a higher cost of risk, which stood at 5.1% during the quarter, although that figure declined 24 basis points year over year.

Insurance and Pensions provide fee and underwriting diversification. Grupo Pacífico delivered quarterly ROE of 19.1%, with the Life business leading net income contribution. The P&C business faced weaker underwriting results because of higher claims, while Corporate Health benefited from stronger premium production. Pacífico held a 25.2% consolidated share of Peru's insurance market in 2025.

Investment Banking and Wealth Management delivered quarterly ROE of 23.5%. Assets under management increased 44%, or 30% excluding acquired assets, and capital markets benefited from higher trading activity during market volatility. This segment is smaller than BCP but adds recurring asset-management income and transaction-driven revenue.

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Flagship Product Analysis

Yape is Credicorp's flagship digital ecosystem. The platform had 16.7 million monthly active users in the first half of 2026, with users transacting approximately 69 times per month. Yape's reported NPS was 78, revenue per monthly active user was S/11.1, and its contribution to Credicorp's risk-adjusted revenue reached 8.9%.

Usage is translating into monetization. Revenue-generating payment transactions reached 364 million in the second quarter, up from 257 million a year earlier. Lending disbursed clients reached 6.4 million, compared with 3.9 million a year earlier. The presentation showed Yape revenue mix of 52% from lending, 45% from payments, and 3% from e-commerce.

The strategic value of Yape goes beyond its direct revenue. About one-third of monthly active users had loan penetration, leaving room to cross-sell credit, payments, insurance, and other financial products. The platform also generates transaction data that can improve customer engagement and credit decisions. Yape is no longer merely an experimental digital wallet; its 9.9% contribution to risk-adjusted revenue makes it a material part of the group.

Innovation & Competitive Advantage

Credicorp's advantage comes from combining a large incumbent bank with digital distribution. BCP held 41.4% of Peru's low-cost deposits in June 2026, while the group served 19.7 million BCP clients. That funding base gives Credicorp a lower-cost source of liquidity than a standalone fintech or niche lender.

Management reported that the innovation portfolio contributed 9.9% of risk-adjusted revenue in the second quarter and targets approximately 10% for 2026. The portfolio includes Yape, Tenpo, Culqi, acquiring services, wealth technology, insurance technology, SME services, and neobank initiatives. Management also said investments in technology, data, and talent are creating a more scalable operating model.

The moat is therefore layered rather than dependent on one product. BCP supplies deposits and reach, Yape increases engagement, Mibanco extends the customer funnel into microfinance, and insurance and wealth products create cross-selling opportunities. The result is a financial ecosystem with more ways to monetize a customer relationship than a conventional single-line bank.

Operations & Supply Chain

For a bank, the operating infrastructure is the equivalent of a supply chain. Credicorp depends on deposits, payment rails, technology, branch and digital distribution, data systems, risk controls, and trained personnel rather than physical inventory. In 2025, BCP processed more than 1.16 billion monetary transactions through mobile banking, up from 811.8 million in 2024.

The second-quarter efficiency ratio was 45.4%, and first-half efficiency was reported within guidance at 45.6%. Operating expenses increased 13.5% year over year, driven by core BCP investments in information technology, cloud infrastructure, commercial capabilities, and the innovation portfolio. This spending raises near-term costs but supports greater digital scale.

Operational risk is concentrated in credit quality and regional disruption. El Niño affected fishing, agriculture, and related activities in northern Peru, leading to approximately $106M of additional provisions in the second quarter. Credicorp's response includes enhanced collections, earlier identification of vulnerable borrowers, and digital communication with customers. The NPL coverage ratio reached 117.3%, providing a substantial reserve cushion.

Market Analysis

Credicorp operates in a Peruvian financial market with significant room for formal credit, payments, insurance, and investment products. BCP's loan market share was 34.97% on a standalone basis at the end of 2025, and market share including Mibanco was approximately 37%. That scale gives BAP a strong starting position as domestic demand and private investment recover.

The disclosed growth pools are broad. Credicorp identified an SME loan opportunity of S/26B, an annual payments revenue pool of approximately S/1.4B, and more than 18 million individual BCP clients. Bancassurance premiums grew from S/378M in 2021 to S/750M in 2024, with management targeting S/1.6B by 2028.

Digital competition is increasing, but the market structure favors scaled incumbents that can combine trust, funding, and technology. Credicorp's 16.7 million Yape monthly active users and BCP's 41.4% low-cost deposit share show that BAP is participating in digital growth from a position of distribution strength rather than trying to buy customers from scratch.

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Customer Profile

Credicorp serves a wide customer spectrum. BCP covers retail consumers, small and medium-sized businesses, corporate borrowers, and government-related financial activity. Mibanco focuses on microenterprises and lower-ticket borrowers, while Credicorp Capital and Wealth Management serve corporations, institutions, governments, foundations, and high-net-worth clients.

The customer base is becoming more digitally engaged. BCP had 19.7 million clients in the latest presentation, and Yape had 16.7 million monthly active users. Yape users transact frequently, while 6.4 million clients received loan disbursements during the second quarter. These figures support a model based on repeated interaction, data generation, and cross-selling.

Customer quality is improving in the lending book. Credicorp attributed the 4.1% group NPL ratio to better origination, monitoring, and collections capabilities. At BCP, the NPL ratio declined to 3.9%, while Mibanco reached 4.8%. The combination of lower delinquencies and 13.1% group loan growth is a favorable signal for customer economics.

Competitive Landscape

The main Peruvian universal-bank competitors are Intercorp Financial Services (IFS), BBVA Perú, and Scotiabank Perú. BBVA Perú reported a 21.7% share on its market-position slide, while Credicorp's BCP franchise held a 34.97% standalone loan share at the end of 2025. The gap supports BCP's position as the market leader.

Competition differs by product. Mibanco faces specialized microfinance lenders and cajas municipales. Pacífico competes with local insurance groups and held 25.2% of Peru's consolidated insurance market in 2025. Yape competes with digital wallets and fintech platforms, but its connection to BCP deposits, credit underwriting, and payment infrastructure gives it a broader monetization path.

Credicorp's strongest competitive advantage is the combination of scale and integration. A fintech can offer a fast interface, and a niche lender can target one customer segment, but BAP combines a major deposit franchise, a leading payments platform, insurance, pensions, microfinance, and wealth management. That breadth supports revenue diversification and gives management multiple levers during a changing credit cycle.

Macro & Geopolitical Landscape

Peru's second-quarter economy grew 2.3% year over year, while domestic demand expanded approximately 5%. Management reported private investment growth of approximately 13% and said business confidence reached its highest level in years. Credicorp's 2026 GDP expectation is around 3.5%, including the estimated impact of El Niño.

Commodity exposure supports Peru's external position. Management reported that gold prices had roughly doubled since 2023 and copper prices had increased nearly 60% over the same period. Stronger commodity prices can support investment, trade, employment, and credit demand, although they also leave the economic backdrop sensitive to global prices.

Inflation and interest rates remain important for margins. Peru's annual inflation was around 4% from April through July 2026, while core inflation excluding transportation was below 2%. Credicorp reported second-quarter NIM of 6.6% and funding cost of 2.2%, with low-cost deposits helping protect profitability as rate conditions evolve.

Regional risks add complexity. Colombia's inflation was 6.0% in July after four monthly increases, Chile's inflation was 3.5%, and Bolivia moved to a market-based foreign-exchange framework in June 2026. Credicorp said the Bolivia change should not have a material effect because market exchange-rate dynamics had already been incorporated into reporting. El Niño remains the most direct near-term risk to Peru's loan quality and fee income.

Balance Sheet Health

▌Premium Members Only

BCP accounted for 76.1% of Credicorp’s total assets and 66.6% of equity at year-end 2024, underscoring how much the group’s balance sheet depends on its Peruvian banking core.

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Income Statement Strength

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Second-quarter 2026 net income attributable to Credicorp rose 8.8% year over year to about S/2.0B as loans grew 13.1% and deposits climbed 17.7%.

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Estimates Outlook

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Management raised 2026 loan-growth guidance to around 12% and reaffirmed ROE guidance of approximately 19.5%, even after posting 20.3% ROE in the latest quarter.

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Valuation Assessment

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Credicorp trades at a forward P/E of 10.1x, with the shares already well above the 52-week low of $219.84 and above the 200-day moving average of $345.20.

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Target Prices & Recommendation

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The stock earns a Buy because strong franchise quality and Yape monetization outweigh El Niño-related provisions of about $106M and roughly 9% loan exposure to affected clients.

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Closing

Credicorp has the ingredients of a durable financial-services compounder: BCP's 34.97% standalone loan share, 41.4% low-cost deposit share, Mibanco's 22.9% quarterly ROE, Pacífico's 25.2% insurance share, and Yape's 16.7 million monthly active users. The second-quarter results show that growth is arriving alongside better asset quality rather than through a reckless expansion of risk.

The stock is therefore a Buy for a medium-term, moderate-risk portfolio, with the strongest opportunity appearing on weakness rather than after an unrestricted rally. Management's 19.5% 2026 ROE guidance, 22% medium-term objective, and 12% loan-growth outlook create a credible earnings runway, while El Niño, valuation momentum, and regional macro risk justify disciplined position sizing.

Credicorp’s balance sheet is solid, with an A- grade and BCP providing the core funding base through 41.4% of Peru’s low-cost deposits. The main concentration risk is that BCP represented 76.1% of total assets and 66.6% of equity at year-end 2024.
+What are the biggest risks for BAP stock?
The biggest risk is credit deterioration from El Niño exposure, since management said about 9% of total loans were directly exposed and provisions added roughly $106M in the second quarter. BAP also depends heavily on Peru and on BCP’s performance, so any macro slowdown would hit earnings quickly.
+How important is Yape to Credicorp?
Yape is becoming a meaningful growth engine, with 16.7 million monthly active users, 364 million revenue-generating payment transactions in the second quarter, and 9.9% of risk-adjusted revenue. Its lending and payments mix gives Credicorp a scalable way to monetize customers beyond traditional banking.
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