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▌Research Report·July 14, 2026

Flex (FLEX): AI Power Infrastructure Growth Story

Flex is shifting toward higher-value manufacturing, with Cloud and Power Infrastructure driving growth and a planned spin-off in 2027. Stronger margins and upbeat fiscal 2027 guidance support a Buy case, though the stock is no longer cheap.

Research ReportFLEXTechnologyElectronic ComponentsAI
By TickerSpark·July 14, 2026·21 min read

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Flex (FLEX): AI Power Infrastructure Growth Story
B+
Overall
A-
Balance Sheet
B+
Income
A
Estimates
B
Valuation
TickerSpark AI RatingBuy
▌Investment Summary
Flex (FLEX) looks like a good investment right now, earning an overall grade of B+ and a Buy rating. Our fair value is $150, and the stock still has room to benefit from margin expansion, a stronger mix, and the planned Cloud and Power Infrastructure spin-off.

Thesis

Flex(FLEX) is no longer a plain-vanilla electronics manufacturing story. The investment case now rests on a sharper mix of higher-value manufacturing, regulated end markets, and a fast-growing cloud and power infrastructure business that is being prepared for a spin-off targeted for the first quarter of calendar 2027. Fiscal 2026 revenue rose to $27.9B from $25.8B, adjusted operating income climbed to $1.764B from $1.566B, and adjusted EPS increased to $3.30 from $2.99. For fiscal 2027, management guided revenue to $32.3B to $33.8B and adjusted EPS to $4.21 to $4.51, with adjusted operating margin of 7.0% to 7.1%. That is a meaningful step-up from fiscal 2026 adjusted operating margin of 6.3%.

The core bull case is straightforward. Flex has spent years moving away from lower-value consumer exposure and toward industrial, healthcare, communications, and AI-linked power and cooling infrastructure. That shift is showing up in the numbers. Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue rose 17% to $7.5B, adjusted gross margin reached a record 9.9%, and adjusted operating margin hit a record 6.7%. Cloud and Power Infrastructure, or CPI, grew 38% in fiscal 2026 to $6.6B, while management is targeting 65% to 75% growth for CPI in fiscal 2027. That kind of growth inside a company still valued at 29.3x forward earnings and a PEG ratio of 0.94 explains why the stock has rerated so aggressively.

The main caution is equally clear. Flex now trades much closer to a growth-industrial multiple than a traditional EMS multiple. Trailing P/E is 58.0x, the stock has run from a 52-week low of $47.83 to a 52-week high of $166.86, and insiders have been net sellers, with EOD data showing net activity of -221,406 shares. On top of that, fiscal 2027 CapEx is set to jump to $1.4B to $1.6B from $625M in fiscal 2026, while free cash flow conversion is expected around 60% excluding spin costs. In plain English, the business is stronger, but the stock is no longer cheap enough to ignore execution risk.

For a balanced, moderate-risk investor with a medium-term horizon, Flex still looks attractive, but only with discipline on entry price. The company has real operating momentum, a credible portfolio shift, and a plausible value-unlock catalyst in the CPI separation. The stock also carries more expectations than it did a year ago. That combination supports a Buy rating rather than a table-pounding call at any price.

▌Common Questions

Frequently asked questions

+Is FLEX stock a buy right now?
Yes, FLEX is a Buy for investors who can tolerate some execution risk. The business is improving its mix, margins are expanding, and fiscal 2027 guidance points to another step up in earnings and operating profit.
+What is FLEX's fair value?
Flex's fair value is $150. We get there by weighing its 29.3x forward earnings multiple, the expected fiscal 2027 EPS range of $4.21 to $4.51, and the stronger growth profile coming from Cloud and Power Infrastructure plus the planned spin-off.
+Why is Flex growing so fast?
Growth is being driven by Cloud and Power Infrastructure, which rose 38% in fiscal 2026 to $6.6B and is targeted to grow 65% to 75% in fiscal 2027. Flex is also benefiting from stronger demand in industrial, healthcare, and communications end markets.
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Company Overview

Flex Ltd. is an advanced manufacturing and supply chain company headquartered in Austin, Texas, with operations across about 30 countries and roughly 149,686 employees. The company was founded in 1969 and trades on Nasdaq under the ticker FLEX. Its business spans design and engineering, component sourcing, manufacturing, systems integration, logistics, and after-sales services across data center, communications, enterprise, consumer, automotive, healthcare, industrial, and power markets.

As of March 31, 2026, Flex reports through three segments: Integrated Technology Solutions, or ITS; Regulated Manufacturing Solutions, or RMS; and Cloud and Power Infrastructure, or CPI. This reporting change matters because it reflects how the business has evolved. CPI pulls together cloud, cooling, and power operations that had previously sat in different parts of the company. The reorganization gives investors a cleaner look at the fastest-growing piece of the portfolio.

The company’s strategic direction has become more focused over time. Management has exited consumer-focused markets, spun off Nextracker, invested in electrical products, and repositioned Flex toward higher-complexity, higher-margin work. That shift is visible in annual gross margin, which moved from 7.2% in fiscal 2022 to 9.2% in fiscal 2026, and in annual operating margin, which improved from 3.6% to 5.4% over the same period on a GAAP basis.

That quote from CEO Revathi Advaithi captures the company’s arc. Flex is still an EMS company in the broad sense, but it is trying to be the version of EMS that customers use when the product is complex, regulated, power-dense, or globally difficult to build. That is a better neighborhood than commodity assembly.

Business Segment Deep Dive

RMS is the most stable part of the portfolio. It includes industrial, automotive, and healthcare. In Q4 fiscal 2026, RMS revenue was $2.7B, up 13% YoY, with adjusted operating income of $180M and adjusted operating margin of 6.6%, up 80 bps. For the full year, RMS revenue was $10.2B, up 5%, and adjusted operating margin was 6.0%, also up 80 bps. Management attributed the gains primarily to industrial and healthcare, with automotive improving.

ITS includes communications and lifestyle. In Q4 fiscal 2026, ITS revenue totaled $2.9B, up 13% YoY, and adjusted operating income was $147M with a 5.0% adjusted operating margin. For the full year, ITS revenue was $11.1B, down 2%, while adjusted operating margin improved 60 bps to 5.4%. That tells an important story: even in a segment with soft lifestyle demand, Flex is improving mix and execution enough to lift profitability.

CPI is the growth engine. Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue was $1.8B, up 31% YoY, with adjusted operating income of $182M and adjusted operating margin of 9.9%. For the full year, CPI revenue reached $6.6B, up 38%, while adjusted operating margin was 9.2%, down 100 bps because of infrastructure investments in critical power and ramp costs in cloud. Management expects to recoup that 100 bps in fiscal 2027 and add another 50 to 100 bps in fiscal 2028 as volume scales.

The segment mix is becoming more favorable. RMS brings steadier regulated-market exposure. ITS provides communications growth with some consumer drag. CPI brings the AI and data-center power tailwind. Together, that mix is much healthier than the older Flex profile, which relied more heavily on lower-value consumer and commodity manufacturing.

That planned separation is not cosmetic. It is the central strategic event for the next year. Post-spin, Flex would consist mainly of RMS and ITS, while CPI would stand alone as a higher-growth power, cooling, and compute-integration business. Investors are effectively being asked to value a company in transition, which is usually where the opportunity and the risk sit in the same chair.

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Flagship Product Analysis

Flex does not have a single consumer-facing flagship product in the way a branded hardware company does. Its flagship offering is better understood as an integrated solution stack for data center power, cooling, and compute infrastructure inside CPI. Management described this as delivering from grid to chip, combining embedded power, distributed power, thermal management, and compute integration.

That matters because AI data centers are becoming power and heat problems as much as compute problems. Flex’s cloud and cooling products support power-dense digital infrastructure deployments and advanced liquid cooling for higher-density rack architectures. Its power products include utility- and facility-level electrical infrastructure, plus rack- and board-level power systems. This is not just contract assembly with a different label. It is a more engineered, more specification-driven offering.

The strongest proof point is customer traction. Management said it secured substantial incremental business with several hyperscaler and data center customers, including Google, and that these wins span power infrastructure, thermal systems, and complex hardware manufacturing. The company also said capital deployment for these projects is already underway and that capacity and backlog are effectively booked for the next couple of years.

That quote is the plain-English reason the market has changed its view of Flex. A company that can win multiyear, multi-product, infrastructure-heavy programs with hyperscalers is playing a different game than a company assembling commodity electronics. It also explains why CPI posted 9.9% Q4 adjusted operating margin, well above the rest of the portfolio.

Innovation & Competitive Advantage

Flex’s competitive advantage is not a patent wall or a consumer brand. It is a scale-and-complexity moat built from global manufacturing footprint, engineering capability, regulatory know-how, and supply-chain orchestration. The company operates about 100 facilities in roughly 30 countries, giving it the regional flexibility that customers increasingly want as supply chains become more fragmented and geopolitics less friendly.

The company’s edge is strongest where products are difficult to qualify, difficult to move, or difficult to redesign. Healthcare and industrial fit that profile. So do AI data-center power and cooling systems. Flex’s 10-K states that no customer exceeded 10% of net sales in fiscal 2026, while the top 10 customers represented 45% of sales. That is still concentration, but it is diversified enough to avoid the one-customer trap that can haunt manufacturing names.

Recent portfolio investments strengthen that moat. Management said it closed the acquisition of Electrical Power Products, or EP2, to expand utility-grade, specification-driven solutions for grid modernization and electrification. Combined with existing power distribution, switchgear, thermal management, and rack-scale capabilities, EP2 broadens Flex’s ability to serve utility and infrastructure customers with longer-cycle, margin-accretive programs.

That line is the strategic heart of CPI. If customers really are moving away from fragmented multi-vendor setups, then Flex has a chance to capture more value per deployment. If that trend holds, the company’s role shifts from assembler to systems partner. That is where margins usually improve and where valuation multiples stop looking like old-school EMS.

Operations & Supply Chain

Operations are one of Flex’s strongest cards. Management repeatedly described the company as having built a “productivity machine” in its factories, and the numbers support that claim. Q4 fiscal 2026 adjusted gross margin reached 9.9%, up 50 bps YoY, while adjusted operating margin rose to 6.7%, also up 50 bps. For the full year, adjusted gross margin improved to 9.5% from 8.8%, and adjusted operating margin rose to 6.3% from 5.6%.

Inventory discipline remains solid despite growth. Q4 inventory was up 5% sequentially and 15% YoY, mostly to support CPI and RMS growth, yet inventory net of working capital advances was 55 days, down 1 day from the prior year. That is a useful signal. Flex is adding inventory to support demand, not because product is piling up in the wrong corners of the warehouse.

The tradeoff is capital intensity. Fiscal 2026 CapEx was $625M, or about 2.2% of revenue. For fiscal 2027, management expects CapEx of $1.4B to $1.6B as it builds out infrastructure for CPI growth. That is a major jump. Management also said this elevated investment should be unique to fiscal 2027, with CapEx normalizing in fiscal 2028. The logic is sensible, but the burden is real. When a manufacturer says the spending spike is temporary, investors should still keep one eyebrow raised.

The supply-chain story is also a demand story. As customers regionalize production and shorten technology cycles, Flex’s global footprint becomes more valuable. The company is positioned as a partner that can move programs across regions, manage procurement complexity, and support both high-volume and high-reliability manufacturing. In an industry where execution mistakes can erase margin in a quarter, Flex’s recent operating record stands out.

Market Analysis

Flex operates inside the global EMS market, which third-party estimates place in the $500B to $650B+ range today, with projected growth around 5% to 6% annually through the end of the decade. That is a large market, but the more relevant point is where growth is happening. The best pockets are not generic consumer assembly. They are higher-complexity verticals such as healthcare, industrial automation, automotive electronics, communications infrastructure, and AI-linked data-center hardware.

Flex is aligned with those better pockets. RMS gives it exposure to healthcare, industrial, and automotive. ITS benefits from communications and networking. CPI is tied directly to data-center power, thermal, and compute integration. Management’s fiscal 2027 outlook reflects that mix. RMS is expected to grow low to mid-single digits, ITS flat to up low single digits, and CPI up 65% to 75%.

The AI infrastructure buildout is the standout demand driver. Management described a generational shift in power architecture, including 400-volt and 800-volt DC systems, along with higher-density cooling requirements. Flex is trying to sit at the center of that spend. If that thesis works, CPI can grow much faster than the underlying EMS market, and the remaining Flex can still compound through mix improvement and steady regulated-market demand.

News sentiment also supports the current narrative. Across 66 data points, sentiment was strongly positive, with a 7-day score of 0.9884, a 30-day score of 0.9896, and a 90-day score of 0.9755. Sentiment is not a moat, but it does tell you the market is rewarding the company’s strategic pivot rather than doubting it.

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Customer Profile

Flex serves a wide mix of customers across data center, communications, enterprise, consumer, automotive, healthcare, industrial, and power. The customer profile is broad, but not random. The company increasingly targets customers that need complex manufacturing, regulatory compliance, power engineering, or global supply-chain support.

Customer concentration is present but manageable. According to the 10-K, no customer exceeded 10% of net sales in fiscal 2026, while the top 10 customers represented 45% of sales. That is a healthy middle ground for a company of this scale. It is concentrated enough to matter, but diversified enough that one customer loss would hurt without breaking the model.

The most important customer signal in the current cycle is hyperscaler traction. Management specifically named Google as part of a multiyear contract and said growth is also coming from multiple hyperscalers, colocation providers, neoclouds, and utilities. That broadens the CPI story beyond a single logo. It also reduces the fear that one flashy contract is doing all the heavy lifting.

For the post-spin Flex, the customer profile should become more weighted toward industrial, healthcare, automotive, communications, and networking customers. That would likely make the remaining business slower-growing than CPI, but also steadier and easier to underwrite. For many moderate-risk investors, that is not a bug. It is part of the appeal.

Competitive Landscape

Flex competes with major global EMS providers including Jabil(JBL), Celestica(CLS), Plexus(PLXS), Sanmina(SANM), Benchmark Electronics(BHE), and Asian ODM players such as Hon Hai Precision. The industry competes on cost, quality, breadth of services, engineering capability, responsiveness, geographic footprint, and supply-chain resilience. That is a long list because EMS is a brutally practical business. Customers care less about story and more about whether a supplier can deliver at scale without drama.

Flex’s relative strength is breadth. It combines global scale with exposure to regulated and higher-complexity markets. It also has a stronger power-and-cooling angle than many traditional peers, especially after building out CPI and adding EP2. Compared with smaller specialized peers, Flex has more geographic flexibility and broader end-market reach. Compared with the largest peers, it is trying to carve out a more differentiated identity around AI infrastructure and advanced power systems.

The competitive risk is that this remains a hard industry with constant pricing pressure. The 10-K notes that some competitors have lower cost structures or greater capital resources, and that customers can in-source production. In CPI specifically, the risk is that other suppliers move faster in power architecture, liquid cooling, or systems integration. A good market can hide competitive weaknesses for a while. It cannot hide them forever.

Still, Flex’s recent results imply it is winning more than it is defending. CPI grew 38% in fiscal 2026, RMS improved margins by 80 bps, and ITS lifted margins despite lower full-year revenue. That is what competitive progress looks like in manufacturing: not a flashy slogan, just better mix and better math.

Macro & Geopolitical Landscape

Flex sits at the intersection of several macro forces. The good ones are AI infrastructure spending, supply-chain regionalization, automation, and growing electronics content in industrial and healthcare systems. The difficult ones are tariffs, trade conflicts, currency swings, geopolitical disruptions, and cyclical demand in some end markets.

The company’s 10-K explicitly flags uncertainty tied to trade conflicts and tariffs, the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Israel-Hamas conflict, and recent U.S. military operations in Iran. It also disclosed a $51M charge in fiscal 2026 related to a missile strike on its Mukachevo, Ukraine facility, including $23M of long-lived asset impairments, $13M of inventory write-downs, and $15M of other charges. That is a reminder that global manufacturing is never just about freight lanes and lead times. Sometimes the risk arrives with a crater.

At the same time, macro disruption can help Flex when customers want regional manufacturing options and more resilient supply chains. Gartner reported that 73% of companies made supply-chain network changes in the prior two years as of August 2024. Flex’s footprint across about 30 countries gives it a practical advantage in that environment. The company is not immune to geopolitical stress, but it is better positioned than a single-region manufacturer.

The macro setup for fiscal 2027 is therefore mixed but favorable enough. AI and data-center infrastructure spending are strong tailwinds. Industrial and healthcare demand are supporting RMS. Lifestyle remains soft, which keeps ITS from becoming a clean growth story. The result is a company with several engines, one of which is currently on afterburner.

Balance Sheet Health

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Flex ended fiscal 2026 with a stronger operating profile, but fiscal 2027 CapEx is set to rise to $1.4B-$1.6B from $625M as the company funds its next growth phase.

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Income Statement Strength

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Fiscal 2026 revenue rose to $27.9B from $25.8B, while adjusted operating income climbed to $1.764B and adjusted EPS increased to $3.30.

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Estimates Outlook

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Management guided fiscal 2027 revenue to $32.3B-$33.8B and adjusted EPS to $4.21-$4.51, with operating margin expected to improve to 7.0%-7.1%.

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Valuation Assessment

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Flex trades at 29.3x forward earnings and a PEG ratio of 0.94, reflecting a growth-industrial valuation after a sharp rerating from its $47.83 low.

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Target Prices & Recommendation

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The report supports a Buy rating, with fair value set at $150 and upside tied to CPI growth, margin gains, and the planned spin-off.

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Closing

Flex has earned the market’s attention. Fiscal 2026 delivered 8% revenue growth, 21% adjusted operating income growth, 25% adjusted EPS growth, and record margins. Fiscal 2027 guidance points to another step higher, with revenue up about 18% at the midpoint and adjusted EPS up about 32%. CPI is growing fast enough to justify a spin, while RMS and ITS give the company a steadier base than a pure AI infrastructure name would have.

The investment decision now is less about whether Flex is improving and more about how much of that improvement is already priced in. The answer is: a lot, but not all. The company’s stronger mix, better margins, and CPI catalyst justify a premium to its old valuation. The stock’s sharp run, insider selling, and elevated fiscal 2027 CapEx argue against chasing it blindly.

That leaves a sensible conclusion. Flex remains a Buy for medium-term investors who want a company with real operating momentum and a credible value-unlock path. It is not a bargain-bin EMS name anymore. Frankly, that is the point. The market has started to treat Flex like a better business because it has become one.

+What are the main risks for FLEX stock?
The biggest risks are valuation, execution, and higher spending. The stock has already rerated sharply, fiscal 2027 CapEx is rising to $1.4B to $1.6B, and the planned CPI separation adds complexity even as it creates upside.
+How profitable is Flex now?
Flex is much more profitable than it was a few years ago, with fiscal 2026 adjusted operating margin at 6.3% and Q4 adjusted gross margin reaching a record 9.9%. Management expects fiscal 2027 operating margin to improve further to 7.0% to 7.1%.
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▌More on FLEX

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