TickerSparkInvestor Intelligence
TickerSparkInvestor Intelligence
Custom Reports
Stock Deep Dives · Free to Try
AI Analyst
Agentic Chat · Free to Try
Watchlist
Track Your Stocks · Free
Spark Charts
AI Technical Analysis · Free to Try
Intel Dashboard
Daily Trade Ideas
Trade Tracker
AI-Managed Portfolio · Pro
My Portfolio
Brokerage Connected · Pro
Custom Reports
Stock Deep Dives
AI Analyst
Agentic Chat
Watchlist
Your Stocks & Notes
Spark Charts
AI Technical Analysis
Trade Tracker
AI-Managed Portfolio
My Portfolio
Brokerage Connected
Main Feed
Today's Market Intel
Stock Reports
AI Research Reports
Top Stocks
AI-Curated Stock Lists
Commentary
Opinionated Stock Takes
Stock Teasers
The Stock Behind the Promo
Trending Stocks
Today's Big Movers
Earnings Coverage
Flashes & Deep Dives
Macro Updates
Economy & Markets
IPO Calendar
Upcoming Listings
CommunityDashboard
Log inCreate Account
← Back to TickerSpark
▌Research Report·July 30, 2026

Ingersoll Rand (IR): Aftermarket Strength vs. Rich Valuation

Ingersoll Rand combines a durable industrial portfolio, 36.5% aftermarket revenue, and improving growth, but valuation and leverage keep the stock at Hold. Q1 2026 showed solid order momentum, yet the shares already price in much of the recovery.

Research ReportIRIndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryIndustrial
By TickerSpark·July 30, 2026·19 min read

§ Product

  • How It Works
  • Custom Reports
  • AI Analyst
  • Intel Dashboard
  • Spark Charts
  • Trade Tracker
  • My Portfolio
  • Plans

§ Research

  • Main Feed
  • Community
  • Stock Reports
  • Macro Updates
  • Blog

§ Company

  • About Us
  • Contact

§ Fine Print

  • Terms of Service
  • Privacy Policy
  • Full Disclaimer
  • Cookie Policy

Notice: All content and data on TickerSpark is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. All investments involve risk. Please see our Full Disclaimer for more details.

© 2026 Maxwell Cyberlogic LLC

Not Investment Advice

Made in Delaware, USA

Ingersoll Rand (IR): Aftermarket Strength vs. Rich Valuation
B-
Overall
B+
Balance Sheet
B-
Income
B
Estimates
C+
Valuation
TickerSpark AI RatingHold
▌Investment Summary
Ingersoll Rand (IR) is a durable industrial compounder earning an overall grade of B- and a Hold rating. Our fair value is $93.46, supported by a broad mission-critical portfolio, 36.5% aftermarket revenue, and improving 2026 growth, but tempered by leverage and a premium valuation.

Thesis

Ingersoll Rand (IR) merits a Hold rating for moderate-risk investors seeking a durable industrial compounder rather than a deep-value turnaround. The investment case rests on a broad mission-critical portfolio, a 36.5% aftermarket revenue mix, strong free cash flow, and management's record of using bolt-on acquisitions to expand its technology base. The counterweight is valuation: IR recently traded around $84.40, while its trailing P/E was 58.4x and its forward P/E was 24.4x.

The operating picture is improving but not yet fully repaired. IR produced $7.7B of 2025 revenue, up 6% year over year, while adjusted EPS reached $3.34, up 2%. In Q1 2026, revenue increased 8% year over year, adjusted EPS rose 7% to $0.77, and book-to-bill reached 1.07x. Management reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.45 to $3.57, with the midpoint representing approximately 5% growth.

The principal risk is that balance-sheet leverage and margin pressure limit the benefit of that growth. IR ended 2025 with $4.85B of debt, $1.25B of cash, and $3.60B of net debt. Net income fell to $581M in 2025 from $839M in 2024, even as operating income increased to $1.42B. The report's fair value estimate of $93.46 reflects the strength of the portfolio, the 0.8 PEG ratio, and 4.5% free-cash-flow yield, while applying a discount for uneven earnings quality and a premium valuation.

Company Overview

Founded in 1859 and headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina, Ingersoll Rand provides air, fluid, vacuum, clean-energy, and medical technologies. The company employs approximately 21,000 people and sells through direct representatives and independent distributors across global markets. Its two reportable segments are Industrial Technologies and Services, or ITS, and Precision and Science Technologies, or PST.

IR's portfolio includes compressors, air-treatment equipment, vacuum pumps, blowers, fluid-transfer systems, loading systems, power tools, lifting equipment, precision pumps, gas boosters, hydrogen compression systems, liquid-handling systems, and controls. Brands include Ingersoll Rand, Gardner Denver, Nash, CompAir, Elmo Rietschle, ARO, Dosatron, Haskel, LMI, Seepex, Thomas, Welch, and Williams. The 2025 10-K identifies more than 90 market-leading brands.

▌Common Questions

Frequently asked questions

+Is IR stock a buy right now?
Ingersoll Rand is a Hold, not a Buy, because the business is improving but the shares already reflect a lot of that progress. The company has a strong aftermarket mix, solid free cash flow, and 2026 guidance for about 5% EPS growth, but leverage and a premium multiple keep the risk/reward balanced.
+What is IR's fair value?
Ingersoll Rand's fair value is $93.46. We arrive at that by balancing the company's 0.8 PEG ratio and 4.5% free-cash-flow yield against its 24.4x forward P/E, 58.4x trailing P/E, and the uneven earnings quality signaled by lower net income in 2025.
+
▌The Daily Briefing · Free

A new stock idea, every evening.

One stock worth watching each weekday, plus the analysis behind it. Free, in your inbox.

Daily market recap + weekly preview. One-click unsubscribe in every email.

The business has meaningful geographic reach. The 2025 10-K states that 54% of revenue was denominated in non-U.S. currencies, creating both diversification and foreign-exchange exposure. IR's end markets range from industrial manufacturing and energy to food and beverage, water and wastewater, agriculture, medical equipment, laboratories, and biopharmaceutical production.

Business Segment Deep Dive

ITS is the economic center of IR. It generated $6.1B of 2025 revenue, or 79.2% of the company total, compared with $5.8B in 2024. The segment covers compressors, air treatment, vacuum and blower equipment, fluid transfer, loading systems, power tools, lifting equipment, aftermarket parts, consumables, and services.

ITS orders increased 5% year over year in Q1 2026, with a 1.08x book-to-bill ratio. Organic orders declined 3% before the effect of delayed Middle East projects, and management said they were approximately flat excluding those delays. Segment revenue grew 7%, while adjusted EBITDA margin was 26.7%. Compressors faced project timing pressure, while blower and banking activity performed well. The core tool business grew organically at a mid-single-digit rate.

PST generated $1.6B of 2025 revenue, or 20.8% of the company total, up from $1.4B in 2024. The segment supplies diaphragm, piston, peristaltic, gear, vane, progressive-cavity, and syringe pumps, along with gas boosters, dosing systems, liquid-handling equipment, and related controls.

PST delivered a stronger Q1 2026 operating performance than ITS. Orders increased 6% year over year, book-to-bill was 1.04x, and organic orders rose 1%. Organic revenue increased 4%, adjusted EBITDA reached $122M, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 120 basis points to 30.3%. Life Science orders grew at a double-digit rate, while Precision Technologies benefited from short-cycle book-and-ship demand.

Get AI research on any stock

Instant reports, daily intelligence, and an AI analyst in your pocket.

Get Started →

Flagship Product Analysis

Industrial compressors are the clearest flagship product family for IR because they connect equipment sales, aftermarket parts, service, energy efficiency, and customer uptime. The products serve machinery, industrial tools, material-handling systems, automated equipment, hospitals, transportation, and energy-related applications. A compressor failure can interrupt an operating process, making reliability and service availability central purchasing criteria.

Management reported stabilized U.S. compressor activity in Q1 2026 and encouraging order trends across several compressor categories. It also cited a customer installation that saved more than $15,000 per month and generated a compressor payback of about one year. That example illustrates IR's value proposition in plain English: the equipment is sold as a cost-saving production asset, not merely as a piece of machinery.

The aftermarket reinforces the product economics. Aftermarket parts, consumables, and services represented 36.5% of 2025 revenue. This mix gives IR an installed-base revenue stream that is less dependent on the timing of new equipment orders. It does not eliminate cyclicality, but it gives the business a second engine after the original sale.

Innovation & Competitive Advantage

IR's advantage is less about one patented product than about combining application expertise, brands, service relationships, and a wide flow-creation portfolio. The 2025 10-K describes competition around quality, performance, availability, price, and innovation. In precision and science markets, customer qualification requirements can increase switching costs because a pump or vacuum system becomes part of a validated production process.

IRX is management's operating system for productivity, pricing, commercial execution, and capital allocation. The financial results provide evidence that it is more than branding: PST expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by 120 basis points in Q1 2026, while management linked the expected second-half ITS improvement to productivity actions, restructuring, pricing, and procurement.

Acquisitions extend the moat. IR reported more than 200 companies in its acquisition funnel, with 10 transactions at the letter-of-intent stage and more than 90% of opportunities sourced internally. The signed Fox s.r.l. transaction adds hydropneumatic accumulators and pulsation dampeners to PST, with approximately $20M of annual revenue and a high-single-digit purchase multiple. This is the sort of bolt-on that expands application content without forcing IR into an entirely new industry.

Innovation also reaches new applications. IR won a carbon-capture project using a combined vacuum and blower system, while its Elmo Rietschle vacuum technology was integrated into an ILC Dover bulk-powder system for a leading pharmaceutical manufacturer. Carbon capture remains early-stage in the disclosed example, but the project demonstrates how IR can place existing technologies into emerging applications.

Operations & Supply Chain

IR operates a global in-region, for-region manufacturing model. That footprint helps the company serve customers close to their production sites and gives management a way to adjust sourcing as tariffs, freight costs, and regional demand change. The geographic reach also creates exposure to currency movements because 54% of 2025 revenue was denominated in non-U.S. currencies.

Supply-chain execution remains important because direct materials represent approximately 70% of cost of goods sold. Tariffs and inflation pressured ITS margins, but management said pricing actions, procurement, and other mitigation steps should leave the net tariff and inflation impact neutral to 2026 guidance. The approach is sensible, although the 2025 gross margin decline to 38.5% from 43.8% shows that cost pressure can still reach the income statement.

Geopolitical disruption affected orders in Q1. Approximately $40M of long-cycle projects were delayed by the conflict in the Middle East, and management said roughly one-third of those orders had been recovered in April. The company characterized the disruption as timing-related rather than canceled demand. That recovery matters because the Q1 book-to-bill ratio remained above 1.0x.

Market Analysis

IR participates in several large industrial markets rather than one narrow category. A broad industrial machinery market estimate places the market at $0.81T in 2025 and $1.31T by 2031, implying an 8.3% compound annual growth rate. A factory-automation estimate places that market at $275.0B in 2025 and $435.2B by 2030, implying 9.6% growth.

The more specific pneumatic-components market was estimated at $14.8B in 2025 and $25.4B by 2034, representing a 6.5% compound annual growth rate. These market figures are relevant because IR sells compressors, pumps, controls, and related equipment into automation, energy efficiency, fluid handling, and production systems.

The strongest demand drivers are productivity upgrades, energy savings, industrial automation, reshoring, and connected equipment. IR's carbon-capture win and biopharmaceutical powder-handling project show direct exposure to energy-transition and life-science investment. The market is not uniformly strong, however. IR's 2026 guidance calls for only 2.5% to 4.5% total revenue growth, with organic growth at the midpoint near 1%.

Like what you're reading?

Get full access to AI-powered research reports, market analysis, and portfolio tools.

Get Started →

Customer Profile

IR sells primarily to industrial and technical customers that value uptime, energy efficiency, process control, and dependable service. The customer base spans manufacturers, chemical processors, food and beverage companies, water and wastewater operators, hospitals, laboratories, agricultural businesses, clean-energy developers, and biopharmaceutical producers.

The purchasing decision is often based on total operating cost rather than the initial equipment price. Management's reported customer example of more than $15,000 in monthly savings and approximately one-year compressor payback captures the economic logic. When the equipment reduces energy use or prevents downtime, the customer can justify a premium product even during cautious capital-spending periods.

The aftermarket creates a second customer relationship after installation. At 36.5% of 2025 revenue, parts, consumables, and services give IR repeated contact with the installed base. PST adds another layer of customer stickiness because medical, laboratory, and pharmaceutical applications often require validated equipment and consistent process performance.

Competitive Landscape

IR competes with Atlas Copco (ATCO), Parker-Hannifin (PH), IDEX (IEX), ITT (ITT), SPX Technologies (SPXC), Kaeser, Sullair, Busch, and other specialized manufacturers. The competitive set changes by product line. Atlas Copco is the clearest benchmark in compressors and vacuum, while Parker-Hannifin, IDEX, and ITT overlap more heavily in engineered fluid handling and industrial components.

IR's strongest competitive position is breadth. More than 90 brands cover compressors, vacuum, blowers, pumps, controls, and related services. That breadth allows the company to sell an integrated solution, such as combining vacuum technology with bulk-powder containment and mixing. It also gives sales teams more opportunities to cross-sell into an existing customer relationship.

The main competitive weakness is that some rivals are larger or more specialized. Atlas Copco is widely viewed as a higher-quality operating benchmark in compressors and vacuum, while larger diversified industrial companies can bring greater financial resources to pricing, research, and distribution. IR counters with its aftermarket mix, internally sourced M&A funnel, application expertise, and IRX execution system.

Macro & Geopolitical Landscape

Industrial demand remains sensitive to customer capital spending and project timing. Gartner reported that 49% of organizations lacked confidence in their future manufacturing strategy over the following three years, a data point consistent with the cautious decision-making that IR described for long-cycle projects. IR's Q1 results showed the contrast clearly: short-cycle activity improved, while some large projects took longer to finalize.

Tariffs are a direct margin risk. IR's 2025 10-K states that tariff policy increased costs for certain materials and components, and management attributed part of ITS margin pressure to tariffs. For 2026, management expects pricing, procurement, restructuring, and productivity actions to offset the net tariff and inflation effect in its guidance.

The Middle East conflict delayed approximately $40M of orders in Q1 2026, while management described the impact as concentrated in a handful of long-cycle projects. Europe presents a different dynamic: higher energy prices increase customer cost pressure, but they also improve the payback case for energy-efficient compressors and services. China delivered another quarter of positive organic order growth in ITS.

Balance Sheet Health

▌Premium Members Only

$4.85B of debt against $1.25B of cash left Ingersoll Rand with $3.60B of net debt at year-end 2025, a manageable but meaningful leverage load.

Unlock the full analysis

Premium members get the complete breakdown — pick rationale, financial metrics, and recent earnings detail.

Get Full Access →

Income Statement Strength

▌Premium Members Only

2025 revenue rose 6% to $7.7B and adjusted EPS increased 2% to $3.34, but net income still fell to $581M from $839M as margins remained uneven.

Unlock the full analysis

Premium members get the complete breakdown — pick rationale, financial metrics, and recent earnings detail.

Get Full Access →

Estimates Outlook

▌Premium Members Only

Management reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $3.45 to $3.57, implying roughly 5% growth at the midpoint after Q1 revenue climbed 8% and EPS rose 7%.

Unlock the full analysis

Premium members get the complete breakdown — pick rationale, financial metrics, and recent earnings detail.

Get Full Access →

Valuation Assessment

▌Premium Members Only

At about 24.4x forward earnings and 58.4x trailing earnings, Ingersoll Rand trades at a premium that is only partly offset by a 0.8 PEG ratio and 4.5% free-cash-flow yield.

Unlock the full analysis

Premium members get the complete breakdown — pick rationale, financial metrics, and recent earnings detail.

Get Full Access →

Target Prices & Recommendation

▌Premium Members Only

The report’s fair value estimate of $93.46 sits above the recent $84.40 share price, leaving room for upside but not enough to justify a Buy.

Unlock the full analysis

Premium members get the complete breakdown — pick rationale, financial metrics, and recent earnings detail.

Get Full Access →

Closing

Ingersoll Rand (IR) is a high-quality industrial platform with a useful combination of mission-critical equipment, service revenue, technical brands, and acquisition opportunities. The Q1 2026 book-to-bill ratio above 1.0x, PST margin expansion, stabilized U.S. compressor activity, and management's $2.13B to $2.19B EBITDA guidance show that the operating engine remains intact.

The investment case becomes stronger if the second-half ITS margin recovery arrives as management described, if delayed Middle East orders continue to return, and if the Fox transaction adds to PST without weakening capital discipline. The case weakens if tariffs overwhelm pricing, industrial customers extend project decisions, or net income continues to lag operating income.

At a recent price near $84.40, IR offers a credible medium-term path toward our fair value estimate of $93.46, but not enough evidence for an aggressive rating. The balanced position is Hold: respect the company's durable portfolio and cash generation, while demanding a better entry price or clearer margin delivery before assigning a higher conviction.

Why is Ingersoll Rand rated Hold instead of Buy?
The stock earns a Hold because the operating story is good but not cheap. Revenue grew 6% in 2025, Q1 2026 revenue rose 8%, and the aftermarket mix is 36.5%, yet the company also carries $3.60B of net debt and trades at a valuation that already discounts much of the recovery.
+How strong is Ingersoll Rand's business momentum?
Momentum is improving across both segments. In Q1 2026, companywide book-to-bill was 1.07x, ITS orders rose 5% with a 1.08x book-to-bill, and PST orders rose 6% with a 1.04x book-to-bill, while management kept full-year EPS guidance intact.
+What are the main risks for IR stock?
The biggest risks are leverage, margin pressure, and valuation. Ingersoll Rand ended 2025 with $4.85B of debt and $3.60B of net debt, and net income fell to $581M even though operating income increased, showing that earnings quality is still uneven.
▌For Active Investors

Want Reports Like This on Any Stock?

Get AI-powered research reports, daily market intelligence, and a personal analyst in your pocket.

Get Full Access →

Not ready to subscribe? ·

▌For Active Investors

Stock research for every investor

  • Reports on any stock
  • Daily market intelligence
  • AI analyst in your pocket
  • Portfolio analysis tools
Get Full Access →

Cancel anytime

▌The Daily Briefing · Free

A new stock idea, every evening.

One stock worth watching each weekday, free in your inbox.

Daily market recap + weekly preview. One-click unsubscribe in every email.

▌More on IR

More to read

All articles
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) slips after deep earnings beat
IR

Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) slips after deep earnings beat

Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) slipped even after topping EPS and revenue estimates, and the full earnings picture goes beyond the headline beat. This deep-dive examines segment momentum, margin trends, guidance, and what management’s outlook could mean for the stock from here.

Jul 31·8 min
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) slips despite earnings beats
IR

Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) slips despite earnings beats

Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) slips 1.6% even after posting earnings beats, as investors weigh the latest results against broader market sentiment.

Jul 30·2 min
Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) climbs 14% on Investor Day
SNDK

Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) climbs 14% on Investor Day

Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) climbs after its 2026 Investor Day and a bullish Evercore ISI note lifted sentiment. Strong recent earnings beats and progress on BiCS10 NAND technology are also supporting the move, though the stock remains highly volatile and tied to memory-cycle swings.

Aug 13·5 min