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▌Research Report·July 22, 2026

TE Connectivity (TEL): AI and Power Infrastructure Growth

TE Connectivity is benefiting from record orders, accelerating Industrial Solutions growth, and rising exposure to AI infrastructure and power networks. Strong cash generation and reasonable valuation support a Buy case.

Research ReportTELTechnologyElectronic ComponentsIndustrial Technology
By TickerSpark·July 22, 2026·18 min read

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TE Connectivity (TEL): AI and Power Infrastructure Growth
A-
Overall
A-
Balance Sheet
B+
Income
A-
Estimates
B+
Valuation
TickerSpark AI RatingBuy
▌Investment Summary
TE Connectivity (TEL) looks like a Buy and is earning an overall grade of A-. The stock is attractive right now because record orders, 15% revenue growth, and expanding Industrial Solutions momentum are supporting a stronger growth profile than the market may be pricing in. Our fair value is $245.

Thesis

TE Connectivity (TEL) looks like a high-quality industrial technology compounder that is moving through a favorable part of its cycle. The core case rests on three hard facts. First, fiscal Q2 2026 revenue rose 15% YoY to $4.744B and adjusted EPS rose 24% to $2.73. Second, orders reached a record $5.3B with a 1.12 book-to-bill ratio, which gives the growth story real backing rather than slide-deck poetry. Third, valuation is not stretched for that profile, with a trailing P/E of 21.35, forward P/E of 16, and PEG of 0.933.

The business mix is also improving. Industrial Solutions grew 27% in Q2 2026, far faster than Transportation Solutions at 5%, with Digital Data Networks up 48% and Energy up 60%. That matters because these businesses tie TEL to AI infrastructure, grid hardening, factory automation, and aerospace demand, all while adjusted operating margin reached 21.7% companywide. In plain English, TEL is no longer just an auto connector story with a nice dividend. It is increasingly a data-and-power infrastructure supplier with real operating leverage.

The main caution is that TEL still carries cyclical exposure, especially to automotive production and broader industrial demand, and it operates in a world of freight inflation, resin cost pressure, and geopolitical noise. Net debt is also meaningful at about $5.3B based on $6.55B of debt and $1.255B of cash. Even so, free cash flow remains a strong counterweight. The company reported $5.075B of free cash flow in the valuation dataset, an 8.56% FCF yield, and management said first-half fiscal 2026 free cash flow hit a record $1.3B while nearly 100% was returned to shareholders. For a balanced, moderate-risk investor, that combination supports a Buy rating with a fair value estimate of $245.

Company Overview

TE Connectivity (TEL) is a global supplier of connectivity and sensor solutions used to move power, signal, and data across complex systems. The company operates on the NYSE, is based in Ireland, and employs about 90,000 people. Its products span connectors, antennas, cable assemblies, relays, sensors, switches, terminals, wires, fiber optics, heat shrink tubing, medical components, and related tooling and services.

▌Common Questions

Frequently asked questions

+Is TEL stock a buy right now?
Yes, TE Connectivity (TEL) is a Buy right now. The case is supported by record $5.3B orders, 15% revenue growth, and strong Industrial Solutions momentum that is broadening the company’s growth profile.
+What is TEL's fair value?
TE Connectivity's fair value is $245. We arrive at that by weighing its forward P/E of 16, PEG of 0.933, record order momentum, and the mix shift toward faster-growing Industrial and AI infrastructure exposure.
+Why is TE Connectivity growing so fast?
Growth is being driven by Industrial Solutions, which rose 27% in Q2 FY2026, led by Digital Data Networks up 48% and Energy up 60%. Companywide orders also hit a record $5.3B, showing the demand is backed by real bookings.
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The customer base is broad and industrial in nature. TEL serves automotive, commercial transportation, aerospace, defense, energy, factory automation, medical technology, rail, data centers, AI infrastructure, home and building systems, and communications-related applications. That diversity matters because it reduces dependence on any single end market, even though transportation remains the largest revenue contributor.

The company reports through two main segments today: Transportation Solutions and Industrial Solutions. In fiscal 2025, Transportation Solutions generated $9.388B, or 54.4% of total revenue, while Industrial Solutions generated $7.874B, or 45.6%. That split gives TEL a useful balance. Transportation provides scale, long product cycles, and embedded content. Industrial provides faster growth exposure to AI, energy, automation, and defense.

Recent execution has been strong. In Q1 FY2026, TEL reported sales of $4.7B, up 22% reported and 15% organic, with adjusted EPS of $2.72 and record orders of $5.1B. In Q2 FY2026, sales rose to $4.744B, adjusted EPS reached $2.73, and orders climbed again to $5.3B. Two straight quarters of record orders are usually a sign that demand is broadening, not fading.

Business Segment Deep Dive

Transportation Solutions remains the larger segment, but Industrial Solutions is doing the heavier lifting right now. In Q2 FY2026, Transportation Solutions posted $2.422B of revenue, up 5% reported, with adjusted operating margin of 21.8%. Industrial Solutions posted $2.322B of revenue, up 27% reported, with the same 21.8% adjusted operating margin. Equal margins, very different growth rates.

Within Transportation, the automotive business grew 2% reported but declined 4% organically in Q2. Management said that still represented growth over market because global auto production remains soft. Commercial Transportation was much stronger, up 21% reported and 17% organically, helped by recovery in Europe and Asia and stabilization in North America. Sensors increased 2% reported and declined 3% organically.

The more interesting story sits inside Industrial. Digital Data Networks generated $714M in Q2 FY2026, up 48% reported and 46% organically. Automation & Connected Living generated $579M, up 13% reported and 8% organically. Energy generated $445M, up 60% reported and 11% organically, with help from the Richards acquisition. Aerospace, Defense and Marine generated $408M, up 9% reported and 5% organically. Medical generated $176M and declined 3% reported.

Orders reinforce the segment picture. Management said over 70% of companywide order growth in Q2 came from Industrial Solutions, and Industrial orders grew 40% YoY. Transportation orders still rose 13% YoY, with growth across all three businesses. That is a healthy setup because it shows TEL is not relying on one hot niche to carry the whole company.

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Flagship Product Analysis

TEL does not sell a single consumer-facing flagship product. Its flagship role is better understood through product families that sit inside customer systems. The clearest flagship growth engine today is the company’s Digital Data Networks portfolio, which supports AI-related data center architectures through high-speed connectivity and power solutions.

That portfolio produced $714M of Q2 FY2026 revenue, up 48% YoY, and management said orders in the business grew more than 60% in the quarter. Management also said year-to-date DDN orders reached $2B and that AI revenue for fiscal 2026 is expected to be about $150M higher than the view from 90 days earlier, with the increase landing in the second half. Those are not vague innovation claims. They are commercial proof points.

The product logic is straightforward. AI systems need dense, reliable, high-speed interconnects and power delivery. TEL is positioning itself where data and power meet, especially inside rack-level architectures. Management said copper remains the workhorse in the rack due to cost, power efficiency, reliability, and existing scale, while optical solutions expand over time. That hybrid view matters because it lowers the risk of backing the wrong technology horse.

Outside AI, TEL’s energy connectivity products also deserve flagship status. In Q2 FY2026, Energy revenue rose 60% reported and 11% organically, driven by grid hardening, data center power infrastructure, and clean energy applications. These products are less glamorous than AI connectors, but in industrial technology, boring often pays better. Utilities still need hardened networks whether Wall Street is excited or not.

Innovation & Competitive Advantage

TEL’s competitive advantage comes from engineering depth, customer integration, manufacturing scale, and exposure to markets where failure is expensive. The company has more than 90,000 employees and 10,000 engineers, serves about 130 countries, and works closely with customers on evolving architectures. In connector and sensor markets, design wins matter because once a component is qualified into a platform, replacement is not simple.

Recent performance supports the moat argument. Q1 FY2026 adjusted operating margin was 22.2%, up 180 bps YoY. Q2 FY2026 adjusted operating margin was 21.7%, up 130 bps YoY. Gross margin in the profitability dataset stands at 36.1%, operating margin at 20.34%, and ROE at 22.72%. Those are not the numbers of a commodity assembler fighting for scraps.

Innovation is also active, not static. Management said the company acquired a leading passive optical connectivity technology during the quarter to strengthen its roadmap for both copper and optical connectivity. In the Q&A, management described the acquisition as complementary to its portfolio and useful for high-density fiber array connections that link optical fiber to co-packaged optics. That is exactly the kind of tuck-in move a strong platform company should make.

TEL’s edge also comes from mix. It participates in next-generation vehicles, AI data centers, energy grid modernization, aerospace, and factory automation. Those are markets where reliability, certification, and application-specific engineering matter more than shaving a penny off a simple part. Price competition never disappears in components, but TEL is playing in the higher-value lanes of the road.

Operations & Supply Chain

Operations are one of TEL’s quieter strengths. Management credited strong execution and a global manufacturing strategy for helping the company deliver 21.7% adjusted operating margin in Q2 FY2026 despite a dynamic environment. The company also said its localization strategy allows it to manufacture close to customers and respond faster to changing conditions.

That matters because TEL is navigating real cost pressure. CFO Heath Mitts said the company saw increased inflationary pressure in oil-based resins and freight charges due to higher energy costs and broader geopolitical tensions. TEL’s response was practical: optimize factory footprint, take targeted pricing actions, and push productivity initiatives. No magic, just industrial blocking and tackling.

The supply chain picture has improved in some end markets. Management said aerospace and defense demand trends were supported by ongoing supply chain improvements. That is useful because it means growth in that business is not purely theoretical backlog. It is converting into revenue.

Scale supports resilience here. Annual operating cash flow rose from $2.68B in fiscal 2021 to $4.14B in fiscal 2025, while annual free cash flow rose from $1.99B to $3.20B over the same period based on the five-year cash flow statements. A company that can keep funding capex, acquisitions, dividends, and buybacks while managing freight and resin inflation has more room to absorb shocks than smaller peers.

Market Analysis

TEL says its two reportable segments served a combined market of about $200B as of fiscal year-end 2025. That is large enough to support years of share gains without requiring heroic assumptions. More important, the company is aligned with some of the best-funded infrastructure themes in the market: AI data centers, electric grid upgrades, factory automation, aerospace modernization, and rising vehicle electronics content.

In transportation, management said it expects 4% to 6% growth over market through 2030, driven by data connectivity, electronification, and e-mobility. At Investor Day, the company said automotive content per vehicle rises from $80 in 2025 to $105 in 2030, while commercial transportation content rises from about $230 to $305. That is a strong structural tailwind even if unit production stays choppy.

In energy, the company highlighted a $1.5B TAM for grid hardening and about a $2.5B TAM for energy transmission and distribution tied to the Richards acquisition. In Q2 FY2026, Energy revenue rose 60% reported and 11% organically, which shows the market opportunity is already translating into results.

In AI-related infrastructure, TEL’s DDN business is scaling quickly. Management said DDN orders grew more than 60% in Q2 and backlog is building into 2027. That suggests TEL is not just riding a one-quarter spending burst. It is getting designed into longer-duration programs.

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Customer Profile

TEL’s customer profile is broad, global, and heavily weighted toward large OEMs and industrial operators. End markets include automotive, commercial vehicles, aerospace, defense, utilities, data centers, industrial machinery, medical devices, and communications infrastructure. This is a mission-critical supplier model, not a discretionary gadget model.

The customer relationship tends to be sticky because TEL components are embedded into larger systems. Management repeatedly emphasized co-creation and alignment with customer roadmaps, especially in AI architectures and next-generation transportation platforms. That kind of relationship usually supports longer product cycles, repeat business, and better visibility than a spot-market parts business.

The ownership base also says something about how the market sees the company. Institutional ownership stands at 97.796%, with Vanguard holding 38.4M shares and BlackRock holding 25.9M shares. Among 20 tracked institutions, 12 increased positions and 8 decreased. That is not a guarantee of returns, but it does show TEL sits comfortably in the institutional quality bucket.

Short interest is modest. Short interest as a percentage of float is 3.53%, and the short ratio is 3.47. That is not the setup of a stock the market is aggressively betting against. It is closer to a respected industrial name that still has to prove its growth mix deserves a higher multiple.

Competitive Landscape

TEL competes across several product and end-market categories rather than against one clean peer set. In Transportation Solutions, the 2025 annual report lists Yazaki, Aptiv, Sumitomo, Sensata, and Honeywell as major competitors. In communications-related markets, TE’s 2024 annual report listed Amphenol, Molex, JST, and Korea Electric Terminal as major competitors.

For investors, Amphenol is probably the closest broad interconnect comparison, while Aptiv is relevant in automotive electrical architecture. Sensata and Honeywell matter in sensor-adjacent markets. Molex, Yazaki, JST, and Sumitomo are important operational competitors even if some are private or less directly comparable in public-market valuation terms.

TEL’s advantage versus many rivals is breadth plus engineering depth. It can serve transportation, industrial automation, energy, aerospace, and AI infrastructure from one platform. That scale helps with customer coverage and manufacturing efficiency. The tradeoff is that TEL is less of a pure-play than some niche peers, so it may not get the market’s highest multiple even when one business is on fire.

The company’s recent numbers show it is competing well. Industrial Solutions adjusted operating margin reached 21.8% in Q2 FY2026 while growing 27% reported. Transportation Solutions also delivered 21.8% adjusted operating margin. When both segments produce similar margins, it suggests the company is not subsidizing one weak business with one strong business. That is a sign of disciplined portfolio management.

Macro & Geopolitical Landscape

TEL sits at the intersection of several macro forces. The good ones are AI infrastructure spending, electric grid modernization, defense spending, and rising electronic content in vehicles. The harder ones are inflation in input costs, freight volatility, tariffs, interest rates, and geopolitical disruptions. The company’s 2025 annual report specifically flags recession risk, automotive weakness, pricing pressure, supply chain disruption, China-related uncertainty, and acquisition execution risk.

Management gave a useful real-time read in Q2 FY2026. Terrence Curtin said the company had not seen demand-negative impacts in orders since a conflict broke out, and that order trends remained broad across regions and businesses. That does not erase geopolitical risk, but it does show the current demand picture held up through the quarter.

Transportation remains the most cyclical macro exposure. Management said global auto production for the year is expected at 88M to 89M units and still slightly down overall, with Europe a bit stronger and North America weaker. TEL’s auto business is therefore relying more on content growth than on unit growth. That is a workable model, but it is not recession-proof.

Industrial has the cleaner macro setup today. AI-related data center buildout, utility investment in grid hardening, and defense modernization all have stronger funding support than many traditional industrial categories. That is one reason TEL’s Industrial segment is currently outrunning Transportation by a wide margin.

Balance Sheet Health

▌Premium Members Only

Net debt is about $5.3B, with $6.55B of debt and $1.255B of cash, but strong free cash flow and near-100% shareholder returns help offset the leverage.

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Income Statement Strength

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Q2 FY2026 revenue rose 15% to $4.744B and adjusted EPS climbed 24% to $2.73, while companywide adjusted operating margin reached 21.7%.

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Estimates Outlook

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Management expects more than $2B of growth this year and raised fiscal 2026 AI revenue expectations by about $150M, with the increase concentrated in the second half.

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Valuation Assessment

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TEL trades at a trailing P/E of 21.35, a forward P/E of 16, and a PEG of 0.933, which looks reasonable for a business with record orders and double-digit growth.

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Target Prices & Recommendation

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A fair value estimate of $245 implies meaningful upside from current levels, supported by a Buy rating and strong execution across Industrial and AI-linked end markets.

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Closing

TEL is doing what good industrial compounders do when conditions turn favorable: it is converting demand into orders, orders into revenue, revenue into margin, and margin into cash. Q2 FY2026 made that clear with $4.744B of revenue, $2.73 of adjusted EPS, $5.3B of orders, and 21.7% adjusted operating margin. The business is broad enough to absorb weakness in one lane and focused enough to win in the right ones.

The most important shift is strategic, not cosmetic. Industrial Solutions is increasingly tied to AI data centers, grid hardening, aerospace, and automation, while Transportation continues to benefit from rising content per vehicle even in a soft production environment. That mix change gives TEL a better growth profile than its old reputation suggests.

This is not a no-risk story. Automotive production is still soft, input costs can bite, and geopolitical disruptions are part of the operating landscape. But TEL has shown it can defend margins, generate cash, and invest for the next wave at the same time. For investors who want a disciplined industrial technology name rather than a market darling with a heroic multiple, TEL remains appealing. The fair value estimate of $245 supports a Buy.

+How risky is TEL's balance sheet?
TEL carries meaningful leverage, with about $5.3B of net debt from $6.55B of debt and $1.255B of cash. That said, the company’s strong free cash flow and high cash conversion reduce the risk profile and support continued shareholder returns.
+What should investors watch next for TEL?
Investors should watch whether Industrial Solutions keeps outpacing Transportation and whether AI-related revenue continues to ramp in the second half of fiscal 2026. The key signal is whether record orders translate into sustained margin and earnings expansion.
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