Alcoa Corporation
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Range $53 – $70
Price Chart
About the company
Alcoa Corporation stands as a global industrial leader, primarily focused on the production and sale of bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. Its extensive operations span multiple continents, including North America (United States, Canada), Europe (Spain, Iceland, Norway), South America (Brazil), and Australia, along with other international markets. The company's activities are strategically divided into three principal segments: Bauxite, Alumina, and Aluminum.
- CEO
- William F. Oplinger
- IPO
- 2016
- Employees
- 14,900
- HQ
- Pittsburgh, PA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
AA is still in a long-term downtrend, trading well below its 200-day average after a sharp reset from the 52-week high. The stock has stabilized above the yearly low, but the regime remains a recovery setup rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
Street sentiment is constructive but cautious: consensus sits at Buy with a 60.43 target, roughly above the current quote but far below the prior cycle peak. Recent action has been mixed, with several target cuts alongside fresh Overweight/Buy initiations, signaling selective confidence rather than broad enthusiasm.
The earnings pattern has been uneven but workable, with 5 beats in the last 8 quarters and a 10.3% EPS beat in the latest report. Next-year EPS estimates sit around 5.21 versus 5.92 TTM, so shareholders should watch whether margin discipline can offset softer forward expectations.
Recent insider activity leans negative on discretionary trades, with four open-market sales from officers outweighing no open-market buys. The other transactions are awards and vesting-related flows, which are routine compensation noise rather than a bullish signal.
Profitability is solid for a cyclical materials name, with a 16.0% operating margin, 10.7% net margin, and 20.6% ROE. Growth is strong too, with revenue up 23.7% year over year and earnings up 105.7%, while free cash flow reached $1.80 billion and covered the balance sheet’s net debt position.
AA screens as a leveraged aluminum cycle play with stronger earnings sensitivity than diversified materials peers. The stock trades at 8.31x earnings, a discount profile that fits its cyclicality and balance-sheet leverage.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $10.83B
- P/E
- 7.15
- Fwd P/E
- 5.96
- PEG
- 0.21
- P/S
- 0.77
- P/B
- 1.34
- EV/EBITDA
- 4.72
- Div Yield
- 0.96%
- Gross Margin
- 21.93%
- Op Margin
- 11.28%
- Net Margin
- 10.68%
- ROE
- 21.40%
- ROIC
- 9.17%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $12.83B+5.3%
- Gross Profit
- $2.17B+45.1%
- Op Income
- $758.00M
- Net Income
- $1.16B+1828.3%
- EPS
- $4.47+1496.4%
- OCF Growth
- +90.5%
- FCF Growth
- +1250.0%
- 52W High
- $84.38
- 52W Low
- $35.12
- 50D MA
- $42.98
- 200D MA
- $55.55
- Beta
- 1.83
- RSI (14)
- 49
- Avg Volume
- 4.50M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Alcoa reported stronger third-quarter results on higher alumina prices and solid execution, while advancing major asset sales and the Alumina Limited Group acquisition.· October 15, 2026
- Revenue was $3.7 billion; net income attributable to Alcoa was $483 million and EPS was $1.81, versus $407 million in the prior quarter.
- Adjusted EBITDA was $789 million, helped by stronger alumina pricing and better operational performance, especially at Pinjarra.
- The company completed the Alumar smelter restart, delivered 6 year-to-date production records, and increased aluminum production by about 15 thousand metric tons sequentially.
- Alcoa signed a definitive agreement for Messina East with potential cash proceeds of up to $315 million, with $50 million to $65 million expected at closing.
- Management said the Alumina Limited Group acquisition remains on track for first-half 2027 closing, with $2.6 billion of debt financing completed and no China approval required.
Third-quarter revenue was $3.7 billion, with lower metal prices driving the sequential decline. Alumina third-party revenue rose 7% to $680 million on higher realized alumina prices and higher shipping volumes, while aluminum third-party revenue was $3 billion, reflecting lower metal prices and normalized shipments after the prior quarter’s inventory repositioning. Net income attributable to Alcoa was $483 million, or $1.81 per share, versus $407 million in the prior quarter; adjusted net income was $485 million versus $562 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $789 million. Cash from operations was $643 million and free cash flow was $472 million; the company ended the quarter with $4.4 billion of cash, including $2.6 billion from the September bond issue. For the fourth quarter, management expects continued strong operating performance, higher production and shipments in both segments, but also some higher direct input costs and planned maintenance. Full-year outlook changes were described as only minor adjustments, mainly to transformation expenses, depreciation, interest expense and capital expenditures.
Bill Oplinger framed the quarter around operational momentum, safety, and portfolio repositioning. He said Alcoa delivered 6 year-to-date production records, completed the Alumar restart, and made progress at Pinjarra, which he described as evidence of improving stability and disciplined execution. He also emphasized the company’s strategy of value-creating growth, saying Alcoa will not pursue growth for growth’s sake and is focused on safety, operational excellence, and disciplined capital allocation.
Molly Beerman highlighted the quarter’s financial strength, with $3.7 billion of revenue, $789 million of adjusted EBITDA, $643 million of operating cash flow, and $472 million of free cash flow. She said the quarter ended with $4.4 billion of cash, including $2.6 billion from the bond issue used to help fund the $3.1 billion Alumina Limited Group cash consideration at closing. She also said the company returned $80 million to shareholders in dividends year to date and that full-year guidance saw only minor changes.
Analysts focused on why alumina guidance looked flat, and management clarified that the guidance refers to performance elements only, not market pricing; if prices improve, that benefit would flow through. Questions also centered on aluminum shipment timing, with management explaining the second quarter’s inventory repositioning of about 30 thousand metric tons did not repeat. Other notable questions covered tariffs, Indonesian supply growth, the Western Australia mine-plan delay, and capital allocation; management said the U.S.-Canada tariff situation is speculative, expects about 1 million metric tons of Indonesian smelting capacity to come online next year, and sees the WA approvals process extending into 2027 but with contingencies in place. They also said the priority after the Alumina Limited Group closing will be rapid delevering, not share repurchases.
The call pointed to improving operations, with restart completion, production records, and better refinery stability supporting the outlook. Alumina market conditions outside China are tightening, aluminum inventories remain historically low, and management said the order book is solid with most products sold out or tightly committed. The company also has meaningful optionality from asset monetization and the pending Alumina Limited Group deal, which management said could strengthen cash generation and deleveraging capacity.
Risks include the fatality at Alumar, which management said requires renewed focus on safety and culture. The Western Australia mine-plan approval process is taking longer than expected and is now expected to extend into 2027, while management also flagged uncertainty around future supply additions in Indonesia and the Middle East. On the financial side, lower metal prices and higher carbon costs pressured aluminum segment EBITDA, and management said the current priority is delevering rather than buybacks.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 99.6%
- Shares Outstanding
- 263.97M
- Float Shares
- 262.87M
of shares held by institutions
777 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.17. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for AA, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Jan 13, 26 | Filing → |
| Julia LetlowHouse · LA05 | Buy | Oct 23, 24 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Jan 9, 25 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Nov 19, 24 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Buy | Jun 27, 24 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Buy | Jun 5, 24 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Buy | Jun 5, 24 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Buy | Jun 27, 24 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Buy | May 16, 24 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Buy | May 16, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | May 19, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Nov 3, 22 | Filing → |
| Virginia Ann FoxxHouse · NC05 | Sell | Sep 28, 22 | Filing → |
| Virginia Ann FoxxHouse · NC05 | Buy | Sep 1, 22 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 29.32M | ▲ 923.11K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 25.13M | ▼ 71.99K |
| Fmr LLC | 17.00M | ▲ 4.14M |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 13.00M | ▲ 351.01K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 11.93M | ▲ 149.41K |
| Eagle Capital Management LLC | 11.88M | ▼ 2.22M |
| State Street Corp | 10.88M | ▼ 5.59K |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | 7.90M | ▲ 2.05M |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 5.83M | ▼ 112.86K |
| Aqr Capital Management LLC | 4.09M | ▼ 1.08M |
| Morgan Stanley | 3.59M | ▼ 507.16K |
| D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. | 3.59M | ▼ 25.30K |
Held by 531 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in AA by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Hastings Andrew | other | 2,638 |
| Sep 15, 26 | Hastings Andrew | other | 1,200 |
| Sep 15, 26 | Hastings Andrew | other | 2,525 |
| Aug 31, 26 | Bacchi Renato | sell | 700 |
| Aug 27, 26 | Jones Tammi A | sell | 15,628 |
| Aug 17, 26 | Hastings Andrew | sell | 6,000 |
| Jul 22, 26 | Reed Matthew T | sell | 4,600 |
| May 8, 26 | Roberts Jackson Prince | other | 2,532 |
| May 8, 26 | Roberts Carol L | other | 2,532 |
| May 8, 26 | de Oliveira Marques Roberto | other | 2,532 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our AA coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Alcoa (AA): Cyclical Upside With Execution Risk
Alcoa’s Q2 2026 results showed sharp operating leverage, with record revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow. The stock looks reasonably valued, but the South32 deal and aluminum-cycle dependence keep the rating at Hold.

Alcoa Corporation (AA) rises 6% on earnings beat and deal progress
Alcoa Corporation (AA) rises after topping earnings expectations and gaining momentum from South32 shareholder approval of the AliGroup acquisition. Strong cash flow, higher production, and improving sentiment helped lift the stock, though aluminum prices and energy costs remain key risks for investors.

Alcoa Corporation (AA) gains on deep earnings beat analysis
Alcoa Corporation (AA) gained after a Q3 EPS beat, but the deeper read shows a mixed quarter: revenue missed estimates even as profit, year-over-year growth, and guidance held up. This analysis breaks down the earnings quality, operating trends, and analyst reaction behind the stock move.
Want a deeper read on AA?
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D.A. Davidson & CO. Sells 14,463 Shares of Alcoa $AA
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Alcoa: Undervalued But Don't Expect Any Major Price Runs
seekingalpha.com · Oct 20
Alcoa Beat Earnings, But Can It Escape the Aluminum Bears?
marketbeat.com · Oct 19
What Alcoa (AA) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call
defenseworld.net · Oct 17
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Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed November 8, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice