Advance Auto Parts, Inc.
Built from real-time financials, refreshed daily. For a full Analyst Grade with bull/bear case, price targets, and qualitative risk analysis, generate a AAP research report →
Range $45 – $65
Price Chart
About the company
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. operates as a leading retailer and supplier of a comprehensive array of automotive replacement components, accessories, batteries, and essential maintenance supplies. Its extensive inventory caters to a wide spectrum of vehicles, including domestic and imported passenger cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and both light and heavy-duty trucks.
- CEO
- Shane O'Kelly
- IPO
- 2001
- Employees
- 54,007
- HQ
- Raleigh, NC, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
AAP remains in a long downtrend and is still below its 200-day moving average of 51.61, with the stock trading much closer to its 52-week low than its high. The setup is a basing attempt inside a weak secular trend, so shareholders should watch for sustained reclaiming of longer-term moving averages before calling a durable reversal.
Wall Street is cautious but not outright bearish: the consensus sits at Hold, with an average target around 50.21 versus a 45 to 65 range. Recent action skewed lower, as multiple firms cut targets into the mid-to-high 40s and low 50s, even as a few names upgraded or reiterated constructive views.
The earnings profile is strong on surprises, with AAP beating estimates in 7 of 7 recent quarters and the last print topping by 27.2%. Next-year EPS is modeled at 3.90 versus 1.79 TTM, so the key watch is whether margin recovery and demand stabilization can keep that step-up on track.
Insider activity is mostly non-discretionary and reads as neutral. Recent entries are awards and in-kind or vesting-related flows, not open-market buys or sells, so they do not signal a clear conviction shift. The pattern points to routine compensation activity rather than a directional insider bet.
Profitability is modest but positive, with a 45.1% gross margin, 5.55% operating margin, and 0.99% net margin. Growth remains soft, as revenue fell 0.5% year over year, but earnings still grew 2.6% and free cash flow was $206 million, or $3.41 per share.
AAP’s appeal is valuation and cash generation rather than premium growth, with an 8.58% free-cash-flow yield and a P/E of 12.01. Against specialty retail peers, the setup favors a turnaround story, but the stock still trades like a challenged operator rather than a category leader.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $2.39B
- P/E
- 28.46
- Fwd P/E
- 13.27
- PEG
- 0.09
- P/S
- 0.28
- P/B
- 1.06
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.38
- Div Yield
- 2.52%
- Gross Margin
- 44.66%
- Op Margin
- 3.75%
- Net Margin
- 0.97%
- ROE
- 3.79%
- ROIC
- 3.49%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $8.60B-5.4%
- Gross Profit
- $3.73B+9.5%
- Op Income
- $161.00M
- Net Income
- $44.00M+113.1%
- EPS
- $0.73+113.0%
- OCF Growth
- -154.4%
- FCF Growth
- -209.9%
- 52W High
- $65.20
- 52W Low
- $37.89
- 50D MA
- $47.77
- 200D MA
- $51.49
- Beta
- 1.03
- RSI (14)
- 37
- Avg Volume
- 1.96M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Advance Auto Parts said Q2 was pressured by weaker DIY demand, but Pro strength, better execution KPIs, positive free cash flow, and reaffirmed full-year guidance point to continued turnaround progress.· August 20, 2026
- Net sales were $2 billion, adjusted EPS was $1.03 vs. $0.69 last year, and adjusted operating income margin was 5.6%.
- Comparable sales declined slightly as Pro posted low-single-digit growth but DIY fell more than expected, especially late in the quarter.
- Gross margin expanded to 46.2% with $924 million of adjusted gross profit; tariff refunds contributed $26 million, or 130 basis points.
- Free cash flow turned positive, with $120 million year-to-date versus a $201 million outflow last year.
- Management reaffirmed full-year sales, margin, and free cash flow guidance and raised adjusted EPS guidance to $2.60 to $3.30.
Second-quarter net sales were $2 billion, with a slight decline in comparable sales. Adjusted gross profit was $924 million, or 46.2% of net sales, up about 240 basis points year over year; tariff refunds contributed $26 million, or 130 basis points, of that gross margin benefit. Adjusted SG&A was $812 million, or 40.6% of net sales, and adjusted operating income was $112 million, or 5.6% of net sales, up about 260 basis points year over year. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.03 versus $0.69 last year. Year-to-date free cash flow was $120 million versus a $201 million outflow last year. For 2026, management reaffirmed net sales of about $8.5 billion, comparable sales growth of 1% to 2%, adjusted operating margin of 3.8% to 4.5%, gross margin expansion of 110 to 150 basis points to about 45%, and free cash flow of about $100 million. Adjusted diluted EPS guidance was raised to $2.60 to $3.30. Capex is expected to be about $300 million, with 30 to 35 new stores and 15 to 20 market hubs planned for the year.
Shane O'Kelly framed the quarter as an inflection point in the turnaround, emphasizing that the company is executing on controllable levers while the macro backdrop remains tough. He highlighted improved KPIs such as NPS, time to serve, attachment rates, and the return to positive free cash flow, and said the strategic plan is unchanged across merchandising, supply chain, and store operations. His tone was cautiously optimistic, with repeated emphasis on discipline, execution, and long-term value creation.
Ryan Grimsland focused on the mechanics behind the quarter and the outlook. He cited $2 billion of net sales, $924 million of adjusted gross profit, 46.2% gross margin, $812 million of adjusted SG&A, $112 million of adjusted operating income, and $1.03 adjusted EPS, then explained that tariff refunds, mix, and freight/fuel costs were the main margin drivers. He also pointed to $120 million of year-to-date free cash flow, $3.1 billion of cash, and net debt leverage of 2.1x, while noting the $30 million debt repurchase and reaffirming a roughly $100 million full-year free cash flow target.
Analysts pressed management on whether Main Street Pro transaction growth is sustainable, how much of the quarter’s softness was macro versus strategy, and whether the company should lower the back-half comp outlook. Management said Main Street Pro is gaining traction, national-account pressure should be about half of first-half levels in the second half, and market hubs plus assortment improvements should continue to support wins. On margins, management said Q2 gross margin was held back by DIY mix and freight/fuel costs, not a loss of merchandising effectiveness, and reiterated confidence in at least 100 basis points of margin expansion next year as supply-chain and store initiatives mature.
The bull case from this call is that Advance Auto Parts is seeing real operational improvement despite a weak demand backdrop. Pro is growing, Main Street is outperforming total Pro by more than 200 basis points, NPS has moved from the high 60s to nearly 80, and free cash flow has turned positive. Management also sees more margin expansion ahead from merchandising, supply chain, and store productivity initiatives.
The bear case is that DIY demand remains fragile and management said the consumer is under pressure from tighter budgets and higher fuel costs. Q2 comps weakened in the last four weeks, and management still expects DIY pressure, higher commodity-driven inflation, and elevated freight/fuel costs in the back half. There is also execution risk around sustaining transaction improvement, integrating new pricing and labor standards, and delivering the expected margin gains into 2027.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 99.5%
- Shares Outstanding
- 60.30M
- Float Shares
- 60.00M
of shares held by institutions
397 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for AAP, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Sep 15, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Sep 15, 23 | Filing → |
| Daniel GoldmanHouse · NY10 | Sell | Jul 12, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Jun 5, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Jun 5, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jun 29, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | May 12, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | May 12, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 19, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Apr 10, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Mar 14, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael C. BurgessHouse · TX26 | Sell | Feb 24, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael C. BurgessHouse · TX26 | Buy | Feb 24, 23 | Filing → |
| Michael C. BurgessHouse · TX26 | Sell | Feb 24, 23 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 9.35M | ▲ 426.29K |
| Price T Rowe Associates Inc | 8.43M | ▲ 443.87K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 6.81M | ▼ 14.62K |
| Pzena Investment Management LLC | 4.39M | ▲ 88.41K |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 3.74M | ▲ 120.12K |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | 3.06M | ▲ 935.36K |
| Federated Hermes, Inc. | 3.00M | ▼ 40.20K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 2.72M | ▲ 22.58K |
| State Street Corp | 2.55M | ▲ 115.84K |
| Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. | 2.42M | ▲ 1.12M |
| Fuller & Thaler Asset Management, Inc. | 2.23M | ▼ 600.50K |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2.09M | ▲ 1.07M |
Held by 403 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in AAP by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 26 | OKelly Shane M | other | 11,437 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Johnson Richard A | other | 18.652 |
| Jul 24, 26 | JAMISON CYNTHIA T | other | 16.514 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Windom Brent | other | 43.353 |
| Jul 24, 26 | LEE EUGENE I JR | other | 388.37 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Smith Gregory L | other | 43.353 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Hilson Joan M | other | 57.971 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Ferraro John Francis | other | 118.618 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Bailo Carla Jean | other | 65.221 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Seboldt Thomas W | other | 44.661 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our AAP coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Advance Auto Parts (AAP): Turnaround Gains, But Debt Looms
Advance Auto Parts is showing real operational progress, with margin improvement, better service metrics, and positive free cash flow. Even so, weak revenue growth, heavy debt, and a valuation above consensus keep the stock in Hold territory.

Inside Our Top Auto Parts Stock Picks for September 2026
A five-stock countdown covers aftermarket retailers, a digital auto marketplace, and replacement-parts suppliers, with three lower-ranked names available in the public portion.

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) climbs on deep earnings analysis
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) climbs after a detailed look at a clean Q1 beat, five-year-best comparable sales, and margin gains that suggest the turnaround is taking hold. We break down the numbers, management’s guidance, and what the latest analyst reactions mean for the stock.
Want a deeper read on AAP?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
Here's Why Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is a Strong Value Stock
zacks.com · Sep 29
A Look at Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) After 4.0% Gain -- GF Value $48.64 vs Price $42.66
gurufocus.com · Sep 22
AutoZone Climbs 6% as Profit Beat Offsets Revenue Miss; Advance Auto Parts Rises 6%, O'Reilly Automotive Gains 4%
247wallst.com · Sep 22
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. $AAP Stock Holdings Raised by MAC Alpha Capital Management LP
defenseworld.net · Sep 21
Advance Auto Parts vs. Intuitive Machines: Which Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
fool.com · Sep 16
Zacks Industry Outlook O'Reilly and Advance Auto Parts
zacks.com · Sep 16
2 Auto Retail Parts Stocks Worth Watching as Aftermarket Demand Grows
zacks.com · Sep 15
Advance Auto Parts vs. NIO: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
fool.com · Sep 15
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 1, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice