GRAIL Inc.
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Range $56 – $175
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About the company
GRAIL, Inc. , a commercial-stage healthcare company, provides multi-cancer early detection testing and services in the United States and internationally. It offers Galleri, a cancer screening test for asymptomatic individuals over 50 years of age; and a diagnostic aid for cancer tests to accelerate diagnostic resolution for patients with clinical suspicion of cancer.
- CEO
- Joshua J. Ofman
- IPO
- 2024
- Employees
- 910
- HQ
- Menlo Park, CA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock remains in a powerful multi-month uptrend, trading well above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It is still below the 52-week high, but the gap has narrowed sharply from the year’s low, keeping the regime constructive rather than stretched.
Street sentiment is constructive: consensus sits at Buy with a $107.88 target, though the stock has already outrun that level. Recent changes skew bullish, with multiple target raises to $120, $150, and $175, while only one fresh Sector Perform call tempers the tone.
The company has a strong beat pattern, with seven straight EPS beats and the last four surprises ranging from 3.6% to 30.1%. Next quarter is expected to remain loss-making, with EPS estimates still negative, so shareholders should watch for revenue traction and any narrowing of losses.
Recent insider activity leans negative on discretionary trading, led by heavy CEO and CFO selling in October and September. The award and exempt transactions are routine compensation noise; the signal comes from the clustered open-market sales, which outweigh the small director awards.
Profitability is still negative, but the top line is growing and gross margin is healthy at 49.7%. Revenue rose 25.7% year over year, while operating margin was -3.32% and free cash flow was -$298.1 million for 2025, showing growth is not yet translating into cash generation.
GRAL stands out for scale and growth in multi-cancer screening, but it still trails peers on earnings quality because losses remain persistent. Valuation is rich versus the sector, with the stock trading above the consensus target and well above the median Street view.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $6.42B
- P/E
- -14.71
- PEG
- -0.47
- P/S
- 38.77
- P/B
- 2.43
- EV/EBITDA
- -17.22
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- -10.83%
- Op Margin
- -338.40%
- Net Margin
- -236.95%
- ROE
- -15.88%
- ROIC
- -14.93%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $147.17M+17.2%
- Gross Profit
- $-62,573,000+19.8%
- Op Income
- $-534,163,000
- Net Income
- $-408,351,000+79.9%
- EPS
- $-11.11+82.5%
- OCF Growth
- +48.2%
- FCF Growth
- +48.7%
- 52W High
- $166.48
- 52W Low
- $41.50
- 50D MA
- $114.33
- 200D MA
- $78.46
- Beta
- 3.25
- RSI (14)
- 56
- Avg Volume
- 1.06M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
GRAIL delivered 26% Q2 revenue growth and stronger test volumes, while leaning heavily on its clinical data, FDA approval path, and international expansion plans to support the Galleri growth story.· August 5, 2026
- Q2 revenue rose to $44.7 million, up 26% year over year, driven by Galleri screening revenue of $42.6 million and test volume above 61,000, up 35%.
- Adjusted gross profit improved to $21.6 million as higher volume and lower sample reprocessing costs helped margins.
- Management said the FDA PMA review remains in process, expects an AdCom in the fall, and still targets potential approval in the first part of 2027.
- The company closed a $110 million Samsung strategic financing and began work on a South Korea commercial collaboration with potential expansion into Japan and Singapore.
- Physician adoption, provider adds, employer partnerships, and digital health channels were cited as growth drivers, while competition from other MCED entrants was described as creating market confusion.
Second quarter revenue was $44.7 million, up $9.1 million or 26% from Q2 2025. Screening revenue was $42.6 million, up 24%, with more than 61,000 Galleri tests sold, up 35% year over year; the first half of 2026 saw Galleri test revenue growth of 30% to more than $80 million and test volume growth of 42% to more than 117,000 tests. Net loss was $110.2 million, a 3% improvement versus Q2 2025. Non-GAAP adjusted gross profit was $21.6 million, up $5.4 million or 34%, and adjusted EBITDA was negative $90.3 million, an increase in loss of $11.9 million or 15%. GRAIL ended the quarter with $861.6 million of cash, including the $110 million Samsung investment that closed in June. Guidance-wise, management did not give numeric revenue guidance; instead it said the FDA PMA remains under iterative review, an advisory committee is expected in the fall, and potential approval timing remains expected in the first part of 2027. The Illumina royalty is expected to resume toward the end of Q4 and management said it should have minimal impact in Q4.
Josh Ofman framed the quarter around clinical validation and regulatory momentum, arguing that Galleri remains the only MCED with extensive evidence from large interventional studies. He emphasized the ASCO presentation of PATHFINDER 2 and NHS-Galleri, the focus on FDA approval and reimbursement, and the view that Galleri is highly differentiated because of its low false positive rate and methylation-based technology. His tone was confident and promotional, but he also repeatedly acknowledged uncertainty around FDA timing, CMS coverage, and the broader MCED market.
Aaron Freidin highlighted the financial bridge from revenue growth to operating losses: Q2 revenue of $44.7 million, adjusted gross profit of $21.6 million, net loss of $110.2 million, and adjusted EBITDA loss of $90.3 million. He said gross margin benefited from improved fixed-cost leverage from higher volumes and lower sample reprocessing costs, partly offset by lower ASPs. He also pointed to a strengthened balance sheet with $861.6 million in cash after the $110 million Samsung investment, which he said gives GRAIL flexibility as it pursues regulatory approval and reimbursement.
Analysts pressed management on the expected FDA advisory committee, whether the timing could slip into next year, and what the agency might focus on; management said it has long expected an AdCom, has not been given public timing, and believes the FDA division it is working with has been stable and productive. On pricing and competition, Andrew Partridge said the Q2 ASP decline was driven by more digital health volume and planned lower employer pricing tied to stronger partnership commitments, while also noting that newer MCED entrants are causing confusion because they lack screening-population data and have higher false positive rates. Questions also covered sales force expansion, publications, Samsung’s international rollout, and the resumption of the Illumina royalty; management said the sales force build is now largely complete, publications are under active review, and the royalty should not materially affect Q4.
The bull case from this call is that Galleri is still posting solid top-line growth, with volume up 35% and revenue up 26%, while management says physician reaction to the ASCO data has been very positive. GRAIL also has a large cash balance, a new strategic Samsung partner, and a clearer path to potential FDA approval and payer engagement if that approval comes through.
The main risks raised were regulatory timing and execution: the FDA has not publicly set the AdCom or approval timeline, and management could not rule out delays. Management also acknowledged that NHS reform is creating uncertainty in the U.K., and competition is adding market noise and customer confusion, especially because rival MCEDs have not yet shown intended-use screening data.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 94.4%
- Shares Outstanding
- 44.67M
- Float Shares
- 42.16M
of shares held by institutions
394 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.38. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Farallon Capital Management, L.L.C. | 4.16M | ▲ 907.90K |
| Baker Bros. Advisors LP | 4.03M | 0 |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 3.58M | ▲ 608.54K |
| State Street Corp | 2.39M | ▲ 493.62K |
| Primecap Management Co | 2.18M | ▲ 336.33K |
| Sessa Capital Im, L.P. | 2.04M | ▲ 318.20K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 1.98M | ▲ 163.79K |
| Deep Track Capital, LP | 1.83M | ▲ 112.15K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 1.64M | ▲ 114.01K |
| Morgan Stanley | 1.46M | ▼ 170.03K |
| Arbiter Partners Capital Management LLC | 1.03M | ▼ 300 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 991.38K | ▲ 163.44K |
Held by 326 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in GRAL by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 26 | SUMME GREGORY L | other | 237 |
| Oct 15, 26 | CHASE WILLIAM J | other | 153 |
| Oct 15, 26 | Ofman Joshua J. | sell | 400 |
| Oct 15, 26 | Ofman Joshua J. | sell | 1,000 |
| Oct 15, 26 | Ofman Joshua J. | sell | 3,400 |
| Oct 15, 26 | Ofman Joshua J. | sell | 7,052 |
| Oct 15, 26 | Ofman Joshua J. | sell | 6,034 |
| Oct 15, 26 | Ofman Joshua J. | sell | 2,114 |
| Oct 15, 26 | MIZELL STEVEN | other | 148 |
| Oct 5, 26 | Partridge Andrew John | sell | 7,873 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our GRAL coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.
Want a deeper read on GRAL?
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GRAIL Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results
prnewswire.com · Nov 4
GRAIL Q3 Earnings Ahead: Galleri Test Adoption to Drive Growth
zacks.com · Oct 29
GRAIL to Present at the UBS Global Healthcare Conference
prnewswire.com · Oct 27
5 Beaten-Down Growth Stocks Trading Like Value Plays as Cash Chases Mega-Caps
marketbeat.com · Oct 26
GRAIL to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results
prnewswire.com · Oct 21
GRAIL (NASDAQ:GRAL) Stock: Insider Joshua Ofman Sells 20,000 Shares
defenseworld.net · Oct 18
GRAIL (NASDAQ:GRAL) Stock Price Down 5.6% on Insider Selling
defenseworld.net · Oct 18
11 Stocks Most Likely to See a Short Squeeze Rally
schaeffersresearch.com · Oct 12
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed November 4, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice
