Eli Lilly and Company
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Range $940 – $1650
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About the company
Eli Lilly and Company is a prominent global pharmaceutical firm dedicated to the research, development, and commercialization of human medicines across the world. Its therapeutic offerings include a comprehensive suite of diabetes medications. This encompasses various insulin formulations like Basaglar, the Humalog family (e.
- CEO
- David A. Ricks
- IPO
- 1972
- Employees
- 50,000
- HQ
- Indianapolis, IN, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock remains in a powerful long-term uptrend, trading well above its 200-day average and near its 52-week high after a major multi-month advance. That leaves the setup extended rather than broken, with the market still pricing in strong secular growth and little evidence of a long basing phase.
Street sentiment stays constructive: the consensus is Buy, and the average target of about $1,442 sits above the current share price. Recent updates mostly raised targets into the $1,497-$1,650 range, with only one downgrade to Market Perform, showing confidence remains intact despite the rich valuation.
Earnings momentum is strong, with 7 of the last 8 quarters beating estimates and the last four surprises ranging from 5.2% to 39.4%. Next focus is whether management can keep translating 38.6% revenue growth and 16.3% earnings growth into another clean beat and raised outlook.
Recent insider activity leans to net selling, but most of the filings are automatic or administrative grants and vesting-related moves rather than discretionary conviction trades. The only clear open-market sale was 5,000 shares by the general counsel; the CEO’s filing was a gift, not a sale.
Profitability is exceptional, with an 83.6% gross margin, 53.7% operating margin, and 31.9% net margin. Growth remains strong at 38.6% revenue growth and 16.3% earnings growth, while free cash flow reached $24.65 billion, though leverage is meaningful with $35.24 billion in net debt.
LLY stands out for scale, margins, and growth across diabetes, obesity, oncology, and immunology, but that quality comes with a premium multiple. Compared with peers, the market is paying up for execution and pipeline breadth rather than cheap valuation.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $1.35T
- P/E
- 46.37
- Fwd P/E
- 40.51
- PEG
- 0.92
- P/S
- 15.58
- P/B
- 31.72
- EV/EBITDA
- 31.11
- Div Yield
- 0.47%
- Gross Margin
- 83.63%
- Op Margin
- 46.07%
- Net Margin
- 31.90%
- ROE
- 83.65%
- ROIC
- 30.50%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $65.18B+44.7%
- Gross Profit
- $54.13B+47.8%
- Op Income
- $29.70B
- Net Income
- $20.64B+94.9%
- EPS
- $23.07+96.2%
- OCF Growth
- +90.7%
- FCF Growth
- +138.6%
- 52W High
- $1453.00
- 52W Low
- $850.51
- 50D MA
- $1224.51
- 200D MA
- $1103.22
- Beta
- 0.45
- RSI (14)
- 70
- Avg Volume
- 2.56M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Eli Lilly delivered another very strong quarter with 39% revenue growth, higher margins, and a raised full-year outlook, driven by continued surge in incretins and growing momentum across the rest of the portfolio.· October 29, 2026
- Revenue rose 39% year over year; non-GAAP EPS was $7.48 versus $7.20 a year ago, despite $4.57 of acquired IPR&D charges.
- Gross margin improved to 84.4%, and non-GAAP performance margin rose to 54.2% from Q3 25.
- Full-year 2026 guidance was raised to $91 billion to $92 billion of revenue and $35 to $36 of non-GAAP EPS.
- Mounjaro and Zepbound combined generated more than $16 billion of revenue in the quarter, adding $6 billion of growth year over year.
- Management said Bridge, international self-pay demand, and the broader incretin market are all running better than expected, while pipeline progress and manufacturing expansion continued.
Q3 revenue grew 39% year over year, with revenue increasing nearly $7 billion versus Q3 25. Gross margin as a percentage of revenue was 84.4%, up 80 basis points year over year, and non-GAAP performance margin was 54.2%, up 5.9 percentage points. Non-GAAP EPS was $7.48, compared with $7.20 in Q3 25; both periods included acquired IPR&D charges, with this quarter at $4.57 versus $0.71 a year ago. Management raised 2026 guidance to revenue of $91 billion to $92 billion, non-GAAP performance margin of 52.5%, and non-GAAP EPS of $35 to $36. Lucas said 2026 revenue benefited from about $2 billion of one-time items not expected to recur. He also said the company expects continued U.S. volume growth, the full-year impact of Medicare GLP-1 Bridge access, and the launch of Foundayo in type 2 diabetes next year, while net realized price remains a headwind offset by volume growth.
David Ricks characterized the quarter as another period of solid execution, highlighting strong financial results, pipeline advancement, and manufacturing expansion. He emphasized that Lilly is leading what he described as the largest new category expansion in pharma history, especially in incretins, while also pushing growth in oncology, immunology, and neuroscience. His tone was confident and long-term oriented, stressing that the company is investing now to support durable global growth and broader access through efforts like the Medicare Bridge program and Lilly Direct.
Lucas Montarce said revenue grew 39%, gross margin reached 84.4%, and non-GAAP EPS was $7.48, with the quarter also benefiting from approximately $900 million of previously mentioned items such as milestones and rebate/discount estimate changes. He explained that U.S. revenue rose 34% on Zepbound and Mounjaro volume, Europe grew 29% in constant currency, Japan rose 26%, China 62%, and rest of world 87%, all driven largely by Mounjaro. On guidance, he said Lilly now expects 2026 revenue of $91 billion to $92 billion, non-GAAP performance margin of 52.5%, and non-GAAP EPS of $35 to $36, and noted that 2026 revenue included about $2 billion of non-recurring one-time items. He also framed 2027 as likely to see continued volume growth, more Medicare/Medicaid access, and persistent price pressure more than offset by volume.
Analysts focused heavily on whether Lilly’s raised guidance reflects a bigger-than-expected incretin market or demand pulled forward. Management said the surprise has mainly been better-than-expected uptake in the Medicare Bridge program, stronger international out-of-pocket demand, and overall confirmation that the company is still early in market penetration. Questions on persistency, Bridge mix, and future access prompted management to say Zepbound adherence has been strong, Bridge is drawing about 75% injectable use with roughly 80% treatment-naive patients, and commercial access should stay relatively stable while Medicare and Medicaid expand. Analysts also pressed on Lilly’s longer-term pipeline and M&A, and management emphasized ongoing work in oncology, neuroscience, and immunology, with more data expected at the December 7 Investor Day.
The bull case from this call is that Lilly’s core incretin franchise is still expanding from a low base, with management saying U.S. penetration is around 1 out of 10 patients and international penetration around 2 out of 100. Bridge, international self-pay, and new launches like Foundayo are broadening demand, while the pipeline is producing multiple late-stage and regulatory wins across cardiometabolic, oncology, neuroscience, and immunology. Management sounded confident that revenue growth can continue even as pricing remains a headwind.
The main risks discussed were pricing pressure, dependence on incretin growth, and uncertainty around how durable the current demand surge will be. Management said U.S. net realized price declined and expects pricing to remain a headwind, with mix shifting toward Medicare, Medicaid, and self-pay potentially lowering net price over time. They also acknowledged that some 2026 revenue included about $2 billion of one-time items, and several programs remain early, including Foundayo’s diabetes launch, longer-acting incretins, and the ultimate outcome of key pipeline studies such as EMBER-4 and Trailblazer-3.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 90.1%
- Shares Outstanding
- 940.75M
- Float Shares
- 847.86M
of shares held by institutions
4,802 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.64. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for LLY, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Sep 4, 26 | Filing → |
| John BoozmanSenate · AR | Sell | Nov 21, 25 | Filing → |
| Michael RulliHouse | Buy | Jan 2, 26 | Filing → |
| Michael RulliHouse | Sell | Dec 2, 25 | Filing → |
| Michael RulliHouse | Sell | Jul 1, 26 | Filing → |
| Thomas Hawley TubervilleSenate · AL | Sell | Apr 15, 25 | Filing → |
| Alan ArmstrongSenate | Sell | Mar 27, 26 | Filing → |
| Daniel Milton NewhouseHouse · WA04 | Sell | Jul 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Jun 2, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Jun 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Byron DonaldsHouse · FL19 | Buy | Apr 2, 26 | Filing → |
| Byron DonaldsHouse · FL19 | Buy | Apr 2, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Apr 14, 26 | Filing → |
| Elizabeth Pannill FletcherHouse | Sell | Apr 8, 26 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Lilly Endowment Inc | 90.07M | ▼ 310.00K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 81.97M | ▲ 1.01M |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 67.54M | ▲ 1.16M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 53.53M | ▲ 167.09K |
| Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. | 51.32M | ▼ 6.19K |
| State Street Corp | 36.22M | ▲ 605.75K |
| Fmr LLC | 28.46M | ▲ 2.12M |
| Capital Research Global Investors | 20.87M | ▼ 3.76M |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 20.86M | ▼ 117.81K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 20.31M | ▲ 118.99K |
| Morgan Stanley | 16.23M | ▲ 788.94K |
| Capital World Investors | 15.90M | ▲ 280.83K |
Held by 3,195 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in LLY by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 26 | Jonsson Patrik | other | 704 |
| Nov 3, 26 | Ricks David A | other | 23,538 |
| Nov 2, 26 | Skovronsky Daniel | other | 119 |
| Nov 2, 26 | Hakim Anat | sell | 5,000 |
| Nov 1, 26 | Montarce Lucas | other | 1,610 |
| Nov 1, 26 | Montarce Lucas | other | 677.593 |
| Nov 1, 26 | Montarce Lucas | other | 1,610 |
| Nov 1, 26 | Hernandez Edgardo | other | 2,530 |
| Nov 1, 26 | Hernandez Edgardo | other | 1,122.902 |
| Nov 1, 26 | Hernandez Edgardo | other | 2,530 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our LLY coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Eli Lilly (LLY): Obesity Growth Power Meets Premium Valuation
Eli Lilly is delivering exceptional growth from Mounjaro and Zepbound, but the stock already reflects a premium multiple and heavy concentration in its obesity franchise.

The Stockfish Moment, Revealed: Every Stock Brian Hicks Is Teasing in R.I.C.H. Report
Brian Hicks of Angel Investment Research is pitching the Stockfish Moment and Stockfish Five through the R.I.C.H. Report. We identify the five names and test the AI claims.

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) rises on Q3 earnings beat
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) rises after a strong Q3 earnings report topped revenue estimates and management lifted full-year guidance. Demand for Mounjaro and Zepbound powered the quarter, while investors also reacted to faster growth across newer pipeline and commercial products.
Want a deeper read on LLY?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
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AI analysis · Last refreshed November 6, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice