Moderna, Inc.
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Range $25 – $245
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About the company
Moderna, Inc. , a biotechnology firm, is dedicated to the discovery, development, and commercialization of messenger RNA (mRNA) based therapies and preventive medicines. Its extensive research and development efforts target a broad spectrum of medical needs, including infectious diseases, cancer immunology, rare conditions, cardiovascular ailments, and autoimmune disorders, with operations spanning the United States, Europe, and other global markets.
- CEO
- Stéphane Bancel
- IPO
- 2018
- Employees
- 4,700
- HQ
- Cambridge, MA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a powerful multi-month breakout, trading far above its 200-day average and near the top of its 52-week range. That kind of extension usually reflects a momentum regime rather than a base-building phase, so shareholders should watch whether gains can hold after the sharp rerating.
Street sentiment is still only Hold, but the tone has turned much more constructive. The consensus target sits at 106.44, and recent calls show a wave of target hikes, including UBS to 150 from 50, Goldman Sachs to 120 from 67, and RBC to 130 from 45.
The next print comes after a mixed run: 5 beats in the last 8 quarters, but the most recent quarter matched estimates and the prior one missed by 61.1%. Analysts still expect negative EPS next year at -4.9068, so the setup favors execution on revenue, margin control, and cash burn.
Recent insider activity leans to net selling, led by CEO Stéphane Bancel. Most of the reported shares are exempt or automatic transaction codes tied to awards or vesting, but the cluster of discretionary sales from the CEO stands out and keeps the signal cautious.
Profitability remains weak, with a gross margin of -66.0% and a net margin of -141.43%. Revenue still grew 2.1% year over year, and the balance sheet is solid with $5.799 billion in cash versus $1.916 billion of debt, leaving net cash of $3.883 billion.
Moderna still screens as a high-risk, high-cash biotech rather than a steady-profit peer. Versus the sector, the valuation is rich on a negative earnings base, while the market is paying for pipeline optionality and the recent rebound in analyst targets.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $56.23B
- P/E
- -18.11
- Fwd P/E
- 312.88
- PEG
- 2.14
- P/S
- 25.74
- P/B
- 8.47
- EV/EBITDA
- -20.12
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- -12.57%
- Op Margin
- -149.01%
- Net Margin
- -141.43%
- ROE
- -39.20%
- ROIC
- -39.16%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $1.94B-39.2%
- Gross Profit
- $1.08B-38.0%
- Op Income
- $-3,074,000,000
- Net Income
- $-2,822,000,000+20.8%
- EPS
- $-7.26+21.7%
- OCF Growth
- +37.6%
- FCF Growth
- +49.1%
- 52W High
- $176.66
- 52W Low
- $22.28
- 50D MA
- $63.91
- 200D MA
- $47.59
- Beta
- 0.90
- RSI (14)
- 75
- Avg Volume
- 9.95M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Moderna beat the top end of its Q2 revenue range, cut costs, and reiterated up to 10% revenue growth for 2026 while highlighting key respiratory and oncology pipeline milestones.· July 31, 2026
- Q2 revenue was $145 million, up 2% year over year, and above the company’s prior guidance range.
- Net loss was $782 million, or $1.97 per share, improving from a $825 million loss and $2.13 per share a year ago.
- Cash and investments ended the quarter at $6.9 billion; Moderna also said it reduced Q2 cash cost by 10% versus Q2 2025.
- Management reiterated 2026 revenue growth of up to 10% and raised confidence in its lowered cash cost outlook of about $4 billion.
- Key pipeline updates included a positive VRBPAC recommendation for flu vaccine mRNA-1010, a new cohort being prepared for norovirus mRNA-1403, and continued progress in Intismeran and other oncology programs.
Moderna reported Q2 2026 revenue of $145 million, up 2% year over year, and said it came in above the guidance range from the prior quarter call. Cost of sales was $93 million, down 22% year over year; R&D was $651 million, down 7%; and SG&A was $216 million, down 6%. The company posted a net loss of $782 million, improving by $43 million, or 5%, versus last year, with loss per share of $1.97 versus $2.13. Cash and investments were $6.9 billion at quarter-end versus $7.5 billion at the end of Q1. For 2026, Moderna reiterated revenue growth of up to 10%, said it now expects cost of sales of $1.7 billion, R&D of $2.9 billion, SG&A of about $1 billion, total GAAP operating expenses of $4.7 billion excluding the $0.9 billion litigation charge, and cash and investments of $4.7 billion to $5.2 billion at year-end. It also said capital expenditures are expected to be between $0.2 billion and $0.3 billion.
Stéphane Bancel framed the quarter as one of disciplined execution in a seasonally light period for vaccines. He emphasized the company’s readiness for the 2026 and 2027 vaccination seasons, pointed to the VRBPAC recommendation for mRNA-1010, and highlighted progress across respiratory, oncology, rare disease, and global partnerships. His tone was constructive and confident, while still stressing that success in the back half depends on execution and multiple pending regulatory and clinical milestones.
Jamey Mock focused on the financial discipline story: revenue beat the prior guidance range, cash cost in Q2 fell 10% versus last year, and several expense lines declined year over year. He lowered full-year cost of sales by $0.1 billion to $1.7 billion and R&D by $0.1 billion to $2.9 billion, while keeping SG&A at about $1 billion. He also said the updated 2026 framework implies $4.7 billion of GAAP operating expenses excluding the litigation charge, $4 billion of cash costs, and year-end cash and investments of $4.7 billion to $5.2 billion, with the $950 million litigation settlement payment to show up in Q3 cash.
Analysts pressed for more detail on the Intismeran melanoma interim, including timing, the possibility of accelerated review, and how a positive read-through could extend to lung and other tumors. Management repeatedly declined to disclose the statistical plan or timing specifics, but said the study was designed with Merck to assess the product’s full commercial profile and that there are subsequent planned analyses. They also said a positive result could support accelerated review and that manufacturing capacity in Massachusetts should be able to support an initial launch. On norovirus, management said the study remains blinded, the interim was delayed because cases came more slowly than expected, and they are now preparing an additional cohort for the next winter season. On flu, they said FDA and advisory committee discussions included the possibility of late strain selection, but actual handling would depend on public health bodies.
The positive case from this call is that Moderna is showing tighter financial discipline while still funding a broad pipeline and multiple near-term commercial opportunities. Management pointed to a positive FDA advisory committee recommendation for flu, growing international approvals and contracts, and encouraging real-world evidence for mNEXSPIKE’s first season. In oncology, they expressed confidence that Intismeran has commercial potential beyond melanoma, and new programs in cancer antigen therapy and rare disease continue to advance.
The main risks are that revenue remains highly seasonal and dependent on vaccine uptake, especially in the U.S., which management said is the biggest variable in the back half. Norovirus missed early success at interim analysis and now needs additional cohort enrollment and another season of data, while Intismeran’s pivotal melanoma readout remains uncertain on timing and threshold details. The company also continues to carry large operating losses and a cash balance that is projected to decline meaningfully by year-end, especially after the litigation settlement payment.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 93.8%
- Shares Outstanding
- 396.79M
- Float Shares
- 372.35M
of shares held by institutions
797 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.91. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for MRNA, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jan 29, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Aug 26, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Jul 25, 25 | Filing → |
| Rob BresnahanHouse · PA08 | Sell | Apr 8, 25 | Filing → |
| Rob BresnahanHouse · PA08 | Buy | Feb 25, 25 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Jan 15, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Sep 9, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Sep 9, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Mar 20, 24 | Filing → |
| Josh GottheimerHouse · NJ05 | Sell | Feb 1, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Feb 13, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Jan 10, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Nov 3, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Oct 2, 23 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Fmr LLC | 51.86M | ▲ 6.19M |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 41.58M | ▲ 399.49K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 30.60M | ▲ 963.53K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 23.21M | ▲ 336.33K |
| Capital World Investors | 22.28M | ▲ 3.58M |
| Baillie Gifford & Co | 18.21M | ▼ 1.78M |
| State Street Corp | 15.73M | ▲ 864.78K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 9.71M | ▲ 275.20K |
| Morgan Stanley | 9.54M | ▲ 1.07M |
| Theleme Partners Llp | 8.06M | ▲ 9.33K |
| Two Sigma Advisers, LP | 7.73M | ▲ 956.80K |
| Two Sigma Investments, LP | 7.19M | ▼ 1.89M |
Held by 956 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in MRNA by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Bancel Stephane | other | 499,246 |
| Aug 5, 26 | Bancel Stephane | sell | 147,473 |
| Aug 6, 26 | Bancel Stephane | other | 252,469 |
| Aug 5, 26 | Bancel Stephane | sell | 124,838 |
| Aug 5, 26 | Bancel Stephane | sell | 39,891 |
| Aug 5, 26 | Bancel Stephane | sell | 187,044 |
| Aug 5, 26 | Bancel Stephane | other | 370,853 |
| Aug 5, 26 | Bancel Stephane | other | 128,393 |
| Aug 6, 26 | Bancel Stephane | other | 64,928 |
| Jul 15, 26 | Hoge Stephen | other | 16,110 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our MRNA coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Moderna (MRNA): mNEXSPIKE Momentum vs. Cash Burn
Moderna is a Hold as mNEXSPIKE gains traction and the pipeline advances, but shrinking revenue, heavy losses, and negative free cash flow keep the story high risk.

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) Slumps After 177% Rally on Cancer Data
Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) slumps after a massive one-day surge sparked by positive Phase 3 melanoma data for its personalized cancer vaccine with Merck. The pullback looks like profit-taking after a historic repricing, even as the clinical win strengthens Moderna’s long-term oncology story.

Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) explodes 86% on melanoma data
Moderna, Inc. (MRNA) explodes after Merck collaboration data showed positive Phase 3 melanoma results for its personalized cancer vaccine. The stock surged in extended trading as investors priced in a possible new oncology growth engine, though the company remains unprofitable and valuation now looks stretched.
Want a deeper read on MRNA?
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Cancer vaccine breakthrough at Moderna raises hopes for Scancell's melanoma programme
proactiveinvestors.co.uk · Aug 20
Moderna stock falls 20% after record rally as valuation concerns emerge
invezz.com · Aug 20
Is Cancer the Next Breakthrough for Moderna After COVID-19?
zacks.com · Aug 20
Moderna Stock Rockets Higher After Positive Cancer Vaccine Trial Data
investopedia.com · Aug 20
Stock Futures Pinched by Oil, Iran Escalation
schaeffersresearch.com · Aug 20
5 Things to Know Before the Stock Market Opens on Thursday
investopedia.com · Aug 20
Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance
seekingalpha.com · Aug 20
Moderna's Newfound War Chest Opens Door for 4 Strategic Acquisition Targets
247wallst.com · Aug 20
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 20, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice