Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.
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Range $200 – $263
Price Chart
About the company
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) serves as a prominent less-than-truckload (LTL) freight carrier operating across the United States and North America. The company's offerings include LTL shipping solutions at regional, inter-regional, and national levels, often featuring expedited delivery options.
- CEO
- Kevin Freeman
- IPO
- 1991
- Employees
- 20,591
- HQ
- Thomasville, NC, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
ODFL remains in a corrective regime after a strong run, with the shares below both the 50-day and 200-day averages and still well under the 52-week high. The setup is more consolidation than breakdown, but buyers need a sustained reclaim of long-term trend levels to reset momentum.
Street sentiment is constructive but not euphoric: the consensus is Hold, while the average target of $233 sits above the last close and implies room for recovery. Recent revisions are mixed, with several firms trimming or resetting targets, even as Citigroup upgraded to Buy and multiple targets still cluster in the low-to-mid $200s.
The earnings profile has been solid, with 6 of the last 7 quarters beating EPS estimates and the most recent print topping by 10.5%. Next-year EPS is projected to rise to 6.6209 from a 5.2 TTM base, so shareholders should watch whether pricing discipline and volume trends keep supporting that path.
The pattern is mixed but leans to net selling once awards and gifts are stripped out. The only clear discretionary sale was 19,952 shares by an officer for about $3.96 million, while the rest of the activity is dominated by awards and a large gift, which are less informative for trading intent.
ODFL still screens as a high-quality operator, with 24.82% ROE, 28.84% operating margin, and 19.44% net margin. Revenue grew 10.4% year over year and earnings grew 32.3%, while 2025 free cash flow reached $1.785 billion, giving the company solid internal funding capacity.
ODFL’s edge is profitability and balance-sheet discipline, not leverage. It trades at 34.77x earnings, a premium multiple that reflects its stronger margins and cash generation versus typical trucking peers, but also leaves less room for disappointment if freight demand softens.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $37.30B
- P/E
- 34.49
- Fwd P/E
- 30.66
- PEG
- 29.55
- P/S
- 6.66
- P/B
- 8.23
- EV/EBITDA
- 20.39
- Div Yield
- 0.64%
- Gross Margin
- 31.70%
- Op Margin
- 25.84%
- Net Margin
- 19.44%
- ROE
- 24.87%
- ROIC
- 20.81%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $5.50B-5.5%
- Gross Profit
- $1.77B-12.6%
- Op Income
- $1.36B
- Net Income
- $1.02B-13.7%
- EPS
- $4.85-12.0%
- OCF Growth
- -17.4%
- FCF Growth
- +7.6%
- 52W High
- $252.03
- 52W Low
- $126.01
- 50D MA
- $195.51
- 200D MA
- $199.91
- Beta
- 1.17
- RSI (14)
- 44
- Avg Volume
- 1.73M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Old Dominion posted a strong second quarter with revenue growth, materially better operating leverage, and management seeing early signs of a broader freight recovery.· July 29, 2026
- Revenue increased 10.4% to $1.55 billion; EPS rose 32.3% to $1.68 and operating ratio improved 450 bps to 70.1%.
- LTL revenue per hundredweight rose 15.2% (5.5% ex-fuel) while tons per day fell 4.1%, showing pricing/yield strength despite still-soft volumes.
- Management said demand is improving, but the freight recovery is still in the “early innings,” with some evidence of truckload spillover into LTL and stronger July trends.
- Service remained best-in-class: 99% on-time service, a 0.1% claims ratio, and roughly 1,000 lane adjustments this year to improve transit times.
- Capital spending plans moved higher to about $380 million for 2026, reflecting strategic tractors/trailers and real estate/service-center opportunities rather than a capacity crunch.
Old Dominion reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $1.55 billion, up 10.4% year over year, with earnings per diluted share of $1.68, up 32.3%, and an operating ratio of 70.1%, a 450-basis-point improvement. LTL revenue per hundredweight increased 15.2% (5.5% excluding fuel surcharges), while tons per day declined 4.1%; on a sequential basis, revenue per day rose 14.6%, LTL tons per day rose 4.0%, and shipments per day rose 3.2%. Cash flow from operations was $272.7 million in the quarter and capital expenditures were $77.0 million. For the third quarter, management said July revenue per day was running about 7.5% to 8.0% above last year and anticipated LTL revenue per hundredweight ex-fuel to improve 4.0% to 4.5% in the third quarter. They also said a normalized third-quarter operating ratio would likely increase about 150 to 200 basis points from the reported 70.1% due largely to the $17.2 million gain on property and equipment disposals in the second quarter, and that the 2026 capital plan has been raised to about $380 million, with an expected effective tax rate of 25.0% for the third quarter.
Marty Freeman framed the quarter as proof that Old Dominion’s long-term strategy is working: investing through a soft freight market, preserving service, and using pricing discipline to support profitability. He emphasized confidence in winning share as conditions improve, pointing to 99% on-time service, improved transit times, and the company’s capacity to take on more freight without service deterioration. His tone was upbeat and confident, but still grounded in a measured view that the broader economy is improving gradually rather than sharply.
Adam Satterfield focused on the mechanics behind the quarter: 10.4% revenue growth, 450 bps of OR improvement to 70.1%, and EPS of $1.68. He said the quarter benefited from a 15.2% increase in revenue per hundredweight, better volume trends, and $17.2 million of net gains on property disposals, while direct costs improved and overhead leveraged with revenue. He also detailed cash usage, citing $272.7 million of operating cash flow, $77.0 million of quarterly capex, $151.6 million of share repurchases, and $60.2 million of dividends, and noted the 2026 capex plan was increased by $115 million to about $380 million. He said the third-quarter tax rate should be 25.0% and that normalized third-quarter OR would be up about 150 to 200 bps from the reported second quarter because of the one-time gains and normal seasonality.
Analysts focused on whether the freight recovery is broadening, whether truckload freight is spilling into LTL, and how much competitors’ service or capacity issues are helping Old Dominion. Management said it is still early, but it is hearing about some freight moving over from truckload and seeing some competitors have pickup issues; Marty Freeman said Old Dominion has no capacity constraints in equipment, drivers, or real estate. Questions also centered on yield strength, the meaning of the 3Q yield deceleration, and the impact of broker/3PL shifts and autonomous trucks. Satterfield said 3PL-related revenue is still growing roughly in line with the company overall, the mix effects are normal and he is not seeing a material brokerage shift yet, and autonomous trucking still faces cost, regulatory, and operational hurdles that make widespread adoption unlikely near term.
The bull case from the call is that volume trends are improving while Old Dominion still has room to add freight without stressing its network. Management described the recovery as early-stage, pointed to July revenue growth of about 7.5% to 8.0%, and said it has excess service-center, trailer, and labor capacity plus best-in-class service metrics. They also see leverage in the model: even with a soft market, the company drove strong margin gains, and management believes a fuller freight recovery could unlock further OR improvement.
The main bear case is that the recovery is still incomplete and choppy, with tons per day still down 4.1% in the second quarter and management acknowledging month-to-month volatility. The second quarter OR also benefited from $17.2 million of property gains, so some of the reported margin strength is not purely operational. Management noted July yield growth ex-fuel was tracking below the second-quarter pace due to freight mix, and while they are optimistic, they are not calling for an immediate surge in demand or margins.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 89.5%
- Shares Outstanding
- 207.97M
- Float Shares
- 186.05M
of shares held by institutions
987 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 1.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for ODFL, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Jun 5, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Oct 7, 25 | Filing → |
| Richard Ray LarsenHouse · WA02 | Sell | Oct 6, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Aug 26, 25 | Filing → |
| Ritchie TorresHouse · NY15 | Buy | Sep 26, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Jul 25, 25 | Filing → |
| Robert P. BresnahanHouse · PA08 | Buy | Apr 8, 25 | Filing → |
| Marjorie Taylor GreeneHouse · GA14 | Buy | May 5, 25 | Filing → |
| Marjorie Taylor GreeneHouse · GA14 | Buy | Apr 4, 25 | Filing → |
| Marjorie Taylor GreeneHouse · GA14 | Buy | Apr 3, 25 | Filing → |
| Robert P. BresnahanHouse · PA08 | Sell | Feb 25, 25 | Filing → |
| Marjorie Taylor GreeneHouse · GA14 | Buy | Jan 21, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Nov 1, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Oct 4, 24 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 22.85M | ▼ 400.93K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 15.77M | ▲ 877.09K |
| Fmr LLC | 12.70M | ▲ 981.86K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 12.10M | ▲ 17.54K |
| Price T Rowe Associates Inc | 9.78M | ▼ 2.54M |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 8.72M | ▲ 45.21K |
| State Street Corp | 8.28M | ▲ 445.82K |
| Invesco Ltd. | 7.31M | ▲ 2.94M |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 5.20M | ▲ 101.74K |
| Cibc Private Wealth Group, LLC | 4.36M | ▼ 11.32K |
| Boston Partners | 3.82M | ▼ 173.58K |
| Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 3.33M | ▲ 271.05K |
Held by 1,781 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in ODFL by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 26 | JACKMAN WORTHING | other | 545 |
| Sep 22, 26 | JACKMAN WORTHING | other | 0 |
| Aug 25, 26 | Overbey Cecil E. Jr. | sell | 19,952 |
| May 27, 26 | CONGDON DAVID S | other | 295,670 |
| May 20, 26 | Davis Andrew Stephen | other | 859 |
| May 20, 26 | Stith Thomas A. III | other | 859 |
| May 20, 26 | Stallings Wendy T. | other | 859 |
| May 20, 26 | Smith Albert Randolph II | other | 859 |
| May 20, 26 | Gantt Greg C | other | 859 |
| May 20, 26 | Gabosch Bradley R | other | 859 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our ODFL coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL): Premium LTL Moat, Rich Valuation
Old Dominion Freight Line pairs a best-in-class service network with a nearly debt-free balance sheet, but the stock already prices in a strong freight recovery. The report keeps a Buy rating, though valuation leaves limited room for execution missteps.

The Best Freight and Logistics Stocks Right Now (Updated August 2026)
Seven freight and logistics stocks are ranked in countdown order, with XPO, Ryder, JB Hunt, and Covenant among the companies assessed.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) slips on deep earnings
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) beat EPS and revenue estimates, but the stock slipped as investors looked past the headline. This deep-dive examines improving LTL pricing, margin expansion, volume trends, capex plans, and mixed analyst sentiment to explain why the strong quarter still left shares under pressure.
Want a deeper read on ODFL?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
LTL Shippers Select Old Dominion Freight Line as Top National LTL Carrier for Quality for 17 Consecutive Years
businesswire.com · Oct 6
Old Dominion Announces 4.9% General Rate Increase Effective Oct. 5
zacks.com · Sep 28
Should Investors Buy Old Dominion Despite Its Higher Valuation?
zacks.com · Sep 28
3 Stocks to Keep an Eye on From the Prospering Trucking Industry
zacks.com · Sep 24
Old Dominion (ODFL) Loses 16.2% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner
zacks.com · Sep 21
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Announces General Rate Increase
businesswire.com · Sep 21
Is Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) Outperforming Other Transportation Stocks This Year?
zacks.com · Sep 15
Implied Volatility Surging for Old Dominion Stock Options
zacks.com · Sep 14
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 4, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice