Offerpad Solutions Inc.
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About the company
Offerpad Solutions Inc. , operating alongside its subsidiaries, delivers a full spectrum of real estate services to homeowners throughout the United States, including the purchase, sale, rental, and refurbishment of properties. The company leverages an "iBuying" platform to provide on-demand real estate solutions, distinguished by its customer-first philosophy.
- CEO
- Brian Bair
- IPO
- 2020
- Employees
- 140
- HQ
- Tempe, AZ, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock remains in a damaged long-term downtrend, still far below its 200-day average after a sharp reset from the prior cycle’s highs. It is trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, which keeps the setup in repair mode rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
Street sentiment is cautious: the consensus is Hold, and the average target sits at $2, below the last close. Recent target cuts to $2 from $2.50 and earlier reductions from $3.50 show expectations have been drifting lower even as one firm maintained a Buy view.
The next print comes with a mixed recent beat rate of 2 of the last 7 quarters. Losses remain expected, with next-year EPS estimated at -3.5552 versus -6.9427 for 2026, so shareholders should watch whether the company keeps narrowing losses and stabilizing revenue.
Insider activity leans constructive, but most of the recent volume is award and vesting noise rather than discretionary conviction. The clearest signal is the CEO’s open-market purchase of 122,920 shares, while the rest of the activity is dominated by A-awards and F/InKind tax-related flows.
Profitability is still weak, with a net margin of -9.85% and operating margin of -10.61%, but the business is generating cash. Free cash flow was $67.889 million in 2025, while revenue growth was -51.6% year over year, so the key question is whether cash generation can hold as sales recover.
OPAD sits in the higher-risk end of real estate services: the model is asset-light in parts, but earnings power remains negative and volatile. With a market cap of about $15.7 million, valuation is depressed versus the sector and reflects execution risk more than growth optionality.
- Market Cap
- $14.79M
- P/E
- -0.30
- PEG
- -0.00
- P/S
- 0.04
- P/B
- 0.39
- EV/EBITDA
- -3.27
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 7.42%
- Op Margin
- -7.75%
- Net Margin
- -9.85%
- ROE
- -98.86%
- ROIC
- -20.85%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $567.81M-38.2%
- Gross Profit
- $42.04M-41.8%
- Op Income
- $-33,389,000
- Net Income
- $-46,384,000+25.4%
- EPS
- $-15.00+33.9%
- OCF Growth
- +220.7%
- FCF Growth
- +326.1%
- 52W High
- $40.90
- 52W Low
- $0.57
- 50D MA
- $3.99
- 200D MA
- $2.37
- Beta
- 2.52
- Avg Volume
- 46.91K
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Offerpad said the rebuilding phase is largely behind it, with Q2 showing better margins, stronger signings, and a clearer path to higher transaction volume and positive adjusted EBITDA by year-end.· August 3, 2026
- Q2 revenue was approximately $78 million on 295 real estate transactions, versus guidance of 300-350 transactions and $80 million-$90 million in revenue.
- Gross profit was $7.1 million and gross margin improved to 9.2% from 6.9% in Q1, the best since Q3 2023.
- Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $6.2 million from a $6.7 million loss in Q1, with management expecting continued sequential improvement in Q3.
- Lead indicators strengthened: April signings were 129, May 163, June 256, and July signings were higher than June; acquisitions reached 268 in Q2 and roughly 200 in July.
- Management said the year-end goal remains a roughly 1,000-transaction quarterly run rate and positive adjusted EBITDA before year-end, with growth driven by Cash Offer, Brokerage Services, and fee-based mix.
Q2 2026 revenue was approximately $78 million, with 295 real estate transactions. Gross profit was $7.1 million, gross margin was 9.2% versus 6.9% in Q1, and contribution profit after interest reached $13,500 per real estate transaction, up 36% year-over-year and 145% quarter-over-quarter. Adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $6.2 million from a $6.7 million loss in Q1. The company ended Q2 with $33.1 million in unrestricted cash and more than $55 million of total liquidity including inventory fair market value. For Q3, management guided to 350-400 real estate transactions, $90 million to $100 million of revenue, and a narrower adjusted EBITDA loss than Q2. Full-year guidance was left unchanged: exit 2026 at roughly a 1,000-transaction quarterly run rate and reach positive adjusted EBITDA before year-end.
Brian Bair framed the quarter as proof that Offerpad’s long restructuring and operational rebuilding is starting to pay off. He emphasized disciplined growth, saying the company is not chasing volume for its own sake and is instead focusing on better home selection, more precise pricing, and using data and AI to improve conversion and execution. He also highlighted that demand remains strong, marketing is becoming more efficient, and the business now has a broader platform beyond Cash Offer.
Peter Knag focused on the improving unit economics and a cost structure designed to stay largely fixed as volume rises. He cited gross profit of $7.1 million, gross margin of 9.2%, quarterly operating expenses excluding property costs of $13.3 million versus $17 million a year ago, and unrestricted cash of $33.1 million. He said 90% to 95% of operating expense is truly fixed, noted Renovate is running at about 20% to 25% margin on third-party work, and reiterated that both the 1,000-transaction exit rate and positive EBITDA are intended to be run-rate targets by year-end.
Analysts focused on what is driving the expected step-up from Q3 to Q4, whether the 1,000-transaction target depends on institutional partners, and what is behind the conversion improvement. Management said the target is not dependent on institutional partners; instead, it is being driven by rising signings, stronger Brokerage Services, better marketing attribution, and higher conversion from existing demand. They also said July signings were higher than June and expected that trend to continue, while the conversion gains came from better pricing discipline, improved operations, more targeted marketing, less renovation in some velocity areas, and better customer communication.
The bull case from the call is that Offerpad appears to be moving past its repair phase and into a period of operating leverage. Signings, acquisitions, margins, and adjusted EBITDA all improved, and management said the pipeline already in motion should support stronger second-half volumes. The company also has more capital-light revenue streams now, including Brokerage Services, Marketplace, and Renovate.
The main risks are that Q2 still missed the company’s own transaction and revenue guidance and adjusted EBITDA remains negative. Management also acknowledged that Cash Offer Marketplace has moved more slowly because some institutional buyers have pulled back, and that higher volume is still ahead rather than fully visible in current reported closings. The 1,000-transaction and positive EBITDA targets are still run-rate goals, not yet achieved results.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
of shares held by institutions
42 13F filers
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 843.63K | ▲ 53.05K |
| First American Financial Corp | 511.93K | ▼ 4.61M |
| Watts Gwilliam & Co., LLC | 309.02K | ▼ 24.50K |
| Kingsbury Capital Investment Advisors LLC | 303.60K | ▼ 1.78M |
| Kmt Wealth Management, LLC | 303.60K | ▲ 303.60K |
| Two Sigma Advisers, LP | 300.60K | ▲ 300.60K |
| Kemnay Advisory Services Inc. | 195.71K | ▼ 1.18M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 124.36K | ▼ 1.04M |
| Monograph Wealth Advisors, LLC | 59.53K | 0 |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 53.66K | ▼ 585.19K |
| Shay Capital LLC | 33.98K | ▼ 235.86K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 31.63K | ▼ 323.56K |
Held by 23 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in OPAD by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 26 | DEGIORGIO KENNETH D | other | 7,520 |
| Sep 30, 26 | OHARA RYAN | other | 6,155 |
| Sep 3, 26 | Graboske Benjamin | other | 33,820 |
| Sep 3, 26 | Graboske Benjamin | other | 0 |
| Jun 30, 26 | DEGIORGIO KENNETH D | other | 4,807 |
| Jun 30, 26 | OHARA RYAN | other | 3,558 |
| Jun 12, 26 | Martinez Adam | other | 235 |
| Jun 4, 26 | Knag Peter H | other | 42,393 |
| Jun 5, 26 | Knag Peter H | other | 19,829 |
| Jun 3, 26 | DEGIORGIO KENNETH D | other | 108,696 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our OPAD coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.
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Opendoor Slides 5% as Housing Names Fall Together; Zillow and Offerpad Drop 3%
247wallst.com · Sep 23
Rate Hike Jitters Rattle iBuyer Stocks: Opendoor Falls 4%, Zillow Slides 2% but Offerpad Holds Steady
247wallst.com · Sep 15
Opendoor Sinks 7% as Yield Spike Meets Delayed Profit Timeline, Offerpad and Zillow Group Trail
247wallst.com · Sep 10
Offerpad Strengthens Board of Directors with Appointment of Data and Technology Leader Benjamin Graboske
gurufocus.com · Sep 8
Offerpad Strengthens Board of Directors with Appointment of Data and Technology Leader Benjamin Graboske
businesswire.com · Sep 8
Offerpad Rallies 7%, Opendoor Edges Higher: Is Rate Relief Reaching the iBuyers?
247wallst.com · Sep 2
Offerpad Founder and CEO Brian Bair Recognized for Vision and Leadership in Housing
businesswire.com · Sep 2
Can OPEN Reach Adjusted Net Income Breakeven at $9B Revenue Run Rate?
zacks.com · Aug 27
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 5, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice
