Space Exploration Technologies Corp.
Built from real-time financials, refreshed daily. For a full Analyst Grade with bull/bear case, price targets, and qualitative risk analysis, generate a SPCX research report →
Range $75 – $450
Price Chart
About the company
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. designs, manufactures, and launches rockets and spacecraft, and provides satellite-based broadband services in the United States, Ireland, and Canada. The company offers launch services for satellites, cargo, and crew to destinations such as low Earth orbit, the International Space Station, the Moon, and Mars, using vehicles, including Falcon 9, Falcon Heavy, and Starship.
- CEO
- Elon Musk
- IPO
- 2026
- Employees
- 22,000
- HQ
- Starbase, TX, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is still in a corrective regime after a sharp break from its 52-week high of 225.64, with price below the 200-day moving average of 141.89. The setup is no longer momentum-led; shareholders should watch whether it can stabilize above the 104.83 low and rebuild a base.
Street sentiment is constructive but split, with consensus at Buy and a median target of 205, well above the current trading range. Recent action was mixed: several firms cut ratings, while others raised targets, leaving the tape more balanced than the headline consensus suggests.
The latest quarter beat expectations, with EPS of -0.09 versus -0.26 estimated, a 65.4% surprise. Forward estimates still point to a transition year, with 2026 EPS at -0.15 before turning positive in 2027, so shareholders should watch margin progress and revenue conversion.
Recent insider activity leans to net selling, but most of the volume is conversion and award-related flow rather than discretionary selling. The only clear market sale was a small 11,390-share transaction, while the larger June and February moves were automatic conversions and awards tied to Elon Musk's holdings.
Profitability remains uneven, but the top line is scaling fast, with revenue growth of 91.9% year over year. Gross margin is 51.9%, while operating margin is -1.8% and net margin is -35.66%, showing strong unit economics but heavy below-the-line pressure.
The business stands out on scale and growth in satellite broadband, launch, and AI, but valuation already prices in a lot of execution. At about 1.5% FCF yield and a market cap above $1.7 trillion, the setup favors premium expectations versus traditional aerospace peers.
- Market Cap
- $1.73T
- P/E
- -86.30
- Fwd P/E
- 86.72
- PEG
- -0.86
- P/S
- 352.95
- P/B
- 6.13
- EV/EBITDA
- 1390.94
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 52.67%
- Op Margin
- -12.42%
- Net Margin
- -32.25%
- ROE
- -7.63%
- ROIC
- -1.18%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $18.67B+33.2%
- Gross Profit
- $9.22B+53.2%
- Op Income
- $-2,589,000,000
- Net Income
- $-4,937,000,000-724.1%
- EPS
- $-1.69-26925.4%
- OCF Growth
- +17.5%
- FCF Growth
- -159.0%
- 52W High
- $225.64
- 52W Low
- $104.83
- 50D MA
- $141.89
- 200D MA
- $141.89
- Beta
- 0.00
- RSI (14)
- 49
- Avg Volume
- 122.46M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
SpaceX reported very strong revenue growth and a much larger adjusted EBITDA, while management emphasized Starship progress, Starlink expansion, and a rapid buildout of AI compute.· August 4, 2026
- Revenue was $7.8 billion, up 92% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA rose to $3.5 billion, up 191%; net loss improved to $541 million.
- Starlink consumer added more than 1.7 million net subscribers in Q2, with ARPU stable at $66 per month and service now in 167 markets.
- Enterprise and government momentum was a key theme: more than $6 billion in U.S. government contracts were won in Q2, and management said enterprise revenue could eventually exceed consumer revenue.
- AI became a major financial driver, with segment revenue of $2.6 billion and 1.4 gigawatts of nameplate compute at quarter-end; management sees over 2 gigawatts by year-end.
- Starship progress accelerated, with 2 successful V3 flights in the past 90 days and management saying the heat shield problem is effectively solved.
Second-quarter 2026 revenue was $7.8 billion, up 92% from $4.1 billion a year ago. Quarterly net loss was $541 million, an improvement of $467 million year over year, and adjusted EBITDA was $3.5 billion, up 191% from $1.2 billion. Segment revenue included Space at $962 million, up 29% year over year, Connectivity at $4.3 billion, up 66% year over year, and AI at $2.6 billion, up 247% year over year. Bret said total company capital expenditures were approximately $18.4 billion, with roughly $15.8 billion supporting AI compute infrastructure, and the company ended the quarter with $100 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities and $47.5 billion in backlog. Guidance/commentary included: next two quarters’ CapEx should be similar to Q2, compute should end 2026 at over 2 gigawatts, and management said there is a trajectory to $100 billion of ARR by the end of this year based on expected December revenue.
Elon Musk framed the quarter around execution on three big fronts: Starship, Starlink, and AI. He said Starship is making strong progress toward full reusability, Starlink V3 should materially expand bandwidth and revenue potential, and Grok development is accelerating with new model releases coming quickly. His tone was highly confident and expansive, repeatedly arguing that the company is underestimating the scale of these opportunities and that SpaceX can build capacity faster than rivals.
Bret Johnsen highlighted accelerating revenue growth across all segments and said the company narrowed net losses by nearly half while growing adjusted EBITDA faster than revenue. He walked through segment figures: Space revenue of $962 million, Connectivity revenue of $4.3 billion, and AI revenue of $2.6 billion, with AI turning positive on adjusted EBITDA at $1.1 billion. He also cited strong liquidity and capital markets progress, including $100 billion of cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, $47.5 billion in backlog, approximately $18.4 billion of CapEx, and a $25 billion senior notes offering with a weighted average interest rate of 5.855% and average maturity of 11.7 years.
Analysts focused on enterprise and government backlog, CapEx intensity, Starlink Mobile, and the path to much higher compute capacity. Management said enterprise revenue is sticky, they have never lost an enterprise customer, and government contracts exceeded $6 billion in Q2; they also said aviation is less than 10% penetrated and maritime is a large opportunity. On CapEx, Bret said the next two quarters should look similar to Q2, while Elon said only about 10% of compute may be used for Grok training over time, with more going to inference and leasing. For Starlink Mobile, Gwynne said service would start next year and end of next year respectively for launches and service, while management emphasized a capex-efficient terrestrial build using smaller distributed stations rather than a traditional nationwide carrier buildout.
The call presented a clear bull case around multiple accelerating growth engines: Starlink consumer additions, enterprise/government wins, and AI infrastructure monetization. Management also pointed to improving unit economics, with AI compute payback described as less than one year and Starlink V3 expected to deliver roughly 10x the capacity of current satellites. They were notably optimistic about Starship, saying the heat shield looks solved and reusability is now within reach.
The biggest risks discussed were the scale of execution required and the heavy ongoing capital needs behind that ambition. Management acknowledged that many projects could slip, that compute expansion depends on power, cooling, chips and GPUs, and that Starlink Mobile’s terrestrial buildout CapEx was not being disclosed yet. They also said the early Starlink enterprise experience was patchy for some customers, so the company still has to prove reliability at scale to convert interest into sustained revenue.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 11.8%
- Shares Outstanding
- 7.49B
- Float Shares
- 883.59M
of shares held by institutions
4 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.75. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for SPCX, newest first.
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc. | 551.19M | ▲ 551.19M |
| Valor Management LLC | 503.41M | ▲ 503.41M |
| Fmr LLC | 302.56M | ▲ 302.56M |
| Vy Capital Management Co. Ltd. | 271.81M | ▲ 271.81M |
| Public Investment Fund | 154.15M | ▲ 154.15M |
| Bamco Inc | 145.78M | ▲ 145.78M |
| D1 Capital Partners L.P. | 126.04M | ▲ 126.04M |
| Nvidia Corp | 122.76M | ▲ 122.76M |
| Sc Us (Ttgp), Ltd. | 122.52M | ▲ 122.52M |
| Capricorn Investment Group LLC | 120.80M | ▲ 120.80M |
| Darsana Capital Partners LP | 101.46M | ▲ 101.46M |
| Ah Capital Management, L.L.C. | 74.86M | ▲ 74.86M |
Held by 973 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in SPCX by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 26 | BOTHA ROELOF | other | 0 |
| Jun 15, 26 | Musk Elon | other | 250,120,000 |
| Jun 15, 26 | Musk Elon | other | 2,874,728,050 |
| Jun 15, 26 | Musk Elon | other | 14,792,900 |
| Jun 15, 26 | Musk Elon | other | 18,518,500 |
| Jun 15, 26 | Musk Elon | other | 282,614,850 |
| Feb 2, 26 | Musk Elon | other | 532,689,090 |
| Feb 2, 26 | Musk Elon | other | 511,289,725 |
| Mar 23, 26 | Musk Elon | sell | 25,172,695 |
| Apr 2, 26 | Musk Elon | sell | 11,390 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our SPCX coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

SpaceX (SPCX): Starlink Growth vs. Cash Burn
SpaceX pairs dominant launch reuse with rapid Starlink subscriber growth and an emerging AI platform, but heavy losses and a stretched valuation keep the stock at Hold. The report sees major long-term upside, yet execution and cash-flow risks remain too high for a stronger call.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) drops on unlock
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) drops after a major share unlock added a large block of tradable stock and recent analyst downgrades weighed on sentiment. The stock fell below its IPO price, even as the company’s latest earnings beat expectations. Investors are now watching upcoming unlock dates and whether demand can absorb the added supply.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) rises on Harvard stake
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SPCX) rises after Harvard Management disclosed a $2.2 billion stake, boosting sentiment around the newly public stock. The move follows a better-than-expected earnings report and renewed attention on SpaceX’s strategic value, though volume data does not yet confirm a broad breakout.
Want a deeper read on SPCX?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
Wall Street analyst sets SpaceX stock price target for 12 months
finbold.com · Aug 20
This Small-Cap Space Stock Could Be a Long-Term Moonshot
fool.com · Aug 20
SpaceX Is Racking Up Wins in Washington
wsj.com · Aug 20
Dow Drops Over 300 Points as Treasury Yields Rebound
schaeffersresearch.com · Aug 20
SpaceX Drops 6%, Dips Below Its IPO Price as 319M Shares Unlock; Rocket Lab Falls 4%
247wallst.com · Aug 20
SpaceX has some of the world's biggest investors on board. Meet 10 of its top shareholders.
businessinsider.com · Aug 20
Why SpaceX stock is crashing around 5% on Thursday
invezz.com · Aug 20
Why the BFGFX Fund Is Underperforming After SpaceX IPO
zacks.com · Aug 20
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 20, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice