TMC the metals company inc.
Built from real-time financials, refreshed daily. For a full Analyst Grade with bull/bear case, price targets, and qualitative risk analysis, generate a TMC research report →
Range $10 – $10
Price Chart
About the company
TMC the metals company Inc. , a deep-sea minerals exploration company, focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in California. It primarily explores for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese products.
- CEO
- Gerard Barron
- IPO
- 2021
- Employees
- 48
- HQ
- Vancouver, BC, CA
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock remains in a long downtrend and is still below its 200-day average of 5.32, with the share price sitting much closer to the 52-week low of 3.40 than the 52-week high of 11.35. That keeps the regime defensive, though the recent stabilization above the low suggests a base-building phase rather than fresh momentum.
Street sentiment is constructive, with a Buy consensus and a 10.00 target that sits well above the current share price. Recent action has been mostly supportive: Stifel and Maxim both initiated at Buy, while prior firms raised targets into the low-to-mid teens and kept bullish ratings intact.
The earnings profile is still loss-making, but the bar is not demanding: the next quarter is estimated at a -0.06 EPS loss versus a mixed recent beat rate of 2 of 7 quarters. Shareholders should watch whether losses narrow from the -0.14 miss in August and whether management can show progress toward the 2027 revenue ramp.
The pattern is neutral once awards are separated from real trading. The only clear discretionary signal is Allseas Group’s 7.31 million-share purchase, offset by a modest sale from a director; the rest are awards and vesting-related grants that do not carry the same signal value.
Profitability is still weak, with ROE at -11.23% and TTM EPS at -0.75. Cash burn remains the key watchpoint: operating cash flow was -42.85 million and free cash flow was -42.61 million in fiscal 2025, but the balance sheet still held 117.63 million in cash and equivalents.
TMC is a pre-revenue-style deep-sea minerals name, so it trades more on project optionality than on current operating metrics. Relative to the materials group, the setup favors a premium multiple on future nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese exposure, but the current valuation still reflects execution risk and cash burn.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $1.63B
- P/E
- -4.41
- Fwd P/E
- 26.93
- PEG
- 0.03
- P/S
- 0.00
- P/B
- -59.53
- EV/EBITDA
- -5.07
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 0.00%
- Op Margin
- 0.00%
- Net Margin
- 0.00%
- ROE
- 948.80%
- ROIC
- -437.93%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $0+0.0%
- Gross Profit
- $-252,000+30.4%
- Op Income
- $-140,054,000
- Net Income
- $-319,844,000-290.3%
- EPS
- $-0.83-232.0%
- OCF Growth
- +1.4%
- FCF Growth
- +2.0%
- 52W High
- $11.35
- 52W Low
- $3.40
- 50D MA
- $4.13
- 200D MA
- $5.32
- Beta
- 2.10
- RSI (14)
- 42
- Avg Volume
- 5.32M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
The Metals Company said U.S. permitting, offshore system development, and Brownsville processing plans are advancing, while Q2 losses narrowed and liquidity remained sufficient for at least 12 months.· August 13, 2026
- NOAA is advancing both TMC USA applications, with USA-A expected to be posted in the Federal Register imminently and USA-B expected to enter formal environmental review soon.
- Management said the first commercial collection system is moving from engineering into procurement, with fabrication expected from Q4 this year through Q3 2027 and installation/commissioning targeted for Q4 2027.
- The company highlighted new partnerships, including Eco Minerals for services and Mariana Minerals for Brownsville feasibility and engineering work.
- The Metals Royalty Company warrant extension will not be pursued, and management said the September 2026 public warrant expiration remains unchanged.
- Liquidity was $143 million at June 30, 2026, and management said cash should cover working capital and capex for at least the next 12 months.
Q2 2026 net loss was approximately $60.1 million, or $0.14 per share, versus a net loss of $74.3 million, or $0.20 per share, in Q2 2025. Exploration and evaluation expenses were $56.1 million versus $10.5 million a year ago, G&A was $15.6 million versus $11.5 million, and other items produced an $11.6 million gain versus a $52.3 million loss last year. Net cash used in operating activities was $20.1 million versus $10.7 million, and free cash flow was -$20.2 million versus -$10.7 million, both affected by a $9 million tax withholding timing item. Liquidity at June 30, 2026 was $143 million, including $44 million available from the Barron and ERAS undrawn credit facility. Accounts payable and accrued liabilities were $52.1 million, including $40.5 million owed to Allseas, $36.1 million of which is due once production begins. Management said its cash should be sufficient to meet working capital and capital expenditure commitments for at least the next 12 months. For the project outlook, NOAA certification for USA-A is now expected in October 2026, delaying a permanent grant that had been expected in Q1 2027; even so, management still expects the permit well before targeted vessel commissioning in Q4 2027. The first operating configuration is designed for 3 million wet tons of nodules per year, with fabrication expected from Q4 this year through Q3 2027 and offshore installation/commissioning targeted for Q4 2027. Pre-feasibility work for a potential 12-million-ton-per-annum industry park at Brownsville is nearing completion, and feasibility-level engineering for the first smelting stage is underway.
Gerard Barron framed the quarter as a period of steady progress on a U.S. regulatory and industrial pathway, emphasizing that the company is building not just an offshore system but an integrated American deep seabed critical mineral supply chain. He highlighted NOAA milestones, the shift of the first commercial collection system into procurement, and growing partnerships across marine operations, processing, logistics, and refining. His tone was confident and optimistic, though he acknowledged NOAA is moving slower than desired and said the company must remain careful about what it says regarding government support.
Craig Shesky focused on the legal and financial foundation for the U.S. path, arguing that the U.S. position outside the UNCLOS/ISA framework supports TMC USA’s DISHRA route while the ISA remains delayed. He cited the resource studies' combined $23.6 billion estimated NPV, approximately $369 billion in revenue, and more than $200 billion of EBITDA across the life of both projects, while also noting the stock has lagged and management views the market cap as undervaluing the resource. On liquidity and capital allocation, he said cash plus borrowing capacity was $143 million at June 30, 2026, including $44 million of undrawn credit, that the company will not seek a SPAC warrant extension, and that cash should cover working capital and capex for at least the next 12 months.
Analysts asked for more color on the Mariana Minerals partnership, including spending and timing; management said the work is still early, with Mariana acting like an owner's team and the initial spend expected to be relatively modest, in the mid-single-digit millions over multiple quarters. Questions also focused on the Eco Minerals arrangement and whether joint work would be on TMC or Eco ground; management said it would cover both, with a goal of increasing resource certainty in TMC areas and potentially doing some work on Eco's ground if permitted. Other questions covered Allseas exclusivity and cost treatment: management confirmed the arrangement is exclusive, said some costs have been and will continue to be accrued pre-production, and noted Allseas is funding a large portion of pre-production development costs. Analysts also asked about government support and China activity; management said support is being discussed confidentially with multiple agencies and that China remains active in the area, based on public survey-vessel tracking and media reports.
The call presented a clearer path to U.S. commercialization, with NOAA moving both applications forward, fabrication of the first commercial system set to begin, and Brownsville feasibility work advancing. Management also pointed to multiple partnerships and to a potential domestic processing hub that could scale well beyond the initial 3 million wet-ton capacity. They sounded confident that the U.S. policy environment and their technical work create a favorable setup for future value creation.
NOAA certification for USA-A has slipped to October 2026, and management said a Q1 2027 permanent grant is no longer likely, underscoring regulatory timing risk. The company remains pre-revenue with a $60.1 million quarterly loss, substantial Allseas obligations, and continued dependence on future government support to justify major capital commitments. Management also acknowledged the stock has lagged and that the ISA process remains slow and uncertain, with geopolitical and permitting complexity still unresolved.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 35.2%
- Shares Outstanding
- 433.22M
- Float Shares
- 152.54M
of shares held by institutions
227 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 14.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| First Manhattan Co. LLC. | 15.32M | 0 |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | 3.28M | ▼ 350.18K |
| Millennium Management LLC | 2.94M | ▼ 130.23K |
| Anson Funds Management LP | 2.64M | ▲ 2.64M |
| Baird Financial Group, Inc. | 2.43M | ▼ 40.28K |
| Jane Street Group, LLC | 2.43M | ▼ 4.54M |
| Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2.37M | ▲ 385.31K |
| Tudor Investment Corp Et Al | 1.69M | ▲ 61.99K |
| Marshall Wace, Llp | 1.57M | ▼ 847.25K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 1.48M | ▲ 239.12K |
| Yorkville Advisors Global, LP | 1.30M | ▲ 1.30M |
| Old West Investment Management, LLC | 1.20M | 0 |
Held by 87 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in TMC by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Hall Andrew | other | 72,935 |
| Jul 1, 26 | Allseas Group S.A. | buy | 7,305,567 |
| May 29, 26 | Madsbjerg Christian | other | 16,528 |
| May 29, 26 | Madsbjerg Christian | other | 19,075 |
| May 29, 26 | May Brendan | other | 16,528 |
| Jun 2, 26 | May Brendan | sell | 20,768 |
| May 29, 26 | Khama Sheila | other | 16,528 |
| May 29, 26 | Khama Sheila | other | 17,316 |
| May 29, 26 | Karkar Andrei | other | 16,528 |
| May 29, 26 | Karkar Andrei | other | 17,857 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our TMC coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Elon's Hit List, Revealed: Every Stock Mark Skousen Is Teasing in The Skousen Report
Mark Skousen’s The Skousen Report, published by The Oxford Club, is promoting Elon's Hit List. We trace its three targets and test the acquisition case.

Hidden Inheritance, Revealed: What Stock Is Dylan Jovine Teasing in Behind the Markets?
Dylan Jovine’s Behind the Markets is promoting “The Hidden Inheritance,” an undersea-mining stock story; we trace the clues and test the pitch.
Want a deeper read on TMC?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
TMC the metals (NASDAQ:TMC) Shares Climb 7.6% – Still a Buy?
defenseworld.net · Oct 2
Why The Metals Company Stock Is Soaring Today
fool.com · Sep 30
Exxon veteran Liam Mallon joins TMC board ahead of seabed mining push
reuters.com · Sep 29
TMC Announces Appointment of Liam Mallon, Former President of ExxonMobil Upstream, to its Board of Directors
globenewswire.com · Sep 29
TMC the metals Targets 2027 Offshore Commissioning as NOAA Permit Review Advances
marketbeat.com · Sep 24
TMC the metals company: A Speculative Bet On U.S. Seabed Mineral Independence
seekingalpha.com · Sep 24
The Metals Company vs. USA Rare Earth: Which Speculative Materials Bet Actually Pays Off First?
fool.com · Sep 14
Cameco vs. TMC The Metals Co: Is a Uranium Stock or Rare Earth Metals Venture the Better Buy in 2026?
fool.com · Sep 10
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 4, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice