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The final Q1 GDP reading was revised up to 2.1%, but the details were less upbeat. Business investment did the heavy lifting while consumer spending nearly stalled and the GDP price index stayed sticky at 3.6%, reinforcing a higher-for-longer Fed outlook.
The second estimate of Q1 GDP showed the U.S. economy grew at a 1.6% annualized pace, below expectations and revised down from the advance reading. Inflation also remained elevated, keeping the Fed in hold mode as weaker investment and softer consumer spending weighed on growth.
U.S. growth improved to 2.0% in Q1 2026, but the GDP price index jumped to 4.5%, signaling sticky inflation and dimming hopes for near-term Fed cuts. Stronger domestic demand helped offset the miss, while Treasury yields rose as markets priced a more hawkish outlook.
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