Everything tagged "jobs" across research, earnings, and macro.
4 articles
The May jobs report showed unemployment holding at 4.3%, U-6 underemployment easing to 8.1%, and payrolls rising 172,000. The solid data reinforced the soft-landing narrative and pushed Treasury yields higher as traders scaled back expectations for near-term Fed cuts.
Weekly jobless claims climbed to 225,000, the highest since early February, signaling a softer U.S. labor market. But continuing claims fell and the insured unemployment rate held steady, suggesting layoffs remain contained and the economy is cooling rather than cracking.
Private payrolls increased 122K in May, topping forecasts and extending the labor market’s moderate rebound. The modest beat suggests hiring remains resilient without overheating, while steady 4.4% wage growth keeps inflation concerns alive and may temper expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts.
April’s JOLTS report showed U.S. job openings surged well above forecasts, signaling firmer labor demand. But hiring fell and quits stayed soft, suggesting a slower-moving job market beneath the headline strength. The mixed read makes near-term Fed rate cuts less likely.
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