Everything tagged "jobs" across research, earnings, and macro.
14 articles
Initial jobless claims climbed above forecasts to 229,000 and continuing claims also rose, signaling a softer labor market and more friction in job searches. But filings remain in a historically low range, suggesting cooling rather than collapse and reinforcing the case for a Federal Reserve hold.
The May jobs report showed unemployment holding at 4.3%, U-6 underemployment easing to 8.1%, and payrolls rising 172,000. The solid data reinforced the soft-landing narrative and pushed Treasury yields higher as traders scaled back expectations for near-term Fed cuts.
Weekly jobless claims climbed to 225,000, the highest since early February, signaling a softer U.S. labor market. But continuing claims fell and the insured unemployment rate held steady, suggesting layoffs remain contained and the economy is cooling rather than cracking.
Private payrolls increased 122K in May, topping forecasts and extending the labor market’s moderate rebound. The modest beat suggests hiring remains resilient without overheating, while steady 4.4% wage growth keeps inflation concerns alive and may temper expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts.
April’s JOLTS report showed U.S. job openings surged well above forecasts, signaling firmer labor demand. But hiring fell and quits stayed soft, suggesting a slower-moving job market beneath the headline strength. The mixed read makes near-term Fed rate cuts less likely.
Weekly jobless claims rose to 215,000 and continuing claims climbed to 1.786 million, signaling a gradual cooling in the U.S. labor market. The data points to softer hiring and slower reemployment, but layoffs remain contained, keeping recession fears and Fed rate-cut pressure in check.
Weekly jobless claims edged lower, reinforcing a U.S. labor market that is cooling but still resilient. Initial claims remained near historically low levels, while continuing claims ticked up, suggesting it is taking longer for displaced workers to find new jobs. The report trims near-term Fed cut hopes.
Weekly U.S. jobless claims climbed to 211,000, topping forecasts and hinting at a gradual cooling in labor conditions. Continuing claims also edged higher, showing laid-off workers are taking longer to find new jobs. Still, layoffs remain low, keeping recession fears and Fed policy expectations largely unchanged.
The April jobs report showed a steady 4.3% unemployment rate, but the broader U-6 measure climbed to 8.2% as involuntary part-time work jumped. Nonfarm payrolls also rose more than expected, giving the Federal Reserve little reason to cut rates soon.
U.S. jobless claims rose less than expected, while continuing claims dropped to their lowest level since early 2024. The data suggests layoffs remain contained, the labor market is cooling rather than cracking, and the Federal Reserve can likely stay patient on rates.
April private payrolls rose 109,000, topping forecasts and easing recession fears without reigniting inflation worries. Treasury yields fell as investors read the report as Fed-friendly, with wage growth cooling and the labor market still looking stable rather than overheated.
March JOLTS showed a labor market cooling without cracking: job openings slipped, but hiring surged to the highest pace since May 2024. The mix supports the soft-landing case and gives the Federal Reserve little urgency to cut rates soon.
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