The Carlyle Group Inc.
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Range $43 – $70
Price Chart
About the company
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a leading global investment firm that employs both direct investment and fund-of-fund strategies. Its direct investment expertise is extensive, encompassing management-led leveraged buyouts, privatizations, and divestitures, as well as strategic minority equity investments.
- CEO
- Harvey Mitchell Schwartz
- IPO
- 2012
- Employees
- 2,500
- HQ
- Washington, DC, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a long downtrend and remains below both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling a weak intermediate and long-term regime. It is trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, well off the prior high, which keeps the setup defensive until price repairs the trend.
Street sentiment is constructive but not emphatic: consensus sits at Buy, with 14 Buy, 11 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings. The average target is about $54.89, above the recent close, while fresh calls have been mixed, including a new Equal Weight at Wells Fargo and an Overweight initiation at Piper Sandler.
The next print follows a mixed beat pattern, with 4 beats in the last 7 quarters. Estimates point higher over time, with 2026 EPS at $3.65 and 2027 EPS at $5.12, so shareholders should watch whether fee-related earnings and margins can keep tracking that step-up.
The signal is mixed but leans cautious. Most recent activity was automatic award, vesting, and in-kind flows, while the only clear discretionary trade was director David Rubenstein’s 400,000-share sale alongside a 100,000-share gift, which keeps the net pattern at selling.
Profitability is solid, but growth has been under pressure. Gross margin is 98.3% and operating margin is 26.86%, yet revenue fell 32.9% year over year and earnings declined 57.5%, so the setup depends on a recovery in top-line momentum.
Carlyle’s appeal is its asset-management economics and strong cash generation, with 2025 free cash flow of $1.56 billion and an 11.01% FCF yield. Versus peers, the valuation still screens discounted, with the market pricing it at 10.08 times earnings.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $14.15B
- P/E
- 38.83
- Fwd P/E
- 10.81
- PEG
- -0.55
- P/S
- 3.57
- P/B
- 1.95
- EV/EBITDA
- 30.96
- Div Yield
- 3.56%
- Gross Margin
- 70.67%
- Op Margin
- 19.11%
- Net Margin
- 9.18%
- ROE
- 6.07%
- ROIC
- 2.84%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $4.90B+19.8%
- Gross Profit
- $3.23B-5.1%
- Op Income
- $1.28B
- Net Income
- $808.70M-20.7%
- EPS
- $2.25-21.1%
- OCF Growth
- +292.6%
- FCF Growth
- +262.9%
- 52W High
- $67.30
- 52W Low
- $38.72
- 50D MA
- $45.40
- 200D MA
- $49.58
- Beta
- 1.83
- RSI (14)
- 32
- Avg Volume
- 3.48M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Carlyle said second-quarter 2026 was a record quarter, with strong fundraising, record fee-related earnings, and a sharp jump in realized performance revenue driving the best distributable earnings in nearly four years.· August 5, 2026
- Distributed earnings hit $472 million, or $1.07 per share, the best pretax DE quarter in nearly 4 years.
- Fee-related earnings were a record $358 million, up 11% year over year, with a 47% margin.
- Inflows were $16.8 billion in the quarter and $30 billion in the first half, helping push AUM to a record $485 billion.
- Realizations were strong: realized proceeds were $3.9 billion in Global Private Equity, and total realized performance revenue rose more than fivefold from Q1.
- Management said the fundraising “super cycle” is just beginning, with most flagship strategies expected to be in market over the next few years.
Carlyle reported second-quarter distributable earnings of $472 million, or $1.07 per share. Fee-related earnings were a record $358 million, up 11% year over year, at a 47% margin. Fund management fees were $560 million, up 3% from the first quarter; transaction fees were a record $111 million, more than double a year ago; and fee-related performance revenues were a record $89 million, more than double last year’s second quarter. Inflows were $16.8 billion in the quarter, AUM reached a record $485 billion, and distributed earnings included a record $472 million. For the segments, Carlyle AlpInvest had record DE of $96 million and FRE of $87 million; Global Credit had record DE of $158 million and FRE of $138 million; and Global Private Equity had FRE of $134 million and DE of $219 million. Guidance-wise, management did not give formal quarterly or full-year financial guidance, but said fundraising should accelerate in the second half as flagship funds come to market, that the 47% comp ratio should remain roughly consistent this year, and that margin should improve as fundraising flows through in 2027 and 2028.
Harvey Schwartz’s message was that Carlyle is entering a broad fundraising “super cycle” with momentum across private equity, credit, AlpInvest, wealth, and insurance solutions. He emphasized that the firm’s strategy is working because of disciplined execution, investment performance, and a growing ability to monetize activity through capital markets and realizations. His tone was confident and expansive, repeatedly stressing that the pipeline is broad and that the macro backdrop is supportive of durable capital demand.
Justin Plouffe focused on the financial quality of the quarter: $472 million of distributable earnings, $358 million of FRE, a 47% FRE margin, and record transaction fees of $111 million. He pointed to strong segment contributions, including record DE in AlpInvest and Global Credit, and noted net accrued performance revenues of $2.4 billion, which he said represent nearly $7 of pretax earnings per share. On capital allocation, he said Carlyle declared a $0.35 quarterly dividend and repurchased or withheld 6.7 million shares for a record $304 million, with $1.6 billion still available under the $2 billion authorization; he also said investing for growth remains the first priority.
Analysts pressed on the second-half fundraising outlook, the wealth channel, the comp ratio, capital markets revenue durability, realized performance revenue, and the insurance-solutions pipeline. Management said the flagship funds will start to accelerate in the back half but cautioned that closes will be timing-dependent, while reiterating that the fundraising pipeline is very broad. On wealth, Harvey said the 401(k) and target-date fund channels could become significant over time, but the impact from new solutions such as the AllianceBernstein/Brookfield offering is more of a 2027 build than a near-term driver.
The bull case from this call is that Carlyle is seeing broad-based operating momentum: record AUM, record FRE, strong inflows, and rising monetization from realizations and capital markets activity. Management also believes major fundraising opportunities are still ahead, with nearly all core strategies expected to be in market over the next few years, which could support higher fee growth and margins over time.
The main risks discussed were timing and cyclicality: management repeatedly said quarterly fundraising, realization, and transaction-fee results can move around materially, and some flagship fund closes will not land until later. They also said the comp ratio should stay around 47% this year because Carlyle is reinvesting in people, AI, and technology, which delays near-term margin expansion. In wealth and insurance solutions, management described several initiatives as still building rather than immediately material.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 72.7%
- Shares Outstanding
- 359.97M
- Float Shares
- 261.67M
of shares held by institutions
635 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 1.13. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for CG, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson ShreveHouse · IN06 | Sell | May 12, 25 | Filing → |
| Jefferson ShreveHouse · IN06 | Sell | Apr 17, 25 | Filing → |
| Jefferson ShreveHouse · IN06 | Buy | Apr 7, 25 | Filing → |
| Jefferson ShreveHouse · IN06 | Sell | Mar 5, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jul 19, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jun 27, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 5, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 10, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 23, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Feb 17, 22 | Filing → |
| Thomas SuozziHouse · NY03 | Sell | Nov 18, 21 | Filing → |
| Thomas SuozziHouse · NY03 | Buy | Oct 20, 21 | Filing → |
| Dwight EvansHouse · PA03 | Sell | May 26, 21 | Filing → |
| Dwight EvansHouse · PA03 | Buy | Sep 4, 20 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 31.98M | ▲ 959.61K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 26.37M | ▲ 934.24K |
| Harris Associates L P | 17.66M | ▲ 1.08M |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 11.83M | ▲ 10.56K |
| Capital World Investors | 11.81M | ▼ 6.01M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 11.46M | ▲ 70.80K |
| Morgan Stanley | 9.99M | ▼ 179.04K |
| State Street Corp | 9.89M | ▲ 211.11K |
| Massachusetts Financial Services Co | 7.74M | ▲ 90.52K |
| Alkeon Capital Management LLC | 5.94M | 0 |
| William Blair Investment Management, LLC | 5.91M | ▼ 386.20K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 5.22M | ▲ 75.43K |
Held by 903 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in CG by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Rubenstein David M. | other | 100,000 |
| Sep 11, 26 | Rubenstein David M. | sell | 400,000 |
| Aug 26, 26 | Nedelman Jeffrey | other | 6,615 |
| Aug 26, 26 | Heinzelman Kate Elizabeth | other | 78 |
| Aug 26, 26 | Andrews Charles Elliott Jr. | other | 304 |
| Aug 26, 26 | Plouffe Justin | other | 3,769 |
| Aug 26, 26 | Redett John C. | other | 8,302 |
| Aug 26, 26 | SCHWARTZ HARVEY M | other | 19,240 |
| Aug 26, 26 | LoBue Lindsay | other | 2,657 |
| Aug 26, 26 | Jenkins Mark David | other | 6,264 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our CG coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Carlyle Group (CG): Private Markets Growth Reaccelerates
Carlyle posted record second-quarter results, including $358M of Fee Related Earnings and $485B of AUM, but the stock already prices in much of the recovery. The report keeps CG at Hold with a fair value estimate of $58.06.

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) slumps 19% after hours
The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) slumps in after-hours trading after a strong earnings-driven rally reverses sharply. The move appears tied to profit-taking and positioning rather than a fresh negative company headline, even as Carlyle’s latest results showed solid EPS beats and durable fee-related earnings.

IREN just crossed from AI story stock to contracted revenue machine
IREN’s latest jump looks earned because the company now has a much larger contracted AI cloud revenue base, not just an AI narrative. The key shift is simple: management raised its year-end AI Cloud ARR target above $4 billion and says roughly 85% is already under contract.
Want a deeper read on CG?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
Carlyle to Announce Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Host Investor Conference Call
globenewswire.com · Oct 5
CG Advisory Services Launched CG Flagship Equity ETF
businesswire.com · Sep 29
Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) Stock Has Average Target Price of $58.93 According to Brokerages
defenseworld.net · Sep 26
Watching Ashland; Shares Spike Higher, Traders Circulate Unconfirmed Analyst Report Suggesting Ashland Running A Sales Process; Collecting Bids In September, According To Sources, Apollo Global Management And Carlyle Group Are Among The Private Equity Firms Showing Interest In The Co
benzinga.com · Sep 15
Inside Carlyle's Global Investment Conference, Bessent Faces Big Questions
youtube.com · Sep 15
Carlyle Group: Asymmetric Return Profile
seekingalpha.com · Sep 15
Carlyle's Fujiyama Sees Investor Excitement in Defense Tech
youtube.com · Sep 15
Carlyle CEO on US Economy, Fed, MIT AI Partnership
youtube.com · Sep 15
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 4, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice