The Carlyle Group Inc.
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Range $45 – $70
Price Chart
About the company
The Carlyle Group Inc. is a leading global investment firm that employs both direct investment and fund-of-fund strategies. Its direct investment expertise is extensive, encompassing management-led leveraged buyouts, privatizations, and divestitures, as well as strategic minority equity investments.
- CEO
- Harvey Mitchell Schwartz
- IPO
- 2012
- Employees
- 2,500
- HQ
- Washington, DC, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a recovery phase after a deep pullback from the 52-week high, but it remains below the 200-day average, so the longer-term trend is still being repaired. The recent rebound has improved the intermediate setup, with price now working back toward the upper end of its yearly range.
Street sentiment is constructive: the consensus rating is Buy with a $56.71 target, above the last close and modestly above the prior $57 median-style cluster. Recent action has been mostly positive, with UBS, Barclays, and Evercore ISI raising targets on August 6 while ratings stayed broadly intact.
The earnings trend is mixed but improving. Carlyle has beaten EPS in 5 of the last 8 quarters, including a 21.6% beat on August 5, and next-year EPS estimates point sharply higher to about 5.11 from 0.96 TTM. Shareholders should watch whether fee-related earnings and margin leverage keep that trajectory intact.
No discretionary insider buying or selling stands out. Recent activity is dominated by automatic awards and in-kind transactions for senior executives, which reads as compensation-related flow rather than a directional signal. The pattern is neutral, not a conviction buy or sell.
Profitability is solid, with a 26.86% operating margin and 13.01% net margin. Growth has been weak recently, with revenue down 32.9% year over year and earnings down 57.5%, but free cash flow remains strong at $1.56 billion and 9.08% FCF yield.
Carlyle screens as a profitable alternative-asset manager with better cash generation than many cyclical financials, but the market is still discounting its recent growth slump. At 13.02x earnings, valuation looks reasonable versus the sector if the earnings rebound holds.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $17.46B
- P/E
- 47.91
- Fwd P/E
- 13.30
- PEG
- -0.67
- P/S
- 4.41
- P/B
- 2.41
- EV/EBITDA
- 34.85
- Div Yield
- 2.89%
- Gross Margin
- 70.67%
- Op Margin
- 19.11%
- Net Margin
- 9.18%
- ROE
- 6.07%
- ROIC
- 2.84%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $4.90B+19.8%
- Gross Profit
- $3.23B-5.1%
- Op Income
- $1.28B
- Net Income
- $808.70M-20.7%
- EPS
- $2.25-21.1%
- OCF Growth
- +292.6%
- FCF Growth
- +262.9%
- 52W High
- $69.85
- 52W Low
- $39.60
- 50D MA
- $45.61
- 200D MA
- $51.18
- Beta
- 1.82
- RSI (14)
- 54
- Avg Volume
- 3.64M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Carlyle said second-quarter 2026 was a record quarter, with strong fundraising, record fee-related earnings, and a sharp jump in realized performance revenue driving the best distributable earnings in nearly four years.· August 5, 2026
- Distributed earnings hit $472 million, or $1.07 per share, the best pretax DE quarter in nearly 4 years.
- Fee-related earnings were a record $358 million, up 11% year over year, with a 47% margin.
- Inflows were $16.8 billion in the quarter and $30 billion in the first half, helping push AUM to a record $485 billion.
- Realizations were strong: realized proceeds were $3.9 billion in Global Private Equity, and total realized performance revenue rose more than fivefold from Q1.
- Management said the fundraising “super cycle” is just beginning, with most flagship strategies expected to be in market over the next few years.
Carlyle reported second-quarter distributable earnings of $472 million, or $1.07 per share. Fee-related earnings were a record $358 million, up 11% year over year, at a 47% margin. Fund management fees were $560 million, up 3% from the first quarter; transaction fees were a record $111 million, more than double a year ago; and fee-related performance revenues were a record $89 million, more than double last year’s second quarter. Inflows were $16.8 billion in the quarter, AUM reached a record $485 billion, and distributed earnings included a record $472 million. For the segments, Carlyle AlpInvest had record DE of $96 million and FRE of $87 million; Global Credit had record DE of $158 million and FRE of $138 million; and Global Private Equity had FRE of $134 million and DE of $219 million. Guidance-wise, management did not give formal quarterly or full-year financial guidance, but said fundraising should accelerate in the second half as flagship funds come to market, that the 47% comp ratio should remain roughly consistent this year, and that margin should improve as fundraising flows through in 2027 and 2028.
Harvey Schwartz’s message was that Carlyle is entering a broad fundraising “super cycle” with momentum across private equity, credit, AlpInvest, wealth, and insurance solutions. He emphasized that the firm’s strategy is working because of disciplined execution, investment performance, and a growing ability to monetize activity through capital markets and realizations. His tone was confident and expansive, repeatedly stressing that the pipeline is broad and that the macro backdrop is supportive of durable capital demand.
Justin Plouffe focused on the financial quality of the quarter: $472 million of distributable earnings, $358 million of FRE, a 47% FRE margin, and record transaction fees of $111 million. He pointed to strong segment contributions, including record DE in AlpInvest and Global Credit, and noted net accrued performance revenues of $2.4 billion, which he said represent nearly $7 of pretax earnings per share. On capital allocation, he said Carlyle declared a $0.35 quarterly dividend and repurchased or withheld 6.7 million shares for a record $304 million, with $1.6 billion still available under the $2 billion authorization; he also said investing for growth remains the first priority.
Analysts pressed on the second-half fundraising outlook, the wealth channel, the comp ratio, capital markets revenue durability, realized performance revenue, and the insurance-solutions pipeline. Management said the flagship funds will start to accelerate in the back half but cautioned that closes will be timing-dependent, while reiterating that the fundraising pipeline is very broad. On wealth, Harvey said the 401(k) and target-date fund channels could become significant over time, but the impact from new solutions such as the AllianceBernstein/Brookfield offering is more of a 2027 build than a near-term driver.
The bull case from this call is that Carlyle is seeing broad-based operating momentum: record AUM, record FRE, strong inflows, and rising monetization from realizations and capital markets activity. Management also believes major fundraising opportunities are still ahead, with nearly all core strategies expected to be in market over the next few years, which could support higher fee growth and margins over time.
The main risks discussed were timing and cyclicality: management repeatedly said quarterly fundraising, realization, and transaction-fee results can move around materially, and some flagship fund closes will not land until later. They also said the comp ratio should stay around 47% this year because Carlyle is reinvesting in people, AI, and technology, which delays near-term margin expansion. In wealth and insurance solutions, management described several initiatives as still building rather than immediately material.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 72.7%
- Shares Outstanding
- 359.97M
- Float Shares
- 261.67M
of shares held by institutions
632 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for CG, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jul 19, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jun 27, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 23, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 10, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 5, 22 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Feb 17, 22 | Filing → |
| Thomas SuozziHouse · NY03 | Sell | Nov 18, 21 | Filing → |
| Thomas SuozziHouse · NY03 | Sell | Nov 18, 21 | Filing → |
| Thomas SuozziHouse · NY03 | Buy | Oct 20, 21 | Filing → |
| Dwight EvansHouse · PA03 | Sell | May 26, 21 | Filing → |
| Dwight EvansHouse · PA03 | Buy | Sep 4, 20 | Filing → |
| Dwight EvansHouse · Pa03 | Buy | Mar 2, 20 | Filing → |
| Dwight EvansHouse · Pa03 | Buy | Apr 15, 19 | Filing → |
| John HoevenSenate · ND | Buy | Apr 29, 13 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 31.98M | ▲ 959.61K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 26.37M | ▲ 934.24K |
| Harris Associates L P | 17.66M | ▲ 1.08M |
| Capital World Investors | 11.81M | ▼ 6.01M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 11.46M | ▲ 70.80K |
| Morgan Stanley | 9.99M | ▼ 179.04K |
| State Street Corp | 9.89M | ▲ 211.11K |
| Massachusetts Financial Services Co | 7.74M | ▲ 90.52K |
| Alkeon Capital Management LLC | 5.94M | 0 |
| William Blair Investment Management, LLC | 5.91M | ▼ 386.20K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 5.22M | ▲ 75.43K |
| Ariel Investments, LLC | 4.55M | ▲ 566.93K |
Held by 779 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in CG by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Andrews Charles Elliott Jr. | other | 12,364 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Plouffe Justin | other | 62,533 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Redett John C. | other | 124,558 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Heinzelman Kate Elizabeth | other | 11,031 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Nedelman Jeffrey | other | 43,081 |
| Aug 1, 26 | LoBue Lindsay | other | 18,284 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Jenkins Mark David | other | 124,793 |
| Jun 29, 26 | Heinzelman Kate Elizabeth | other | 0 |
| May 28, 26 | LoBue Lindsay | other | 3,120 |
| May 28, 26 | Jenkins Mark David | other | 7,634 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our CG coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Carlyle Group (CG): Private Markets Growth Reaccelerates
Carlyle posted record second-quarter results, including $358M of Fee Related Earnings and $485B of AUM, but the stock already prices in much of the recovery. The report keeps CG at Hold with a fair value estimate of $58.06.

The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) slumps 19% after hours
The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) slumps in after-hours trading after a strong earnings-driven rally reverses sharply. The move appears tied to profit-taking and positioning rather than a fresh negative company headline, even as Carlyle’s latest results showed solid EPS beats and durable fee-related earnings.

IREN just crossed from AI story stock to contracted revenue machine
IREN’s latest jump looks earned because the company now has a much larger contracted AI cloud revenue base, not just an AI narrative. The key shift is simple: management raised its year-end AI Cloud ARR target above $4 billion and says roughly 85% is already under contract.
Want a deeper read on CG?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
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Algebris UK Ltd. Acquires Shares of 1,923,159 Carlyle Group Inc. $CG
defenseworld.net · Aug 20
Carlyle Joins $1 Billion Investment Round in Missile Startup Castelion
wsj.com · Aug 19
Carlyle Credit Income Fund Announces Third Quarter Financial Results and Declares Monthly Common and Preferred Dividends
globenewswire.com · Aug 19
IVZ or CG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
zacks.com · Aug 18
Buckland Partners Management Co LLC Makes New $2.29 Million Investment in Carlyle Group Inc. $CG
defenseworld.net · Aug 18
Bank of America Corp DE Cuts Stake in Carlyle Group Inc. $CG
defenseworld.net · Aug 11
Carlyle Secured Lending Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com · Aug 7
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 13, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice