ERock, Inc.
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Range $20 – $28
Price Chart
About the company
ERock, Inc. designs, deploys, sells, operates, and maintains distributed power generation systems designed to provide power for commercial and industrial customers in the United States. Its offerings include the design, installation, and operation of modular power systems, as well as ongoing operations and maintenance and asset management services.
- CEO
- John E. Carrington
- IPO
- 2026
- Employees
- 440
- HQ
- Houston, TX, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a damaged post-IPO downtrend, trading well below its 200-day average and still far under the 52-week high. The recent bounce from the low end of the range suggests a base-building attempt, but the longer-term regime remains weak until it can reclaim the major moving averages.
Street coverage is constructive: consensus is Buy with a $23.33 target, above the latest close and near the middle of the $20 to $28 target band. Recent changes were mostly initiations at Overweight/Outperform/Buy, with one Guggenheim cut to $20 from $23, so sentiment is positive but not unanimous.
The last reported quarter was a clear beat, with EPS of 1.0379 versus a -0.29 estimate. Forward estimates still point to a loss in 2026, then a turn toward profitability in 2027, so shareholders should watch whether revenue growth and margin recovery can track that path.
Recent activity leans to net selling, led by a 10% owner, with no discretionary open-market buying to offset it. Most of the record is automatic or administrative flow, but the sale entries from McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. stand out as the only clear negative signal in the recent window.
Profitability is still under pressure, with a 20.7% gross margin, a -44.79% operating margin, and a -66.67% net margin. The balance sheet is a positive offset: $108.1 million of cash against $59.98 million of debt, plus $121.2 million of free cash flow and a 29.08% FCF yield in 2025.
EROC screens as a higher-growth, higher-risk specialty industrial name tied to distributed power systems for data centers and utilities. Versus the sector, the valuation is rich at 33.61x earnings, so the setup depends on execution rather than cheapness.
- Market Cap
- $2.18B
- P/E
- -20.37
- Fwd P/E
- 16.31
- PEG
- -0.20
- P/S
- 173.02
- P/B
- 35.61
- EV/EBITDA
- -376.15
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 19.44%
- Op Margin
- -49.71%
- Net Margin
- -118.60%
- ROE
- 527.15%
- ROIC
- -9.83%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $183.15M+42.5%
- Gross Profit
- $37.99M+120.8%
- Op Income
- $-34,740,000
- Net Income
- $-59,030,000-3.7%
- EPS
- $-0.30-11.1%
- OCF Growth
- +581.2%
- FCF Growth
- +436.7%
- 52W High
- $20.70
- 52W Low
- $7.65
- 50D MA
- $12.18
- 200D MA
- $12.67
- Beta
- 1.05
- RSI (14)
- 31
- Avg Volume
- 2.82M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
ERock reported strong second-quarter execution, with backlog surging to a record $1.7 billion and full-year 2026 guidance calling for much higher revenue and positive adjusted EBITDA in the second half.· August 12, 2026
- Backlog reached a record $1.7 billion, up roughly 10x year over year and $400 million quarter over quarter.
- Second-quarter revenue was $39.9 million, driven by higher power system sales and some earlier-than-expected deliveries tied to the El Paso Meta project.
- Management issued 2026 guidance for $435 million to $465 million of revenue and $3 million to $9 million of adjusted EBITDA.
- The Anthropic order for about 470 megawatts, plus the El Paso project and California work, reinforced demand for ERock’s turnkey power solution.
- The company ended the quarter with $627 million of unrestricted cash, no debt, and an undrawn $250 million credit facility.
Total revenue in Q2 2026 was $39.9 million, up 26% sequentially from $31.7 million in Q1. Power System sales revenue was $26.5 million, up 67% sequentially, while Ongoing services revenue was $13.3 million, down 15% sequentially. Gross profit was $7.4 million, with gross margin of 18.6% and adjusted gross margin of 22.2%. Net loss was $67.7 million versus a $17.2 million net loss in Q1, including a $48.8 million loss on debt extinguishment tied to convertible note conversion and repayment of a $30 million term loan. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $14 million versus negative $12.4 million in Q1. For full-year 2026, management guided to revenue of $435 million to $465 million and adjusted EBITDA of $3 million to $9 million, with about $360 million to $390 million of backlog expected to convert in 2026.
John Carrington said ERock is seeing strong AI-driven demand and is well positioned as customers need speed-to-power solutions amid long turbine lead times and multi-year interconnection queues. He emphasized the company’s vertically integrated model, 99.999% reliability across more than 400 sites, and the differentiation of RockBlock and Granite software, including fast start, low emissions, low noise, and modular deployment. His tone was confident and expansionary, focusing on backlog growth, pipeline growth, and scaling the business without turning away opportunities.
Ian Blakely highlighted the quarter’s revenue mix and the timing shift from earlier-than-expected generator deliveries. He cited $39.9 million of revenue, $7.4 million of gross profit, 18.6% gross margin, 22.2% adjusted gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA of negative $14 million; the net loss included a $48.8 million nonrecurring debt extinguishment charge. On liquidity and capital allocation, he said ERock ended June 30 with $627 million of unrestricted cash, no outstanding debt, an undrawn $250 million credit facility, around $34 million of restricted cash, and only $9 million of year-to-date CapEx, including about $7 million for Hyperion. He also said Hyperion needs less than $10 million of additional CapEx and that the business should turn EBITDA positive in the second half of 2026.
Analysts focused on how firm backlog compares with the broader pipeline, pricing power, capacity additions, and whether the Anthropic deal signaled larger deal sizes going forward. Management said backlog is intentionally firm and that the broader pipeline continues to grow, with pipeline up 3x from Q1 to Q2, while also noting that pricing and gross margin trends are improving, though the benefit will mostly show up in 2028 and beyond because capacity is sold out through 2027 and into early 2028. On capacity, John said expansion decisions are triggered when roughly 65% contracted or more and that ERock can add a 1.2 GW facility in about 12 months for $15 million to $20 million. On deposits and cash conversion, Ian said customer cash is front-end weighted and typically converts to revenue over 1 to 3 quarters, depending on the project.
The call showed strong demand momentum, with backlog at a record $1.7 billion, a 3x quarter-over-quarter pipeline increase, and production capacity effectively sold out through 2027 and into early 2028. Management also pointed to improving pricing, a new large AI customer in Anthropic, and a capital-light model that can add assembly capacity relatively quickly and cheaply.
A lot of the near-term upside is already spoken for, since management said the pricing and gross margin benefit will mostly be felt in 2028 and beyond because the current capacity is sold out. The quarter also showed a large net loss due to a $48.8 million debt extinguishment charge, ongoing EBITDA losses, and some revenue volatility from timing shifts and campaign work that did not recur.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 59.7%
- Shares Outstanding
- 48.17M
- Float Shares
- 28.77M
of shares held by institutions
89 13F filers
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Price T Rowe Associates Inc | 2.28M | ▲ 2.28M |
| Balyasny Asset Management L.P. | 2.10M | ▲ 2.10M |
| Cinctive Capital Management LP | 1.95M | ▲ 1.95M |
| Encompass Capital Advisors LLC | 1.90M | ▲ 1.90M |
| Zimmer Partners, LP | 1.89M | ▲ 1.89M |
| Ameriprise Financial Inc | 1.83M | ▲ 1.83M |
| Massachusetts Financial Services Co | 1.78M | ▲ 1.78M |
| Alliancebernstein L.P. | 1.70M | ▲ 1.70M |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | 1.51M | ▲ 1.51M |
| Value Aligned Research Advisors, LLC | 1.35M | ▲ 1.35M |
| Alyeska Investment Group, L.P. | 1.28M | ▲ 1.28M |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 1.12M | ▲ 1.12M |
Held by 90 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in EROC by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | other | 93,023 |
| Jun 11, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | sell | 93,023 |
| Jun 11, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | sell | 372,093 |
| Jun 11, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | other | 372,093 |
| Jun 11, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | other | 50,550 |
| Jun 9, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | other | 0 |
| Jun 9, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | other | 0 |
| Jun 9, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | other | 16,633,122 |
| Jun 9, 26 | McAndrew Walter Thomas Jr. | other | 6,368,562 |
| Oct 8, 15 | Thuillier Lawrence J. | other | 184,308 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our EROC coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.
Want a deeper read on EROC?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
ERock Schedules Third Quarter 2026 Results and Conference Call
businesswire.com · Oct 22
ERock Service Component On Future Base From Current Backlog Might Already Justify Valuation
seekingalpha.com · Oct 10
ERock, HD Construction Equipment Sign Multi-Year Engine Long Block Supply Agreement to Accelerate Manufacturing Capacity
businesswire.com · Oct 7
ERock: AI's Grid Bottleneck Can Become A Long-Lived Installed-Base Business
seekingalpha.com · Aug 17
ERock Stock Surges Thursday: What's Driving the Action?
benzinga.com · Aug 13
ERock: Green Shoots Emerge, But Questions Remain
seekingalpha.com · Aug 13
ERock, Inc. (EROC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
seekingalpha.com · Aug 12
ERock Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results
businesswire.com · Aug 11
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 22, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice
