Fair Isaac Corporation
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Range $1139 – $1750
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About the company
Fair Isaac Corporation, also known as FICO, delivers advanced analytics, software solutions, and data management services designed to help businesses optimize, automate, and interconnect their crucial decision-making processes. These offerings reach clients across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. The company operates through two main divisions: Software and Scores.
- CEO
- William J. Lansing
- IPO
- 1987
- Employees
- 3,876
- HQ
- Bozeman, MT, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a major correction regime after a long run, now well below its 200-day moving average and far under the 52-week high. It has rebounded from the 52-week low area, but the longer-term trend still favors caution until price rebuilds above the intermediate trend.
Street sentiment stays constructive, with a Buy consensus and an average target of $1,539.33, above the current share price. Recent calls have turned more cautious on valuation, with several firms cutting targets while mostly keeping ratings intact; one downgrade to Peer Perform stands out.
FICO has a strong beat record, going 7 for 8 in recent quarters, including a 13.9% EPS beat last quarter. Next year’s EPS estimate has risen to 53.06 from the current 34.57 TTM base, so shareholders should watch whether software and scores growth keeps supporting that step-up.
Recent insider activity leans to net selling, but most of the reported moves are exempt or award-related and look mechanical rather than discretionary. The only clear sale was a director disposal in late July, while recent officer transactions were tied to awards, in-kind handling, or exempt filings.
Profitability remains elite, led by an 85.1% gross margin and a 53.8% operating margin. Growth is still strong, with revenue up 25.7% year over year and earnings up 41.2%, while free cash flow reached $787.7 million in fiscal 2025.
FICO wins on margin structure and pricing power versus most application software peers, but it trades at a premium because of that quality. The setup favors a valuation-sensitive debate: strong cash generation and returns on capital versus a stretched multiple after the recent reset.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $20.16B
- P/E
- 26.81
- Fwd P/E
- 21.74
- PEG
- 0.79
- P/S
- 8.42
- P/B
- -5.16
- EV/EBITDA
- 20.12
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 85.10%
- Op Margin
- 51.65%
- Net Margin
- 34.05%
- ROE
- -33.43%
- ROIC
- 59.42%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $1.99B+15.9%
- Gross Profit
- $1.64B+19.6%
- Op Income
- $924.85M
- Net Income
- $651.95M+27.1%
- EPS
- $26.90+29.5%
- OCF Growth
- +23.0%
- FCF Growth
- +26.7%
- 52W High
- $1998.01
- 52W Low
- $870.01
- 50D MA
- $1167.58
- 200D MA
- $1304.58
- Beta
- 1.32
- RSI (14)
- 30
- Avg Volume
- 326.52K
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
FICO delivered a strong Q3 with 26% revenue growth, expanded margins and free cash flow, then raised full-year guidance despite a softer mortgage backdrop.· July 29, 2026
- Q3 revenue was $674 million, up 26% year over year; GAAP EPS was $10.45, up 41%, and non-GAAP EPS was $12.18, up 42%.
- Scores drove the quarter, with segment revenue of $459 million, up 41%; Software revenue was $215 million, up 2%, as platform growth offset weaker legacy revenue.
- Platform is now bigger than non-platform in ARR and revenue, with platform ARR up 62% to $413 million and platform revenue up 66% year over year.
- Management raised full-year guidance to $2.53 billion revenue, $850 million GAAP net income, and $979 million non-GAAP net income.
- Mortgage remains healthy but below historical norms; management continues to see gaming in lender choice and is still waiting on GSE approval for the direct licensing program.
FICO reported Q3 revenue of $674 million, up 26% from last year. GAAP net income was $237 million, up 30%, with GAAP EPS of $10.45, up 41%; non-GAAP net income was $277 million, up 31%, with non-GAAP EPS of $12.18, up 42%. Free cash flow was $370 million in the quarter and $961 million over the last four quarters, up 28%. Scores revenue was $459 million, up 41%, and Software revenue was $215 million, up 2%. Non-GAAP operating margin was 62%, up 479 basis points year over year. Full-year guidance was raised to revenue of $2.53 billion, GAAP net income of $850 million, GAAP EPS of $36.86, non-GAAP net income of $979 million, and non-GAAP EPS of $42.43. Management said Q4 operating expenses will be modestly higher than Q3 due to front-end loaded marketing for the Accenture partnership and some one-time restructuring charges, and Q4 interest expense should be higher because of the June $1.5 billion term loan.
Will Lansing framed the quarter as another strong one and emphasized that the company is increasing fiscal 2026 guidance. He highlighted strategic momentum in FICO Score 10T, UltraFICO, the mortgage direct licensing program, and the FICO Platform, while stressing that AI adoption and governed decisioning are creating long-term demand. His tone was confident but pragmatic: he repeatedly noted that mortgage is still under pressure from rates and affordability, but said the company is executing with discipline and sees continued growth opportunities beyond mortgage.
Steve Weber emphasized the mix of growth in Scores and platform-driven software metrics. He said Scores B2B revenue rose 49% year over year, or 59% when normalized for a prior-year insurance score renewal, with mortgage origination revenues up 97%; in Software, ACV bookings were $29 million, trailing-12-month ACV bookings were $128 million, up 39%, and total ARR was $816 million, up 10%, with platform ARR up 62% to $413 million. He also noted non-GAAP operating margin of 62%, cash and marketable investments of $305 million, total debt of $5.58 billion at a 5.64% weighted average interest rate, and said the near-term use of cash will be paying down debt before returning more capital via buybacks.
Analysts focused heavily on mortgage scoring dynamics, including VantageScore adoption, gaming, and the timing of the direct licensing program. Management said it is still waiting on certification from one GSE for the DLP to go live, that reseller agreements already cover about 60% of mortgage volume, and that there is strong interest in the performance model and funding fee component. On VantageScore, Will Lansing said the company is seeing gaming behavior in the market but not volume loss, and argued lenders pulling both scores to game the system can make Vantage additive rather than substitutive. Questions also probed software divergence and capital return; management said platform growth should keep accelerating, legacy migrations will continue, and buybacks are likely paused in the near term as cash is directed to debt reduction.
The quarter showed strong operating leverage, with revenue up 26%, EPS growth outpacing revenue, and non-GAAP margin expanding to 62%. Platform metrics were especially strong: platform ARR exceeded non-platform ARR for the first time, platform revenue grew 66%, and management said bookings, ARR, DBNRR and enterprise platform clients are all growing. Management also pointed to multiple catalysts ahead, including broader adoption of 10T, UltraFICO, the Accenture partnership, and the next-generation FICO Platform.
Mortgage remains the biggest macro headwind, with elevated rates and affordability challenges still weighing on originations and direct licensing still stuck waiting for GSE certification. Management openly acknowledged lender-choice gaming and said VantageScore adoption is tied to that behavior, which could complicate score economics and market structure. Software still has weakness in non-platform revenue from migrations and end-of-life products, and Q4 expenses and interest expense are both expected to be higher.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 96.9%
- Shares Outstanding
- 21.60M
- Float Shares
- 20.93M
of shares held by institutions
891 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.88. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for FICO, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael T. McCaulHouse · TX10 | Sell | Apr 22, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Sell | Apr 14, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Mar 13, 26 | Filing → |
| Josh S. GottheimerHouse · NJ05 | Sell | Feb 4, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Sell | Feb 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Dec 19, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Aug 26, 25 | Filing → |
| Josh S. GottheimerHouse · NJ05 | Sell | Jan 27, 25 | Filing → |
| Josh S. GottheimerHouse · NJ05 | Buy | Apr 29, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Mar 20, 24 | Filing → |
| Kathy E. ManningHouse · NC06 | Sell | Aug 3, 22 | Filing → |
| Kathy E. ManningHouse · NC06 | Buy | Jul 20, 22 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 3.00M | ▼ 69.10K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 2.09M | ▼ 101.65K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 1.48M | ▼ 25.07K |
| Capital Research Global Investors | 1.30M | ▲ 177.44K |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 1.26M | ▼ 384 |
| Capital International Investors | 1.25M | ▲ 538.57K |
| State Street Corp | 1.05M | ▲ 11.00K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 731.78K | ▼ 5.67K |
| Capital World Investors | 715.99K | ▼ 16.68K |
| Valley Forge Capital Management, LP | 672.19K | ▼ 97.16K |
| Morgan Stanley | 579.68K | ▼ 25.02K |
| Principal Financial Group Inc | 415.80K | ▼ 7.03K |
Held by 1,499 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in FICO by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Stansbury Henry Tayloe | other | 91 |
| Aug 22, 26 | Stansbury Henry Tayloe | other | 91 |
| Aug 24, 26 | KELLY BRADEN R | other | 1,285 |
| Aug 24, 26 | KELLY BRADEN R | other | 1,386 |
| Aug 21, 26 | KELLY BRADEN R | other | 1,682 |
| Aug 21, 26 | KELLY BRADEN R | other | 1,682 |
| Aug 24, 26 | KELLY BRADEN R | other | 1,386 |
| Aug 24, 26 | KELLY BRADEN R | other | 1,285 |
| Jul 29, 26 | Manolis Eva | other | 967 |
| Jul 29, 26 | Manolis Eva | other | 967 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our FICO coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Fair Isaac (FICO): Pricing Power and Growth, but Leverage Lingers
Fair Isaac combines a dominant credit-scoring franchise with accelerating Scores growth and improving software mix. The Buy case is strong, but heavy debt and mortgage exposure keep the risk profile elevated.

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) falls 13.9% on VantageScore news
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) falls sharply in after-hours trading after a Reuters-syndicated report said U.S. officials want broader VantageScore approval for lenders. The move pressures FICO’s mortgage-scoring moat even as the company continues to post strong earnings and beat estimates.

FICO's downgrade-driven selloff looks like a moat mistake
FICO's downgrade-driven slide looks like sentiment capitulation, not proof that its scoring moat is broken. Strong Scores growth, improving Score 10T adoption and a 95 Growth sub-score keep the contrarian setup alive.
Want a deeper read on FICO?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
Stock of the Day: Is This the Bottom for Fair Issac?
benzinga.com · Sep 8
California State Teachers Retirement System Buys 40,336,668 Shares of Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO
defenseworld.net · Sep 7
Stock Market Midday, Sept. 4: Stocks Edge Lower on Strong Jobs Report as Lululemon Plummets
fool.com · Sep 4
Why Fair Isaac Stock Crashed Today
fool.com · Sep 4
Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO Shares Sold by Barlow Wealth Partners LLC
defenseworld.net · Sep 4
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board Invests $1.74 Million in Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO
defenseworld.net · Aug 31
Caisse de depot et placement du Quebec Invests $521,000 in Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO
defenseworld.net · Aug 31
Why Is Fair Isaac (FICO) Up 1.5% Since Last Earnings Report?
zacks.com · Aug 28
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed September 6, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice