First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
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Range $14 – $15
Price Chart
About the company
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. oversees and licenses restaurant operations under the First Watch brand. As of March 23, 2022, its extensive presence included 341 company-owned eateries and 94 franchised outlets, operating across 28 U.
- CEO
- Christopher A. Tomasso
- IPO
- 2021
- Employees
- 18,000
- HQ
- Bradenton, FL, US
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Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $648.60M
- P/E
- 35.60
- Fwd P/E
- 90.64
- PEG
- 0.09
- P/S
- 0.49
- P/B
- 1.02
- EV/EBITDA
- 16.55
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 33.70%
- Op Margin
- 4.25%
- Net Margin
- 1.35%
- ROE
- 2.85%
- ROIC
- 3.23%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $1.22B+20.3%
- Gross Profit
- $159.44M-79.9%
- Op Income
- $33.77M
- Net Income
- $19.43M+2.7%
- EPS
- $0.32+3.2%
- OCF Growth
- +8.9%
- FCF Growth
- -152.5%
- 52W High
- $18.82
- 52W Low
- $9.88
- 50D MA
- $11.82
- 200D MA
- $12.87
- Beta
- 1.03
- RSI (14)
- 43
- Avg Volume
- 1.13M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
First Watch delivered another strong quarter with 15.2% revenue growth and improving traffic, then raised 2026 guidance while shifting its long-term plan toward more free cash flow and slightly slower unit growth.· August 4, 2026
- Revenue rose 15.2% to $354.7 million, with same-restaurant sales up 3.4% and restaurant-level operating margin at 18.8%.
- Traffic improved through the quarter and turned positive in June, though reported same-restaurant traffic was down 0.4% for Q2 after planned sales transfer.
- Marketing, new menu innovation and seasonal LTOs supported demand; unaided brand awareness has increased more than 50% since early last year.
- Management raised full-year 2026 guidance, including same-restaurant sales to 1.5% to 3%, revenue growth to 12.5% to 14%, and adjusted EBITDA to $133 million to $136 million.
- The company also reset long-term targets to about 55 system-wide openings annually, including about 50 company-owned, and said positive free cash flow should begin in 2027.
Second-quarter revenue increased 15.2% to $354.7 million. Same-restaurant sales grew 3.4%, while same-restaurant traffic was negative 0.4% and restaurant-level operating profit margin improved to 18.8%. Food and beverage expense was 23.5% of sales, down 10 basis points year over year, labor and other related expenses were 32.9% of sales, and adjusted EBITDA increased 13.5% to $34.5 million, or 9.7% margin; net income was $2.3 million. For 2026, management raised same-restaurant sales growth to 1.5% to 3%, revenue growth to 12.5% to 14%, adjusted EBITDA to $133 million to $136 million, and lowered capex guidance to $145 million to $150 million. They now expect 60 to 62 net new system-wide restaurants and said Q3 same-store sales should still be positive but likely at or below the low end of the full-year range.
Chris Tomasso framed the quarter as evidence that marketing, menu changes and unit growth are all working together, saying the company is seeing improved traffic, stronger awareness and positive responses to the new core menu and seasonal LTOs. He emphasized that the brand is still early in building awareness, but that First Watch has a large long-term runway, a robust pipeline and a clear position as the leader in daytime dining. His tone was confident and strategic, with a clear focus on balancing growth with long-term relevance and capital discipline.
Ashlee Weisser highlighted the company’s financial strength, pointing to $354.7 million of revenue, 18.8% restaurant-level operating margin, $34.5 million of adjusted EBITDA and $2.3 million of net income. She said food and beverage cost was 23.5% of sales, helped by 3.7% carried pricing and 1.6% commodity deflation, but offset by heavier-than-expected beef mix from premium LTOs; labor and other related expenses improved to 32.9% of sales, aided by staffing changes and sales leverage despite 4.1% wage inflation. She also noted G&A was $38.7 million, marketing is running around 2% of revenue, Q3 G&A should be about $1 million below Q2, and capex guidance was reduced to $145 million to $150 million.
Analysts focused on the Q3 traffic outlook, the beef-related cost pressure, and how much marketing is actually driving traffic. Management said it still expects positive same-store sales in every quarter, including the tougher Q3 comparison, but would not separate out the exact traffic contribution from marketing or sales transfer; they did say traffic would have been positive excluding sales transfer. On costs, management said the beef headwind should moderate as the current LTO ends, and explained that the temporary mix impact was larger than planned because demand for the beef items outperformed test results. They also said influencer and organic social are becoming a bigger part of the paid media mix and should continue growing.
The bull case from the call is that First Watch is still growing through a mix of traffic recovery, marketing gains, menu innovation and strong new store productivity. Management repeatedly said new classes are outperforming underwriting, awareness is rising from a low base, and the business should produce positive same-store sales each quarter even in a tough comparison period.
The main risk is margin pressure from mix shifts toward higher-cost beef offerings, which already pushed adjusted EBITDA guidance down relative to prior expectations. Management also acknowledged Q3 is the hardest comparison of the year, traffic still shows the effect of planned sales transfer, and the company is guiding to slower unit growth going forward as it prioritizes free cash flow and balance sheet strength.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 97.7%
- Shares Outstanding
- 61.71M
- Float Shares
- 60.30M
of shares held by institutions
217 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for FWRG, newest first.
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 4.53M | ▲ 462.39K |
| Manufacturers Life Insurance Company, The | 3.82M | ▲ 466.03K |
| Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 3.72M | ▼ 238.66K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 3.32M | ▲ 432.63K |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | 2.60M | ▼ 487.94K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 2.45M | ▲ 51.21K |
| Millennium Management LLC | 2.19M | ▼ 1.04M |
| Neuberger Berman Group LLC | 2.07M | ▼ 1.51M |
| Gw&K Investment Management, LLC | 2.01M | ▲ 47.92K |
| Stephens Investment Management Group LLC | 1.95M | ▲ 294.12K |
| Hodges Capital Management Inc. | 1.59M | ▲ 110.61K |
| Emerald Advisers, LLC | 1.53M | ▲ 579.65K |
Held by 186 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in FWRG by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 26 | Weisser Ashlee Suzanne | other | 26,595 |
| Jun 8, 26 | Weisser Ashlee Suzanne | other | 0 |
| May 21, 26 | Britt Irene Chang | other | 12,345 |
| May 21, 26 | FLEISHER MICHAEL D | other | 12,345 |
| May 21, 26 | Alvarez Ralph | other | 17,636 |
| May 21, 26 | Solheim Jostein | other | 12,345 |
| May 21, 26 | Tipograph Rachel K | other | 12,345 |
| May 21, 26 | Jemley Charles | other | 12,345 |
| May 21, 26 | Lilak Stephanie | other | 12,345 |
| May 21, 26 | Kussell William A | other | 12,345 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our FWRG coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.
Want a deeper read on FWRG?
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First Watch Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:FWRG) Reaches New 12-Month Low – Time to Sell?
defenseworld.net · Sep 24
Canada Pension Plan Investment Board Takes $764,000 Position in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. $FWRG
defenseworld.net · Sep 2
4,534,132 Shares in First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. $FWRG Bought by BlackRock Inc.
defenseworld.net · Sep 1
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. to Participate in Two September Investor Conferences
globenewswire.com · Aug 27
Wall Street Breakfast Podcast: Coffee Rally Hits PSL Season
seekingalpha.com · Aug 25
A Look at First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) After 7.3% Gain -- GF Value $22.49 vs Price $12.65
gurufocus.com · Aug 12
First Watch Restaurant Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
defenseworld.net · Aug 6
First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. (FWRG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
seekingalpha.com · Aug 4
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