Keel Infrastructure Corp.
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Range $3 – $8
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About the company
Keel Infrastructure Corp. operates as a digital infrastructure and energy company that develops and owns data centers and energy infrastructure for computing workloads, including AI in North America. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
- CEO
- Benjamin J. Gagnon
- IPO
- 2019
- Employees
- 274
- HQ
- New York, NY, US
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- Market Cap
- $1.90B
- P/E
- -4.45
- Fwd P/E
- 103.79
- PEG
- 0.04
- P/S
- 13.26
- P/B
- 6.15
- EV/EBITDA
- -20.17
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- -82.83%
- Op Margin
- -178.58%
- Net Margin
- -282.92%
- ROE
- -89.64%
- ROIC
- -19.83%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $229.28M+18.9%
- Gross Profit
- $-18,904,000+41.6%
- Op Income
- $-149,600,000
- Net Income
- $-284,544,000-426.3%
- EPS
- $-0.52-300.0%
- OCF Growth
- -61.2%
- FCF Growth
- +32.0%
- 52W High
- $7.37
- 52W Low
- $2.00
- 50D MA
- $2.20
- 200D MA
- $2.36
- Beta
- 4.01
- RSI (14)
- 42
- Avg Volume
- 72.55M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Keel said it is moving from thesis to execution, with permitting, utility work and commercial negotiations advancing across its three priority U.S. data center sites while Q2 financials remained pressured by the Bitcoin wind-down and higher SG&A.· August 10, 2026
- Management said all 3 priority sites advanced in permitting and leasing, and each has multiple potential customers engaged.
- Moses Lake is expected to be the first fully permitted, first energized and first HPC revenue-generating site, with first Vertiv modules already on site.
- Panther Creek’s final DEP permitting is running a few months behind, but management said the delay does not change planned power delivery, economics or commercial interest.
- Keel completed a $458 million convertible note offering and ended the quarter with $819 million of total liquidity, which management said funds development through lease signing and cash SG&A through 2028.
- The company sold 1,085 Bitcoin for $75 million during the period and still intends to liquidate its Bitcoin position in 2026.
Q2 2026 revenue was $30 million, down from $61 million in Q2 2025. Operating loss was $141 million versus operating income of $11 million a year ago, including $63 million of accelerated depreciation tied to mining rig shutdowns at Panther Creek and Scrubgrass. Loss from continuing operations was $64 million, or $0.11 per share, compared with income from continuing operations of $13 million in Q2 2025. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $24 million versus $7 million in the prior-year quarter. The company sold 1,085 Bitcoin for $75 million in proceeds from April 1, 2026 through August 7, 2026, and held 1,861 Bitcoin as of August 7. Liquidity was $819 million as of August 7, up from $533 million at the beginning of May. Management said it is tracking about $100 million of cash SG&A for 2026, and said liquidity supports site development through lease signing, expansion capacity and cash SG&A through 2028. Forward-lookingly, management said Moses Lake should be the first fully commissioned data center in 2027, Panther Creek’s earliest RFS remains 2027, Sharon’s RFS is still expected at end-2027, and Scrubgrass is still in the energy application phase with an update expected as early as December or January. For expansion capacity, management expects an update on the Pennsylvania pipeline as early as December or January and said the Sherbrooke project still awaits provincial approval.
Ben Gagnon’s message was that Keel is now executing exactly the strategy it outlined 18 months ago: exit Bitcoin and Latin America, rebuild the balance sheet, and become a U.S. HPC/AI infrastructure developer. He emphasized that scarcity of near-term power is creating real negotiating leverage, not a sales pitch, and repeatedly framed the company as being in a “goldilocks phase” with permitting largely derisked and multiple counterparties competing for limited capacity. His tone was confident and assertive, but he also stressed patience on lease signing so Keel does not cap long-term asset value with a rushed deal.
Jonathan Mir said Keel is “better capitalized” than at any point in its history, which gives the company flexibility to advance and derisk projects without being forced by liquidity pressure. He quantified Q2 revenue at $30 million, operating loss at $141 million, loss from continuing operations at $64 million, adjusted EBITDA at negative $24 million, and noted about $63 million of accelerated depreciation tied to mining shutdowns. He also highlighted that cash SG&A averaged $23 million per quarter in the first half of 2026 and that the company is tracking $100 million for the full year, while total liquidity reached $819 million after the $458 million convertible note issuance. Mir said the proceeds are earmarked for incremental power capacity at Panther Creek and Scrubgrass, not new development risk, and added that project-level debt markets remain accessible, especially with investment-grade offtake or wraps.
Analysts focused on regulation/permitting, the timing of leases, the exposure of the power pipeline to new policy scrutiny, and whether Keel still expects three lease announcements in 2026. Management said the secured capacity is currently unimpacted, expansion capacity could be affected by future policy changes, and that the company is increasingly confident it can secure additional Pennsylvania power, with an update likely by December or January. On Panther Creek, management said the DEP timing is a few months longer than expected but does not change the power schedule, economics or commercial interest; on Moses Lake, it said the site is being simplified to an 18 MW plan after dropping the extra 10 MW option. Keel also said multiple customers want all 3 sites, but it prefers to structure deals site-by-site and build long-term expansion relationships.
The positive case from this call is that Keel appears to have scarce, near-term 2027 power in the right U.S. markets just as AI/data center demand is intensifying. Management said commercial discussions are active across all 3 priority sites, with permitting advancing and infrastructure work already underway, including deliveries of long-lead equipment. The large liquidity balance and the convertible raise also give Keel room to wait for better economics and to fund construction without immediate financing pressure.
The main risks are that current financial results remain weak while the business transitions away from Bitcoin, and the company’s Q2 revenue and EBITDA were still negative year over year. Panther Creek’s final environmental permitting is taking longer than expected, Moses Lake’s timing has slipped by a couple of months, and Scrubgrass is still only in the energy application stage with no permits submitted yet. Management also said broader macro conditions, capital markets and financing costs are key risks, even if the company is currently well positioned.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 95.4%
- Shares Outstanding
- 603.83M
- Float Shares
- 576.20M
of shares held by institutions
336 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 1.43. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 43.97M | ▲ 43.97M |
| Situational Awareness LP | 26.45M | ▲ 26.45M |
| Monarch Alternative Capital LP | 26.29M | ▲ 26.29M |
| Jane Street Group, LLC | 23.18M | ▲ 23.18M |
| Diameter Capital Partners LP | 20.50M | ▲ 20.50M |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 15.60M | ▲ 15.60M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 13.85M | ▲ 13.85M |
| State Street Corp | 13.61M | ▲ 13.61M |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 13.10M | ▲ 13.10M |
| Morgan Stanley | 12.68M | ▲ 12.68M |
| Invesco Ltd. | 11.64M | ▲ 11.64M |
| T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc. | 10.84M | ▲ 10.84M |
Held by 248 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in KEEL by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Gagnon Benjamin | buy | 38,888 |
| Aug 20, 26 | WILSON LIAM DANIEL | buy | 30,769 |
| Aug 17, 26 | WILSON LIAM DANIEL | buy | 26,472 |
| Aug 13, 26 | Gagnon Benjamin | buy | 58,888 |
| Jul 10, 26 | Gagnon Benjamin | other | 215,579 |
| Jul 10, 26 | Gagnon Benjamin | other | 215,579 |
| Jul 10, 26 | WILSON LIAM DANIEL | other | 76,424 |
| Jul 10, 26 | WILSON LIAM DANIEL | other | 76,424 |
| Jul 10, 26 | WILSON LIAM DANIEL | other | 32,687 |
| Jul 10, 26 | Ammann Marc-Andre | other | 28,480 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our KEEL coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.
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