Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
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Range $48 – $57
Price Chart
About the company
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. is a prominent global entity specializing in the manufacturing, distribution, and sale of enhanced frozen potato items. Its operations are structured across four distinct segments: Global, Foodservice, Retail, and Other.
- CEO
- Michael Jared Smith
- IPO
- 2016
- Employees
- 10,000
- HQ
- Eagle, ID, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
LW is in a constructive multi-month recovery, holding above its 200-day average and trading well off the 52-week high. The setup has shifted from deep-value repair toward a steadier uptrend, with the stock still below its peak but no longer in a stressed regime.
Street sentiment is cautious-to-positive: consensus sits at Hold, while the average target of $53.86 is close to the recent close. Recent revisions have leaned higher, with multiple firms lifting targets into the $52-$57 range, suggesting improving confidence without a full bullish reset.
The earnings profile has been strong, with 6 of the last 7 quarters beating EPS estimates and the latest quarter topping by 40.3%. Next-year EPS is modeled higher at 3.0129 versus TTM EPS of 2.05, so shareholders should watch whether margin discipline and volume trends keep that upgrade path intact.
No discretionary insider buying or selling stands out. The recent activity is dominated by awards and in-kind share movements tied to compensation, including grants across the CEO and other officers, which are not the same as open-market conviction trades.
Profitability is solid and improving enough to support the rerating: gross margin is 20.7%, operating margin 9.77%, and net margin 4.39%. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year, while free cash flow reached $1.442 billion, giving the company meaningful cash generation despite a leveraged balance sheet.
LW’s defensive packaged-food profile and 0.458 beta make it less volatile than many consumer names, but the balance sheet is heavier than the business quality would suggest. At 17.57x earnings, valuation sits in a middle ground: not cheap enough to ignore leverage, not expensive versus a steadier staples backdrop.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $7.35B
- P/E
- 25.46
- Fwd P/E
- 17.57
- PEG
- -1.53
- P/S
- 1.11
- P/B
- 4.03
- EV/EBITDA
- 11.45
- Div Yield
- 2.82%
- Gross Margin
- 20.56%
- Op Margin
- 8.94%
- Net Margin
- 4.39%
- ROE
- 16.12%
- ROIC
- 6.51%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $6.61B+2.5%
- Gross Profit
- $1.36B-2.8%
- Op Income
- $591.10M
- Net Income
- $290.00M-18.8%
- EPS
- $2.09-16.7%
- OCF Growth
- +19.7%
- FCF Growth
- +176.7%
- 52W High
- $67.07
- 52W Low
- $37.62
- 50D MA
- $48.35
- 200D MA
- $47.50
- Beta
- 0.46
- RSI (14)
- 61
- Avg Volume
- 1.60M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Lamb Weston said fiscal 2026 was a meaningful turnaround year, with North America volume and EBITDA improving, strong cash generation, and fiscal 2027 guidance pointing to modest sales growth and higher earnings despite EMEA pressure.· July 24, 2026
- Fourth-quarter net sales rose 6% and adjusted EBITDA fell $6 million, as North America strength was offset by international disruption and higher input costs.
- North America delivered 6 straight quarters of volume growth and ended fiscal 2026 with a 26% segment EBITDA margin.
- Full-year cash from operations was $943 million, free cash flow was $537 million, and capex fell to $410 million from prior-year levels.
- Management raised its focus on customer partnerships, execution, cost savings, and innovation, while also evaluating international footprint changes and possible M&A/divestitures.
- Fiscal 2027 guidance calls for flat to up 1% net sales, adjusted EPS of $2.95 to $3.25, adjusted EBITDA of $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion, and capex of $380 million to $410 million.
Fourth quarter net sales increased 6%, with 7% sales volume growth and a 2% favorable currency impact, partially offset by a 3% decline in price/mix. North America net sales increased 9% and sales volume rose 11%, while international net sales declined 2%. Adjusted EBITDA declined $6 million in the quarter, though North America adjusted EBITDA dollars grew 17% or $45 million. For the full year, net sales increased 2%, sales volume grew 7%, and adjusted EBITDA fell 9%; North America net sales rose 3% and international net sales rose 1%. Cash from operations was $943 million, capex was $410 million, free cash flow was $537 million, net debt was $3.8 billion, and net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage was 3.4x. The company returned $321 million to shareholders, including $208 million of dividends and $113 million of buybacks. For fiscal 2027, management expects net sales to be flat to up 1%, adjusted operating income of $720 million to $800 million, adjusted EPS of $2.95 to $3.25, adjusted EBITDA of $1.1 billion to $1.2 billion, operating cash flow of $750 million to $800 million, and capex of $380 million to $410 million. Q1 fiscal 2027 is expected to see net sales flat and EBITDA down in the low teens.
Mike Smith framed fiscal 2026 as a credibility-building year, saying the company made meaningful progress with customers and delivered on prior financial targets. His emphasis stayed on Focus to Win: stronger customer partnerships, executional excellence, cost savings, and disruptive innovation, with North America described as stabilized and growing while international remains under pressure. His tone was constructive but realistic, repeatedly stressing control of controllables, especially in EMEA and in price/cost decisions.
Jim Gray highlighted the quarter’s mix of strong North America performance and weaker international results. He pointed to full-year cash from operations of $943 million, free cash flow of $537 million, capex of $410 million, and liquidity of about $1.3 billion available under the revolver; he also noted net debt of $3.8 billion and leverage of 3.4x. On outlook, he said fiscal 2027 EBITDA would benefit from lower raw potato costs, supply chain savings, better utilization, and lapping potato write-offs and Argentina start-up costs, but would be partly offset by inflation in other inputs and Middle East-related volatility.
Analysts focused on international profitability, North America pricing, contract renewals, and how far the company can go on restructuring its footprint. Management said “everything is on the table” in the country-cluster strategy work, including M&A, partnerships, and divestitures, but emphasized that the process is still underway and details will come at Investor Day. On North America, they said contracting is just starting, there is no anomaly in the current renewal cycle, and pricing will depend on input-cost inflation and margin requirements; they also said price/mix in North America may stay modestly pressured by prior decisions but can be influenced by channel and product mix.
The bullish case from this call is that North America appears to be back on a steadier footing, with six straight quarters of volume growth, improved NPS, and management confidence in continued share gains. Cash generation, lower capex, and a large cost-savings program that already exceeded its first-year target support the idea that earnings can grow faster than sales in fiscal 2027.
The main risks are still centered on international, especially EMEA, where management cited weak demand, excess capacity, higher freight, and volatile input costs tied in part to the Middle East conflict. North America still faces modest price/mix investment, and management said the low end of 2027 EBITDA guidance largely reflects uncertainty around those input-cost and geopolitical pressures.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 99.0%
- Shares Outstanding
- 137.48M
- Float Shares
- 136.14M
of shares held by institutions
603 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 1.23. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for LW, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jan 29, 26 | Filing → |
| Rob BresnahanHouse · PA08 | Sell | Jan 13, 25 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Jan 15, 25 | Filing → |
| Gary PetersSenate · MI | Sell | Oct 31, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Sep 9, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Mar 20, 24 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jul 28, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Jun 26, 23 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Jan 4, 22 | Filing → |
| Earl BlumenauerHouse · OR03 | Buy | Sep 24, 21 | Filing → |
| Sara JacobsHouse · CA53 | Buy | Apr 9, 21 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Buy | Mar 10, 21 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Buy | Feb 23, 21 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Sell | Oct 19, 20 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 16.91M | ▼ 728.36K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 16.68M | ▲ 43.77K |
| Price T Rowe Associates Inc | 9.17M | ▼ 299.72K |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 7.11M | ▼ 181.13K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 6.00M | ▼ 244.37K |
| Starboard Value LP | 5.73M | ▼ 381.00K |
| Jana Partners Management, LP | 5.39M | ▲ 386.00K |
| Aqr Capital Management LLC | 4.93M | ▲ 2.83M |
| State Street Corp | 4.87M | ▲ 294.12K |
| Fmr LLC | 3.82M | ▲ 1.58M |
| Continental Grain Co | 3.57M | ▲ 935.00K |
| Dimensional Fund Advisors LP | 3.35M | ▲ 603.62K |
Held by 452 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in LW by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 26 | Younes Steven J | other | 1,498 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Wilks Sylvia | other | 2,223 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Spytek Eryk J | other | 3,820 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Smith Michael Jared | other | 9,441 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Schroeder Marc | other | 3,492 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Jones Gregory W | other | 619 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Crowley Michael Christopher | other | 1,805 |
| Jul 28, 26 | Younes Steven J | other | 6,957 |
| Jul 28, 26 | Wilks Sylvia | other | 8,971 |
| Jul 28, 26 | Spytek Eryk J | other | 8,788 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our LW coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Lamb Weston (LW): Turnaround Gains vs. Leverage Risk
Lamb Weston is showing early turnaround signs as North America rebounds, but heavy debt and a weak international segment keep the story balanced. The stock looks more like a selective value-and-recovery idea than a clean compounder.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) gains on deep earnings analysis
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) gains after a strong earnings beat, but the deeper story is mixed. North America delivered solid volume growth and margin support, while international profitability weakened sharply. This analysis looks beyond the headline to assess the quarter, full-year trends, and what may drive the stock next.

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) slips despite earnings beats
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) slips 1.3% even after earnings beats, as investors weigh the latest quarterly results against broader market sentiment.
Want a deeper read on LW?
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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: LW) Investor Alert: Schubert Jonckheer Investigating Possible False Statements Following 28% Stock Drop
prnewswire.com · Aug 18
Bank of America Corp DE Trims Stock Position in Lamb Weston $LW
defenseworld.net · Aug 15
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (LW) Presents at Bank of America SMID Cap Virtual Conference Transcript
seekingalpha.com · Aug 12
Lamb Weston Q4 Volume Jumps 7% as Margin Pressure Tests FY27 Outlook
zacks.com · Aug 12
LW Stock Gains 13.1% in a Month as Volume Growth Supports Momentum
zacks.com · Aug 12
Is Lamb Weston Worth Buying as Volume Gains Offset Pricing Pressure?
zacks.com · Aug 12
Executive Parts Ways With 3,820 Shares of Lamb Weston Stock
fool.com · Aug 8
Lamb Weston to Participate in the Bank of America 2026 SMID Cap Executive Insights Event
businesswire.com · Aug 6
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 16, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice