Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
Built from real-time financials, refreshed daily. For a full Analyst Grade with bull/bear case, price targets, and qualitative risk analysis, generate a NLY research report →
Price Chart
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a constructive multi-month uptrend, holding above its 200-day moving average and trading near its 52-week high. That keeps the regime bullish, with the next test being whether it can extend beyond the recent high band after a strong recovery from the low-$18 area.
Street sentiment is constructive: consensus is Buy, with a $23.50 median target versus a $23.75 share price. Recent action has been mostly reaffirmations and small target moves, including BTIG trimming its target to $24 from $25 while UBS, RBC, Barclays, Wells Fargo, and Piper Sandler stayed positive.
The company has a clean beat streak, with 7 straight EPS beats and the last reported quarter topping by 5.3%. Next-year EPS is modeled at 3.1098 versus 4.14 TTM, so shareholders should watch whether spread income and portfolio returns keep earnings near the recent run rate.
Discretionary insider selling has outweighed buying, led by two CEO sales totaling 100,000 shares and a CFO sale of 16,537 shares. The other recent entries are awards, exempt exercises, or in-kind activity, which are less informative than the open-market sales.
Profitability remains strong for a mortgage REIT, with a 90.68% net margin, 91.65% operating margin, and 19.57% ROE. Growth is still solid, with revenue up 4.794% year over year and earnings up 34.26%, while free cash flow reached $1.608 billion and FCF yield was 9.12%.
NLY screens as a premium mortgage REIT name with a 8.02 P/E and a consensus target only modestly above the current share price. The setup favors relative strength versus lower-quality peers, but the heavy debt load and rate sensitivity keep valuation anchored to portfolio execution.
- Market Cap
- $17.63B
- P/E
- 5.83
- PEG
- 0.02
- P/S
- 2.42
- P/B
- 1.01
- EV/EBITDA
- 17.12
- Div Yield
- 12.18%
- Gross Margin
- 99.28%
- Op Margin
- 111.84%
- Net Margin
- 40.52%
- ROE
- 18.39%
- ROIC
- 5.74%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $6.70B+5.4%
- Gross Profit
- $6.69B+6.3%
- Op Income
- $6.87B
- Net Income
- $2.03B+102.3%
- EPS
- $2.92+80.2%
- OCF Growth
- -79.1%
- FCF Growth
- -109.1%
- 52W High
- $24.52
- 52W Low
- $20.00
- 50D MA
- $22.70
- 200D MA
- $22.47
- Avg Volume
- 7.86M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Annaly delivered a strong second quarter with a 5.5% economic return, higher book value, and earnings that again covered the dividend, while management pointed to attractive opportunities across Agency, Residential Credit, and MSR.· July 22, 2026
- Economic return was 5.5% in Q2, with book value per share up 1.7% to $20.15.
- Earnings available for distribution rose to $0.79 per share, exceeding the newly increased $0.75 dividend for the ninth straight quarter.
- Agency portfolio grew by about $3 billion to $95 billion in market value; Residential Credit hit a record $7.1 billion of loan purchases; MSR remained stable at $4.1 billion.
- Leverage stayed conservative at 5.6x, and Annaly raised roughly $450 million of equity through its ATM program.
- Management said lower volatility and strong mortgage technicals supported returns, and it sees continued capital deployment opportunities, especially in Residential Credit and Agency.
Annaly reported second-quarter 2026 book value per share of $20.15, up 1.7% from the prior quarter. Economic return was 5.5% for the quarter, or 6.9% for the first half, including the $0.75 dividend. Earnings available for distribution was $0.79 per share, up $0.03 sequentially and above the dividend for the ninth consecutive quarter. Net interest margin increased 5 basis points to 1.76%, net interest spread improved 8 basis points to 1.5%, and average repo rates declined 6 basis points to 3.84%. Economic leverage was 5.6x versus 5.7x in Q1, and Annaly raised roughly $450 million in equity through its ATM program. Forward-looking commentary was constructive but not formal guidance: management said it expects to remain modestly ahead of the dividend over time, sees Agency returns in the mid-teens levered range, believes Residential Credit offers the best risk-adjusted returns, and said MSR is performing ahead of expectations. As of Friday after quarter end, management said book value was off a little over 1% and economic return was off roughly 0.5%.
David Finkelstein emphasized that Annaly’s diversified housing finance model performed well despite a tougher rate backdrop, with lower volatility helping portfolio returns. He said the firm has strong line of sight to dividend coverage, noting the board was methodical about the dividend increase and wanted it to be earnable over time. Strategically, he framed Annaly as an operating-light, capital-allocation platform that can invest across Agency, Residential Credit, and MSR without depending on loan origination volumes. His tone was confident and constructive, especially on the firm’s ability to deploy capital selectively and generate what he described as durable economic returns.
Serena Wolfe focused on the quarter’s financial drivers: higher Agency asset yields, stronger securitization activity in Residential Credit, and lower funding costs. She highlighted book value per share of $20.15, EAD of $0.79 per share, NIM of 1.76%, NIS of 1.5%, average repo of 3.84%, and economic leverage of 5.6x. She also pointed to liquidity and financing capacity, including $8 billion of unencumbered assets, $5.5 billion in cash and unencumbered Agency MBS, and $9.6 billion of total assets available for financing, up about $580 million from Q1. She noted OpEx-to-equity rose to 1.4% due in part to elevated expenses, but expected those expenses to moderate.
Analysts pressed management on dividend coverage, incremental capital allocation, mortgage spread uncertainty, Residential Credit sourcing, MSR opportunities, and equity issuance at the current stock price. Management said the dividend was set conservatively and should be earnable over the foreseeable future, while noting current market returns appear supportive: agency about 14%-16%, Resi Credit above 15%, and MSR above 13% on warehouse financing. On capital allocation, David said the marginal dollar would likely go first to Agency, with additional Resi Credit deployment as underwriting allows, while MSR remains attractive. On sourcing and competitive positioning, management said its broad correspondent network, sub-servicer model, and pricing/technology capabilities give it an edge in Residential Credit and MSR, and that it will remain selective in raising equity, only doing so when it is accretive and the market can absorb it.
The call’s positive case is that Annaly is still generating returns above the dividend with conservative leverage and ample liquidity. Management also said all three businesses remain investable: Agency spreads are attractive, Residential Credit is seeing record securitization activity and strong market growth, and MSR continues to perform ahead of expectations with low prepayments and solid credit. The company also believes its platform advantages—scale, partnerships, and capital flexibility—support durable long-term returns.
The main risks discussed were rising rates, persistent inflation, and geopolitical uncertainty, all of which could pressure mortgage markets and book value. Management also acknowledged that Residential Credit must remain disciplined on credit quality even as it seeks to add capital, and that elevated expenses drove OpEx-to-equity higher in the quarter. After quarter end, book value was already down a little over 1% and economic return was down roughly 0.5%, showing some near-term sensitivity to market moves.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
of shares held by institutions
789 13F filers
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for NLY, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| John KennedySenate | Buy | Apr 21, 25 | Filing → |
| John KennedySenate · LA | Buy | Apr 21, 25 | Filing → |
| Daniel GoldmanHouse · NY10 | Sell | Mar 1, 23 | Filing → |
| Daniel GoldmanHouse · NY10 | Sell | Mar 6, 23 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Buy | Jan 8, 20 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Buy | Dec 19, 19 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Buy | Mar 26, 19 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Buy | Mar 22, 19 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Sell | Sep 6, 18 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Buy | Aug 27, 18 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Buy | Jun 13, 18 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Sell | Jul 3, 18 | Filing → |
| Bob GibbsHouse · oH07 | Buy | May 24, 18 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 87.22M | ▲ 5.49M |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 63.61M | ▲ 3.02M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 32.90M | ▲ 886.84K |
| State Street Corp | 29.43M | ▲ 1.27M |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 20.82M | ▲ 873.72K |
| Fmr LLC | 14.29M | ▲ 41.44K |
| Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC | 11.54M | ▼ 1.95M |
| Norges Bank | 8.99M | ▲ 8.99M |
| Northern Trust Corp | 7.76M | ▲ 319.48K |
| Invesco Ltd. | 7.72M | ▲ 969.59K |
| Price T Rowe Associates Inc | 7.18M | ▼ 11.28M |
| Citadel Advisors LLC | 6.74M | ▲ 3.67M |
Held by 869 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in NLY by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 26 | Finkelstein David L | sell | 50,000 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Hamilton Thomas Edward | other | 8,641 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Hannan Kathy Hopinkah | other | 8,641 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Laguerre Martin | other | 8,641 |
| Jun 10, 26 | VOTEK GLENN | other | 8,641 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Laroche Manon | other | 8,641 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Williams Vicki | other | 8,641 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Wede Scott | other | 8,641 |
| Jun 10, 26 | Reeves Eric A. | other | 8,641 |
| May 14, 26 | Reeves Eric A. | other | 7,628 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our NLY coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Annaly Capital Management (NLY): Durable Income With Diversified Mortgage Bets
Annaly Capital Management combines a covered dividend, positive economic returns, and a more diversified mortgage portfolio than many peers. The report highlights income durability, but also reminds investors that leverage and funding risk remain central to the story.

Adamas Trust, Inc. Notes Offering: What Investors Need to Know
Adamas Trust, Inc. 9.600% Senior Notes Due 2031 (NASDAQ: ADAMK) are expected to list on 2026-08-17. The price range has not been disclosed. The setup favors income-focused investors watching a seasoned mortgage REIT’s capital structure, while rate and credit risk remain the key push-pull.

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) gains on earnings beats
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY) gains 0.8% as investors react to earnings beats, signaling stronger-than-expected results and renewed momentum in the stock.
Want a deeper read on NLY?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
Why Is Annaly (NLY) Up 5.9% Since Last Earnings Report?
zacks.com · Aug 20
The Fed Held Rates Flat for 231 Days, Your Mortgage Rates Went Up Anyway
247wallst.com · Aug 19
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. Announces Redemption of all 17,700,000 Outstanding Shares of 6.750% Series I Fixed-to-Floating Rate Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock
businesswire.com · Aug 19
5 of JP Morgan’s Top Stock Picks Pay Big Dividends and One Yields Over 12%
247wallst.com · Aug 19
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. Announces Preferred Dividends
businesswire.com · Aug 12
Best Value Stocks to Buy for August 6th
zacks.com · Aug 6
I'm Collecting Double-Digit Yields From Your Mortgage
seekingalpha.com · Aug 1
Wall Street Loves These 3 High-Yield Stocks Ahead of August
zacks.com · Jul 31
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 19, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice