Serve Robotics Inc.
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Range $7 – $7
Price Chart
About the company
Serve Robotics Inc. specializes in the development, deployment, and operation of autonomous, environmentally conscious robots. These advanced robotic systems are designed to provide efficient food delivery services to people in public spaces, exclusively within the United States.
- CEO
- Ali Kashani
- IPO
- 2024
- Employees
- 375
- HQ
- Redwood City, CA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock remains in a deep downtrend, trading well below its 200-day average and far under its 52-week high. The setup is still a damaged post-IPO regime, with price action clustered near the lower end of the yearly range rather than building a sustained base.
Street sentiment stays constructive but cautious: the consensus is Buy, yet the average target has been cut sharply to $7 from prior levels as recent calls were trimmed. That leaves limited upside versus the current setup, and the latest revisions suggest analysts are resetting expectations rather than chasing momentum.
Recent results have been mixed, with 2 beats in the last 8 quarters and a fresh miss on 2026-08-06 after a small beat in May and a stronger beat in March. Next-year EPS estimates still point to losses, improving only from -2.48 TTM to -1.755, so shareholders should watch for margin discipline and a cleaner path to scale.
Insider activity skews to net selling, with several discretionary sales from the CEO, COO, CFO, and a director over recent months. The larger A-Award entries look like compensation-related grants, but the repeated S-Sale transactions from top executives are the clearer signal and keep sentiment cautious.
Profitability remains deeply negative, with a -370.1% gross margin and a -20.3% operating margin. Revenue is still growing 4.044% year over year, and the balance sheet is a strength with $233.4 million in cash versus $5.254 million in debt, but cash burn remains meaningful at -$42.9 million free cash flow.
Serve is a small-cap robotics logistics name with higher beta and a more speculative profile than mature industrial peers. The valuation still assumes future execution, but the current target of $7 sits only modestly above the market and leaves little room for disappointment.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $359.01M
- P/E
- -1.89
- PEG
- 0.03
- P/S
- 46.08
- P/B
- 1.06
- EV/EBITDA
- -1.76
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- -370.12%
- Op Margin
- -2476.95%
- Net Margin
- -2315.96%
- ROE
- -55.34%
- ROIC
- -52.09%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $2.65M+46.3%
- Gross Profit
- $-15,382,000-20366.8%
- Op Income
- $-112,769,000
- Net Income
- $-101,361,000-158.6%
- EPS
- $-1.63-52.3%
- OCF Growth
- -272.5%
- FCF Growth
- -269.8%
- 52W High
- $18.64
- 52W Low
- $4.32
- 50D MA
- $5.73
- 200D MA
- $9.08
- Beta
- 2.47
- RSI (14)
- 39
- Avg Volume
- 4.88M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Serve Robotics posted Q2 revenue growth, but a sharp slowdown in Uber-related volume forced a major 2026 outlook cut and a shift toward more diversified partnerships and direct merchant channels.· August 6, 2026
- Q2 revenue was $3.2 million, up 9% sequentially and over 400% year over year, but delivery volume through Uber declined for the first time after 17 straight quarters of growth.
- Management said it no longer expects to renew the Uber agreement when it expires in early 2027 unless the operating model improves meaningfully.
- Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was cut from $26 million to $9 million-$10 million, mainly because the expected second-half Uber ramp did not materialize.
- The company emphasized diversification: DoorDash delivery grew nearly 50% sequentially last quarter, advertising was nearly 50% of robotic food delivery revenue, and hospital robotics continues to generate contracted recurring revenue.
- Serve is leaning harder into cost discipline and new products, including Beacon and an upcoming direct-customer product, while keeping more than $240 million in liquidity at quarter-end.
Q2 revenue was $3.2 million, versus $3 million in Q1, up 9% sequentially and over 400% year over year. Gross loss was approximately $8.8 million and gross margin was negative 271%. GAAP net loss was $64 million, or negative $0.80 per share; non-GAAP net loss was $47.1 million, or negative $0.59 per share. GAAP operating expenses were $57.3 million, including $14.7 million of stock-based compensation and $2.2 million of amortization and acquisition-related expenses; non-GAAP operating expenses were approximately $40.4 million. Cash and marketable securities ended above $240 million, and capital expenditures were approximately $1 million in the quarter before about $3.6 million of tariff refunds. For 2026, revenue guidance was reduced to $9 million-$10 million from $26 million, non-GAAP operating expense outlook was cut to about $140 million-$150 million from $160 million-$170 million, and capital expenditures were reduced to about $15 million-$17 million from about $25 million.
Ali Kashani framed the quarter as a portfolio reset rather than a setback to the autonomy thesis. He said the issue in Q2 was lower robot utilization tied to differing views with Uber on operating model and fleet integration, and he made clear Serve does not currently expect to renew that agreement absent a meaningful change. His tone was candid but forward-looking, emphasizing a more focused strategy around higher-utilization partnerships, direct merchant access through Beacon, and new product and technology launches later this year.
Brian Read said Q2 revenue diversification helped offset the delivery decline, with software revenue once again near $1 million and recurring revenue above 50% of total revenue. He highlighted gross loss of approximately $8.8 million and negative 271% gross margin, but noted fleet gross margin improved sequentially even with the Uber headwind, which he attributed to real cost discipline and operational efficiency. He also detailed the revised spending plan: 2026 capex lowered to about $15 million-$17 million and non-GAAP operating expenses lowered to about $140 million-$150 million, with more discipline expected in the second half through headcount, deployment infrastructure, and discretionary spending cuts.
Analysts focused heavily on why utilization fell in Q2 and whether Uber had changed its resource allocation or rev share terms. Ali said the issue was primarily misalignment on decisions like order allocation and fleet organization in a mixed autonomous-human operating model, rather than a sudden drop in customer demand or delivery quality. Questions also centered on which growth channel matters most going forward; management said it wants a mix of partner channels and direct merchant access, and pointed to Beacon, DoorDash growth, and an upcoming new marketplace partner. Analysts also asked about software revenue and Diligent, and Brian said software will be softer in the back half, while Diligent remains supportive of the mix and margin story.
The company still has more than $240 million in liquidity, which gives it room to reallocate capital toward higher-return opportunities. Management pointed to diversified revenue streams, including DoorDash growth, advertising, and durable hospital robotics contracts, plus several new products and partnerships in the pipeline. They also said new autonomy work is improving robot safety, speed, reliability, and unit economics, which supports the long-term platform thesis.
The biggest risk flagged on the call was the loss of the expected Uber volume ramp, which forced a very large revenue guidance cut for 2026. Management also acknowledged that without a meaningful operating-model change, it does not expect to renew Uber after early 2027. Gross margin remains deeply negative, and Brian said software revenue will be softer in the second half as the company works through the Q2 decline and resets spending.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 91.6%
- Shares Outstanding
- 77.37M
- Float Shares
- 70.85M
of shares held by institutions
202 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for SERV, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Sell | May 7, 20 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 3.61M | ▲ 1.01M |
| California State Teachers Retirement System | 54.65K | ▼ 254 |
| Wolverine Trading, LLC | 51.47K | ▲ 17.25K |
| Janus Henderson Group PLC | 28.40K | 0 |
| Quest Partners LLC | 12.06K | ▲ 12.06K |
| Parkside Financial Bank & Trust | 1.66K | 0 |
| Tucker Asset Management LLC | 826 | ▲ 826 |
| Bank Of Jackson Hole Trust | 728 | ▲ 238 |
| Cwm, LLC | 673 | ▼ 2.77K |
| Cibc Private Wealth Group, LLC | 447 | ▲ 447 |
| Sunbelt Securities, Inc. | 285 | 0 |
| Crowley Wealth Management, Inc. | 120 | ▲ 120 |
Held by 181 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in SERV by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Read Brian | sell | 25,240 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Read Brian | sell | 6,129 |
| Aug 19, 26 | Read Brian | sell | 9,700 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Parang Touraj | sell | 18,183 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Parang Touraj | sell | 19,810 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Kashani Ali | sell | 45,158 |
| Jun 22, 26 | Lieber Andreas | other | 20,000 |
| Jun 22, 26 | Lieber Andreas | other | 0 |
| Jun 17, 26 | Vincent Olivier | other | 20,000 |
| Jun 17, 26 | Sarafan Lily | other | 20,000 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our SERV coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

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Can Serve Robotics Turn 2,000 Robots Into a Revenue Growth Engine?
zacks.com · Aug 20
Serve Robotics Sinks 7% as Guidance Cut Overshadows Grubhub Deal; Symbotic Drops 5%, DoorDash Ticks Up
247wallst.com · Aug 18
Serve Robotics Grew Its Second-Quarter Revenue by 400%, but This Shocking News Sent Its Stock Plunging
fool.com · Aug 18
Serve Robotics partners with Grubhub in robot delivery expansion push
reuters.com · Aug 17
Diligent Robotics, a Serve Robotics Company, Begins Rolling Out Moxi 2.0
globenewswire.com · Aug 17
Serve Launches Robot Delivery with Wonder, Adding Grubhub to Its Growing Delivery Network
globenewswire.com · Aug 17
Can Serve Robotics Scale Physical AI Beyond Food Delivery in 2026?
zacks.com · Aug 14
Uber surprised robotics company Serve by selling its entire stake
techcrunch.com · Aug 11
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 14, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice