Serve Robotics Inc.
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Range $7 – $7
Price Chart
About the company
Serve Robotics Inc. specializes in the development, deployment, and operation of autonomous, environmentally conscious robots. These advanced robotic systems are designed to provide efficient food delivery services to people in public spaces, exclusively within the United States.
- CEO
- Ali Kashani
- IPO
- 2024
- Employees
- 375
- HQ
- Redwood City, CA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock remains a high-volatility name with a 2.378 beta, and the long-term setup is still rebuilding after a wide 52-week range from 4.17 to 18.64. Trading above the 200-day average of 8.1065 would signal a more durable recovery regime; below it, the chart still reads as speculative and momentum-driven.
Street sentiment is cautious, with a 4.75 consensus and a 12.1429 average target that implies meaningful upside from current levels. Coverage is thin and steady, with no recent rating changes, so the setup favors watching for improving execution rather than expecting a fast consensus reset.
Earnings remain uneven, with a 2/7 beat rate and several recent misses offset by a few modest beats. Next-year EPS is still expected at -1.755, so shareholders should watch for margin discipline, delivery-scale progress, and whether revenue growth can outpace operating losses.
No notable insider buying or selling in recent quarters. With no reported transactions, there is no clear discretionary signal to read into, and the stock’s direction will be driven more by operating progress than insider behavior.
Profitability is still deeply negative, with a -20.2795% operating margin, -64.55% ROE, and -39.92% ROA. Revenue is growing 4.044% year over year, but free cash flow was -$42.906 million, so the key question is whether scale can improve economics before cash burn becomes a larger issue.
Serve is a niche automation play inside Industrials, with differentiation tied to autonomous delivery robots rather than traditional logistics assets. The valuation still looks growth-dependent rather than asset-backed, and the market is paying for optionality more than current earnings power.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $377.19M
- P/E
- -1.99
- PEG
- 0.04
- P/S
- 48.42
- P/B
- 1.11
- EV/EBITDA
- -1.87
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- -370.12%
- Op Margin
- -2476.95%
- Net Margin
- -2315.96%
- ROE
- -55.34%
- ROIC
- -52.09%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $2.65M+46.3%
- Gross Profit
- $-15,382,000-20366.8%
- Op Income
- $-112,769,000
- Net Income
- $-101,361,000-158.6%
- EPS
- $-1.63-52.3%
- OCF Growth
- -272.5%
- FCF Growth
- -269.8%
- 52W High
- $18.64
- 52W Low
- $4.17
- 50D MA
- $4.77
- 200D MA
- $8.08
- Beta
- 2.38
- RSI (14)
- 57
- Avg Volume
- 3.66M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Serve Robotics posted Q2 revenue growth, but a sharp slowdown in Uber-related volume forced a major 2026 outlook cut and a shift toward more diversified partnerships and direct merchant channels.· August 6, 2026
- Q2 revenue was $3.2 million, up 9% sequentially and over 400% year over year, but delivery volume through Uber declined for the first time after 17 straight quarters of growth.
- Management said it no longer expects to renew the Uber agreement when it expires in early 2027 unless the operating model improves meaningfully.
- Full-year 2026 revenue guidance was cut from $26 million to $9 million-$10 million, mainly because the expected second-half Uber ramp did not materialize.
- The company emphasized diversification: DoorDash delivery grew nearly 50% sequentially last quarter, advertising was nearly 50% of robotic food delivery revenue, and hospital robotics continues to generate contracted recurring revenue.
- Serve is leaning harder into cost discipline and new products, including Beacon and an upcoming direct-customer product, while keeping more than $240 million in liquidity at quarter-end.
Q2 revenue was $3.2 million, versus $3 million in Q1, up 9% sequentially and over 400% year over year. Gross loss was approximately $8.8 million and gross margin was negative 271%. GAAP net loss was $64 million, or negative $0.80 per share; non-GAAP net loss was $47.1 million, or negative $0.59 per share. GAAP operating expenses were $57.3 million, including $14.7 million of stock-based compensation and $2.2 million of amortization and acquisition-related expenses; non-GAAP operating expenses were approximately $40.4 million. Cash and marketable securities ended above $240 million, and capital expenditures were approximately $1 million in the quarter before about $3.6 million of tariff refunds. For 2026, revenue guidance was reduced to $9 million-$10 million from $26 million, non-GAAP operating expense outlook was cut to about $140 million-$150 million from $160 million-$170 million, and capital expenditures were reduced to about $15 million-$17 million from about $25 million.
Ali Kashani framed the quarter as a portfolio reset rather than a setback to the autonomy thesis. He said the issue in Q2 was lower robot utilization tied to differing views with Uber on operating model and fleet integration, and he made clear Serve does not currently expect to renew that agreement absent a meaningful change. His tone was candid but forward-looking, emphasizing a more focused strategy around higher-utilization partnerships, direct merchant access through Beacon, and new product and technology launches later this year.
Brian Read said Q2 revenue diversification helped offset the delivery decline, with software revenue once again near $1 million and recurring revenue above 50% of total revenue. He highlighted gross loss of approximately $8.8 million and negative 271% gross margin, but noted fleet gross margin improved sequentially even with the Uber headwind, which he attributed to real cost discipline and operational efficiency. He also detailed the revised spending plan: 2026 capex lowered to about $15 million-$17 million and non-GAAP operating expenses lowered to about $140 million-$150 million, with more discipline expected in the second half through headcount, deployment infrastructure, and discretionary spending cuts.
Analysts focused heavily on why utilization fell in Q2 and whether Uber had changed its resource allocation or rev share terms. Ali said the issue was primarily misalignment on decisions like order allocation and fleet organization in a mixed autonomous-human operating model, rather than a sudden drop in customer demand or delivery quality. Questions also centered on which growth channel matters most going forward; management said it wants a mix of partner channels and direct merchant access, and pointed to Beacon, DoorDash growth, and an upcoming new marketplace partner. Analysts also asked about software revenue and Diligent, and Brian said software will be softer in the back half, while Diligent remains supportive of the mix and margin story.
The company still has more than $240 million in liquidity, which gives it room to reallocate capital toward higher-return opportunities. Management pointed to diversified revenue streams, including DoorDash growth, advertising, and durable hospital robotics contracts, plus several new products and partnerships in the pipeline. They also said new autonomy work is improving robot safety, speed, reliability, and unit economics, which supports the long-term platform thesis.
The biggest risk flagged on the call was the loss of the expected Uber volume ramp, which forced a very large revenue guidance cut for 2026. Management also acknowledged that without a meaningful operating-model change, it does not expect to renew Uber after early 2027. Gross margin remains deeply negative, and Brian said software revenue will be softer in the second half as the company works through the Q2 decline and resets spending.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 91.6%
- Shares Outstanding
- 77.37M
- Float Shares
- 70.85M
of shares held by institutions
215 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for SERV, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Sell | May 7, 20 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA39 | Buy | Nov 6, 19 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Buy | Oct 31, 19 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Buy | Oct 25, 19 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Buy | Jul 12, 19 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Buy | Jun 25, 19 | Filing → |
| Susie LeeHouse · NV03 | Buy | Feb 27, 19 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 6.04M | ▲ 1.19M |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 3.61M | ▲ 1.01M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 2.93M | ▲ 160.14K |
| State Street Corp | 2.46M | ▲ 1.17M |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 1.76M | ▲ 208.43K |
| Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 1.54M | ▲ 706.15K |
| Exchange Traded Concepts, LLC | 1.52M | ▼ 74.64K |
| Legal & General Group PLC | 1.37M | ▲ 263.60K |
| First Trust Advisors LP | 1.17M | ▲ 208.86K |
| Morgan Stanley | 857.32K | ▲ 170.37K |
| Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 815.93K | ▲ 14.88K |
| Captrust Financial Advisors | 788.47K | ▲ 27.33K |
Held by 149 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in SERV by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Read Brian | sell | 25,240 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Read Brian | sell | 6,129 |
| Aug 19, 26 | Read Brian | sell | 9,700 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Parang Touraj | sell | 18,183 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Parang Touraj | sell | 19,810 |
| Aug 18, 26 | Kashani Ali | sell | 45,158 |
| Jun 22, 26 | Lieber Andreas | other | 20,000 |
| Jun 22, 26 | Lieber Andreas | other | 0 |
| Jun 17, 26 | Vincent Olivier | other | 20,000 |
| Jun 17, 26 | Sarafan Lily | other | 20,000 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our SERV coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

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Serve Robotics to Present at Evercore ISI's 5th Annual Automation Tech & Physical AI Conference
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SERV Cuts 2026 Revenue Outlook: Can Cost Discipline Limit the Impact?
zacks.com · Sep 30
Serve Robotics vs. Symbotic: Which Robotics Stock Has the Edge Now?
zacks.com · Sep 28
Serve Robotics Targets a $450B Market: How Big Is Its Growth Runway?
zacks.com · Sep 25
SERV, Swiss Export Risk Insurance, Supports Guarantee of USD 212.5 Million for Capex of First Phosphate Mine Project in Quebec, Canada
newsfilecorp.com · Sep 16
Can Serve Robotics' Beacon Overcome Restaurant Integration Barriers?
zacks.com · Sep 14
Can SERV's Revenue Diversification Offset Weaker Uber Deliveries?
zacks.com · Sep 11
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 5, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice