Shopify Inc.
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Range $130 – $200
Price Chart
About the company
Shopify Inc. functions as a premier commerce technology company, providing an extensive platform and associated services to empower businesses worldwide. Its reach extends across Canada, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific region, and Latin America.
- CEO
- Tobias Lutke
- IPO
- 2015
- Employees
- 7,600
- HQ
- Ottawa, ON, CA
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock remains in a strong multi-month uptrend, trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It sits well below the 52-week high of $182.19 but far above the 52-week low of $94, keeping the longer-term regime constructive.
Street sentiment is firmly positive, with a Buy consensus and an average target of $172.77 versus a $168.37 median. Recent action has leaned bullish: Bernstein initiated Outperform, while several firms lifted targets into the $175-$200 range.
The earnings profile is mixed but improving, with 4 beats in the last 7 quarters and the last two reported quarters both topping estimates. Next-year EPS is modeled at $2.45 versus $1.53 TTM, so shareholders should watch whether revenue growth and margin discipline keep supporting that step-up.
No notable discretionary insider buying or selling stands out. The recent activity is dominated by 10 percent owner transactions and older award, conversion, and sale entries, which read more like ownership mechanics than a fresh conviction signal.
Profitability is solid, with a 47.8% gross margin, 17.6% operating margin, and 14.5% net margin. Growth remains strong too, with revenue up 33.7% year over year and earnings up 68.1%, while cash generation stayed robust at $2.06 billion of free cash flow.
Shopify still earns a premium setup versus software peers because of its growth and margin profile, but the valuation is rich at 94.29 times earnings. The market is paying for scale, cash generation, and a durable commerce platform rather than cheap multiples.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $213.53B
- P/E
- 110.43
- Fwd P/E
- 87.62
- PEG
- -6.25
- P/S
- 16.09
- P/B
- 16.80
- EV/EBITDA
- -408.56
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 47.77%
- Op Margin
- 13.90%
- Net Margin
- 14.53%
- ROE
- 15.06%
- ROIC
- 11.66%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $11.56B+30.1%
- Gross Profit
- $5.55B+24.2%
- Op Income
- $1.47B
- Net Income
- $1.23B-39.0%
- EPS
- $0.95-39.1%
- OCF Growth
- +25.8%
- FCF Growth
- +25.7%
- 52W High
- $182.19
- 52W Low
- $94.00
- 50D MA
- $141.67
- 200D MA
- $129.53
- Beta
- 2.62
- RSI (14)
- 71
- Avg Volume
- 9.44M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Shopify posted another very strong quarter with GMV, revenue, gross profit, operating income, and free cash flow all growing more than 30% year over year, while management highlighted early but accelerating AI-driven commerce traction.· August 5, 2026
- GMV rose 32% to $116 billion, marking the fifth straight quarter above 30% GMV growth.
- Revenue increased 34% to $3.6 billion, with free cash flow margin at 18%.
- AI/agentic commerce is still small, but traffic and orders tripled year over year and Catalog conversion was described as 2x scraped-data search.
- Shopify called out broad-based strength across merchant sizes, geographies, offline, and B2B, including 37% international GMV growth and 76% B2B GMV growth.
- Management gave Q3 guidance for low-30s revenue growth, mid- to high-20s gross profit growth, OpEx at 33% to 34% of revenue, and free cash flow margin in the high teens to low 20s.
Q2 GMV was $116 billion, up 32% year over year, and revenue was $3.6 billion, up 34% year over year. Free cash flow margin was 18%, and management said the company achieved greater than 30% growth in GMV, revenue, gross profit, operating income, and free cash flow. On a constant-currency basis, GMV grew over 30% and revenue grew 33%; North America GMV grew 28%, Europe grew 34%, offline GMV was up 32%, and B2B GMV grew 76%. Shop Pay GMV grew 53% year over year and Shop app native GMV grew over 70%. For Q3, management expects revenue growth in the low 30s year over year, gross profit dollars to grow in the mid- to high 20s, OpEx at 33% to 34% of revenue, and free cash flow margin in the high teens to low 20s.
Harley Finkelstein framed the quarter as proof that Shopify’s model is working at scale and that the company is well positioned for an “agentic” commerce era. He emphasized that Shopify’s platform, ecosystem, Catalog, Sidekick, Shop Pay, and checkout are becoming more valuable as commerce fragments across more surfaces and AI-driven discovery grows. His tone was highly confident and expansive, repeatedly stressing that the company is still early in its opportunity and that merchants are already benefiting from AI, especially smaller, specialized brands.
Jeff Hoffmeister said the quarter was driven by broad-based GMV strength that flowed through the income statement, resulting in more than 30% growth across GMV, revenue, gross profit, operating income, and free cash flow. He noted Merchant Solutions gross profit grew 39% with gross margin up slightly, Subscription Solutions gross profit grew 19% with gross margins just under 80%, OpEx was 34% of revenue, and transaction loans and losses were 3.9% of revenue. He also said free cash flow margin was just over 18%, about 1.5 points of year-over-year expansion excluding the MCA accounting change, and guided Q3 revenue growth to the low 30s with OpEx at 33% to 34% of revenue.
Analysts focused on monetizing AI/agentic commerce, enterprise onboarding speed, the serviceable TAM, Catalog’s role in demand generation, Sidekick’s impact and possible direct monetization, and headless/composable use cases. Management said agentic transactions carry the same economics as online store transactions, with no new fees or separate pricing, and that Shopify wants to keep opening more places for merchants to sell. Harley also said enterprise migrations are happening faster, that some merchants use Shopify as a “final migration,” and that there is no clear GMV upper bound; he added that international remains underpenetrated. On Sidekick, management stressed it is primarily an indirect monetization and retention tool today, with usage and utility rising as merchants move from setup toward analytics and decision-making.
The bull case from this call is that Shopify is still delivering very high growth at scale while widening its moat in AI-enabled commerce, payments, and unified commerce. Management pointed to tripling AI traffic and orders, 2x Catalog conversion versus scraped data, strong Shop Pay and Shop app growth, and continued enterprise wins and cross-sell expansion across online, POS, B2B, and payments.
The main risks discussed were that agentic commerce is still early and small relative to total GMV, so the near-term financial impact is limited. Management also flagged continued OpEx discipline needs, payments mix shifting pressure on gross margin, and the fact that some merchant models still may not fit a full Shopify migration. International is growing quickly, but management repeatedly said Shopify remains underpenetrated outside its core geographies.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 93.7%
- Shares Outstanding
- 1.30B
- Float Shares
- 1.22B
of shares held by institutions
1,839 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 1.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for SHOP, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan JacksonHouse · IL01 | Sell | Feb 3, 26 | Filing → |
| Jonathan JacksonHouse · IL01 | Sell | Jan 30, 26 | Filing → |
| Jonathan JacksonHouse · IL01 | Buy | Dec 8, 25 | Filing → |
| Jonathan JacksonHouse · IL01 | Buy | Oct 6, 25 | Filing → |
| Jonathan JacksonHouse · IL01 | Buy | Oct 8, 25 | Filing → |
| Markwayne MullinSenate · OK | Buy | Jan 3, 23 | Filing → |
| Lisa C. McClainHouse · MI09 | Buy | Dec 11, 24 | Filing → |
| Lisa C. McClainHouse · MI09 | Sell | Jun 9, 25 | Filing → |
| Markwayne MullinSenate · OK | Sell | Jan 4, 24 | Filing → |
| Markwayne MullinSenate · OK | Sell | Dec 22, 23 | Filing → |
| Robert P. BresnahanHouse · PA08 | Sell | Apr 3, 25 | Filing → |
| Josh S. GottheimerHouse · NJ05 | Sell | Mar 19, 25 | Filing → |
| Josh S. GottheimerHouse · NJ05 | Buy | Feb 12, 25 | Filing → |
| Josh S. GottheimerHouse · NJ05 | Buy | Feb 3, 25 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Capital International Investors | 54.89M | ▲ 4.83M |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 50.67M | ▲ 743.80K |
| Fmr LLC | 47.18M | ▲ 1.34M |
| Invesco Ltd. | 36.57M | ▲ 10.84M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 34.13M | ▲ 397.95K |
| Capital World Investors | 34.09M | ▲ 390.70K |
| Baillie Gifford & Co | 28.40M | ▼ 618.24K |
| Morgan Stanley | 25.52M | ▲ 812.37K |
| Price T Rowe Associates Inc | 24.75M | ▼ 265.09K |
| Royal Bank Of Canada | 23.53M | ▲ 1.88M |
| Fil Ltd | 19.28M | ▲ 1.05M |
| Norges Bank | 16.41M | ▲ 16.41M |
Held by 279 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in SHOP by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 23 | Shopify Strategic Holdings 3 LLC | other | 344,382 |
| Oct 31, 23 | Shopify Strategic Holdings 3 LLC | other | 344,382 |
| Sep 28, 23 | Shopify Strategic Holdings 3 LLC | other | 3,935,793 |
| Sep 28, 23 | Shopify Strategic Holdings 3 LLC | other | 3,935,793 |
| Jul 28, 22 | Shopify Strategic Holdings 3 LLC | other | 15,743,174 |
| Sep 20, 23 | Shopify Strategic Holdings 3 LLC | other | 9,445,906 |
| Sep 20, 23 | Shopify Strategic Holdings 3 LLC | other | 9,249,114 |
| Aug 12, 05 | SANTORA GREG J | other | 166,666 |
| Aug 12, 05 | SANTORA GREG J | other | 166,666 |
| Aug 12, 05 | SANTORA GREG J | sell | 166,666 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our SHOP coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Shopify (SHOP): AI Commerce Infrastructure Momentum
Shopify posted 34% revenue growth, 32% GMV growth, and 55% free cash flow growth in Q2 2026, but its premium valuation keeps the stock at Hold. The report argues Shopify is evolving into the infrastructure layer for online, physical, social, and AI-assisted commerce.

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) drops 5.6% as Meta rally fades
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) drops after reversing part of yesterday’s AI-commerce surge tied to Meta’s Muse agent and Shop Pay. The move looks like profit-taking after a sharp narrative-driven rally, with no new earnings miss behind the decline. High valuation and volatility keep the stock sensitive to sentiment.

Shopify Inc. (SHOP) rises on Meta Muse checkout news
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) rises after reports that Meta’s Muse AI shopping agent can browse Shopify stores and complete checkout through Shop Pay. Heavy Monday volume fueled the breakout, while investors weigh the upside from AI commerce against Shopify’s rich valuation and high volatility.
Want a deeper read on SHOP?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
Shopify Inc. (SHOP) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
zacks.com · Oct 6
Shopify to Announce Third-Quarter 2026 Financial Results
globenewswire.com · Oct 6
Why Shopify Stock Rallied Today
fool.com · Oct 5
Shopify Stock Rises Amid Piper Sandler's Bullish Take on Agentic Shopping
benzinga.com · Oct 5
Shopify Is All In on AI (and Likes the Results)
wsj.com · Oct 5
Meta's Muse AI: Good or Bad for E-Commerce? Shopify and Amazon Are Taking Opposite Approaches.
fool.com · Oct 3
The next big AI battle is all about cuteness
marketwatch.com · Oct 3
I've Covered Shopify for 5 Years. Here's Whether the Stock Is Overvalued Right Now.
fool.com · Oct 2
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed September 30, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice