United Parcel Service, Inc.
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Range $76 – $132
Price Chart
About the company
United Parcel Service, Inc. , a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.
- CEO
- Carol Tomé
- IPO
- 1999
- Employees
- 460,000
- HQ
- Atlanta, GA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
UPS sits in a broad recovery phase, still below its 200-day moving average of 104.9955 but well off the 52-week low of 76.9458. The setup is constructive only if it can keep rebuilding momentum toward the upper end of its yearly range near 116.8618.
Street sentiment is cautious-to-neutral: the consensus score is 3.8276, with 12 Holds and 2 Sells and no Buy count shown. The average target of 115.2308 sits above the 200-day average, implying upside if execution stabilizes, but the stance remains restrained.
UPS has a solid recent beat pattern, going 6-for-7 with several clean EPS surprises, including 33.8% and 8.2% beats in recent quarters. The next watchpoint is whether the company can convert that pattern into a higher forward run-rate, with next-year EPS modeled at 8.0642 versus TTM EPS of 5.38.
No notable insider buying or selling in recent quarters. With no reported transactions, there is no clear discretionary signal to read into from management activity.
Profitability is healthy, with ROE at 29.6% and operating margin at 9.05%, while gross margin stands at 22.4%. Growth is mixed: revenue rose 7.6% year over year, but earnings growth was down 53%, so shareholders should watch whether margin discipline can offset softer profit conversion.
UPS remains a scale leader in integrated freight and logistics, with a broad domestic and international network that few peers can match. The valuation screen looks rich versus the sector on a 3.8276 consensus score and 115.2308 target, but the market is still demanding proof of earnings durability.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $79.12B
- P/E
- 17.28
- Fwd P/E
- 12.96
- PEG
- -0.87
- P/S
- 0.88
- P/B
- 5.25
- EV/EBITDA
- 9.73
- Div Yield
- 7.04%
- Gross Margin
- 16.63%
- Op Margin
- 7.31%
- Net Margin
- 5.08%
- ROE
- 29.07%
- ROIC
- 8.87%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $88.66B-2.5%
- Gross Profit
- $16.03B-6.0%
- Op Income
- $7.87B
- Net Income
- $5.57B-3.6%
- EPS
- $6.56-3.0%
- OCF Growth
- -16.5%
- FCF Growth
- -23.3%
- 52W High
- $122.41
- 52W Low
- $82.00
- 50D MA
- $101.94
- 200D MA
- $105.00
- Beta
- 1.04
- RSI (14)
- 35
- Avg Volume
- 4.88M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
UPS reported a strong second quarter, raised full-year 2026 guidance, and said the Amazon glide-down and network reconfiguration are now completed and creating better economics for future growth.· July 28, 2026
- Consolidated revenue rose to $22.8 billion, operating profit to $2.1 billion, and operating margin to 9.2%, with adjusted diluted EPS of $1.76.
- UPS raised full-year 2026 guidance to about $91.2 billion in revenue, about $8.65 billion in operating profit, and about $7.22 in diluted EPS.
- The company said the Amazon glide-down is complete and that it removed about 2 million lower-quality Amazon packages per day while cutting about $4.5 billion of related expense.
- U.S. Domestic saw 21% operating profit growth and 8% margin, while SMB volume grew 4.3% and made up 34.5% of total U.S. volume.
- Management pointed to stronger premium mix, health care growth above $3 billion in quarterly revenue, and DAP revenue of $1.4 billion as evidence the strategy is working.
UPS reported consolidated revenue of $22.8 billion, up 7.6% year over year, operating profit of $2.1 billion, up 12%, and consolidated operating margin of 9.2%, up 40 basis points year over year and 300 basis points sequentially from Q1. Adjusted diluted EPS was $1.76; GAAP results included $891 million of after-tax transformation charges, or $1.05 per diluted share, mainly from employee separation costs tied to the Driver Choice program. By segment, U.S. Domestic revenue was $14.9 billion, up 6%, with operating profit up 21% to $1.2 billion and margin at 8%; International revenue was $5.0 billion, up 12.5%, with operating profit of $623 million; Supply Chain Solutions revenue was $2.9 billion, up $207 million, with operating profit of $291 million. For full-year 2026, UPS raised guidance to approximately $91.2 billion in revenue, approximately $8.65 billion in operating profit, and approximately $7.22 in diluted EPS. It also reiterated full-year capital expenditures of about $3 billion, pension contributions of $1.3 billion, free cash flow of about $5.5 billion, and dividends of about $5.4 billion.
Carol Tomé said the quarter validated the company’s multi-year reset of its U.S. business, emphasizing that UPS executed the Amazon glide-down “exactly as designed” while maintaining service. Her tone was confident and strategic, focusing on a leaner, more automated, more agile network that should create operating leverage as volume grows. She highlighted premium growth areas like SMB, health care, B2B, RFID-enabled visibility, and AI-powered network optimization as the next phase of the plan.
Brian Dykes emphasized that the quarter reflected both strong execution and some fuel volatility from the Middle East conflict, which lifted revenue and expense but had only a modest net effect on operating profit. He pointed to U.S. Domestic operating leverage, with revenue per piece up 9.3% and cost per piece growing more slowly, and said the network reset removed nearly 30,000 operational positions, closed 45 buildings in the first half, and remains on track to deliver about $3 billion in related benefits in 2026. He also cited year-to-date cash from operations of $3.1 billion, free cash flow of $1.6 billion, cash on hand of $4.7 billion, no commercial paper outstanding, and $2.7 billion in dividends paid year to date.
Analysts pressed on whether domestic margin improvement can continue, and management said automation coverage has risen to 68.5% of U.S. volume from 64% a year ago, with automated-building cost per piece about 28% lower than non-automated buildings. They also said the U.S. business should sustain a 50 to 100 basis point spread between revenue per piece and cost per piece, supporting margin accretion. Questions about competition from Amazon and FedEx drew a consistent answer: UPS said it is focusing on differentiated offerings like health care, RFID, DAP, and returns, and Carol Tomé said she was not aware of any volume lost to Amazon. On international, management said Asia-to-Asia and China-to-U.S. lanes are improving, while tariffs and Middle East disruption have pressured some lanes, especially Canada-to-U.S. and Europe exports.
The bull case from this call is that UPS appears to have completed a major structural reset and is now benefiting from a more profitable mix and lower network cost. Management said ex-Amazon volume was already growing, SMB and health care are expanding, and International is seeing better lane trends, especially in Asia. They also raised full-year guidance after a strong first half, signaling confidence that margin expansion can continue.
The main risks discussed were softer total U.S. and international volume, ongoing tariff and trade-lane disruption, and fuel volatility tied to geopolitical conflict. Management also acknowledged that U.S. Domestic revenue growth and margin progression in Q3 should be seasonally normal rather than sharply accelerating, and International margins remain pressured by fuel and rerouting costs. Analysts also raised competitive concerns from Amazon and FedEx, and the company acknowledged that competition is active even if it says its differentiated services are holding up well.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 87.9%
- Shares Outstanding
- 849.50M
- Float Shares
- 746.43M
of shares held by institutions
2,214 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for UPS, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Aug 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Thomas Hawley TubervilleSenate · AL | Sell | Aug 26, 24 | Filing → |
| Alan ArmstrongSenate | Buy | Mar 27, 26 | Filing → |
| Daniel Milton NewhouseHouse · WA04 | Sell | Jul 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 1, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Sell | Mar 13, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Jan 9, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jan 29, 26 | Filing → |
| Katie Boyd BrittSenate · AL | Buy | Nov 7, 25 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Nov 18, 25 | Filing → |
| Scott DesJarlaisHouse | Sell | Oct 28, 25 | Filing → |
| Lisa C. McClainHouse · MI09 | Sell | Sep 11, 25 | Filing → |
| Marjorie Taylor GreeneHouse · GA14 | Buy | Oct 9, 25 | Filing → |
| Val HoyleHouse · OR04 | Sell | Sep 23, 25 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 68.50M | ▲ 1.22M |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 54.93M | ▲ 3.81M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 48.74M | ▲ 586.48K |
| State Street Corp | 33.86M | ▲ 1.27M |
| Fmr LLC | 32.85M | ▲ 273.72K |
| Sixth Street Partners Management Company, L.P. | 24.70M | ▲ 24.70M |
| Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 24.70M | ▲ 2.59M |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 17.86M | ▲ 349.39K |
| Victory Capital Management Inc | 14.25M | ▲ 3.21M |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 13.89M | ▲ 417.26K |
| Bank Of America Corp | 10.80M | ▲ 1.07M |
| Morgan Stanley | 8.90M | ▼ 1.27M |
Held by 1,784 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in UPS by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 5,413 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Subramanian Bala | other | 29,223 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Cesarone Nando | other | 58,446 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 0 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 0 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 4,144 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 17,293 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 2,044 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 1,599 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Ramos Wilfredo | other | 1,975.368 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our UPS coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

United Parcel Service (UPS): Amazon Drag Fades, Margin Recovery Begins
UPS is a Buy as the Amazon volume reset, $3.0B cost-out plan, and improving mix set up a cleaner margin recovery. The stock still faces leverage and labor-cost risks, but the back half of 2026 looks like the key inflection point.

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) drops on deep earnings
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) beat estimates on EPS and revenue, lifted guidance, and expanded margins, yet shares dropped as investors focused on volume mix, Amazon-related changes, and the path to sustained operating leverage. This deep dive breaks down what the quarter really means.

United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) slips despite earnings beats
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) slips 4.7% even after posting earnings beats, as investors weigh the outlook and broader demand trends.
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Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed October 5, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice