AeroVironment, Inc.
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Range $170 – $285
Price Chart
About the company
AeroVironment Inc. develops, produces, delivers, and services a diverse array of robotic systems for governmental and commercial entities across the globe. The company's operations are segmented into Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS), Tactical Missile Systems (TMS), Medium Unmanned Aircraft Systems (MUAS), and High Altitude Pseudo-Satellite Systems (HAPS).
- CEO
- Wahid Nawabi
- IPO
- 2007
- Employees
- 4,041
- HQ
- Arlington, VA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a deep reset after a powerful multi-month drawdown, trading well below its 200-day average and far under the 52-week high. It is still holding above the 52-week low, so the setup is damaged but not broken.
Street sentiment stays constructive, with a Buy consensus and an average target around $220, above the current share price. Recent calls are mixed but still broadly supportive: Goldman raised and then trimmed its target, while UBS and Citigroup held steady and RBC cut its view earlier in the summer.
The earnings profile has improved recently, with two straight EPS beats after a stretch of misses. Next-year EPS estimates sit at 1.6607, so shareholders should watch whether margin recovery and execution can turn the recent beat streak into a more durable trend.
Recent activity leans to net selling among discretionary trades, led by multiple sales from the CAO and a director, while the CEO and several executives showed in-kind award-related activity. The pattern looks more like routine equity management than a broad insider buy signal.
Profitability remains under pressure, with a -2.27% operating margin and -10.13% net margin, though revenue still grew 5.7% year over year. Balance sheet leverage is manageable but not clean: cash of $632.3 million sits below total debt of $834.8 million, leaving net debt of $202.5 million.
AVAV remains a differentiated defense technology name with exposure to autonomous systems, loitering munitions, space, cyber, and directed energy. The valuation still screens rich versus the sector at 43.31x earnings, so the market is paying for execution rather than current profitability.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $7.05B
- P/E
- -23.93
- Fwd P/E
- 42.47
- PEG
- 0.21
- P/S
- 3.52
- P/B
- 1.58
- EV/EBITDA
- -120.44
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 26.47%
- Op Margin
- -0.59%
- Net Margin
- -14.49%
- ROE
- -6.64%
- ROIC
- -0.22%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $1.98B+140.9%
- Gross Profit
- $500.64M+55.0%
- Op Income
- $-70,287,000
- Net Income
- $-265,122,000-707.8%
- EPS
- $-5.40-446.2%
- OCF Growth
- -5848.7%
- FCF Growth
- -582.1%
- 52W High
- $417.86
- 52W Low
- $135.20
- 50D MA
- $158.10
- 200D MA
- $201.24
- Beta
- 1.41
- RSI (14)
- 37
- Avg Volume
- 1.66M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
AeroVironment started fiscal 2027 with record first-quarter revenue, backlog and bookings, then reaffirmed full-year guidance on the back of major counter-UAS, loitering munition and UAS wins.· September 9, 2026
- First-quarter revenue reached a record $480 million, with bookings of $683 million and funded backlog of $1.5 billion.
- Adjusted EBITDA was nearly $46 million, while adjusted EPS was $0.59, up from $0.32 a year ago.
- Funded backlog was up 23% sequentially and 37% year over year; total funded and unfunded backlog was just over $2.8 billion.
- Management reaffirmed fiscal 2027 guidance for revenue of $2.125 billion-$2.225 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $305 million-$325 million.
- The company highlighted major wins in LOCUST, Titan, Switchblade, P550 and other programs, while continuing heavy capacity expansion spending.
AV reported first-quarter revenue of $480 million, record funded backlog of $1.5 billion, bookings of $683 million, adjusted EBITDA of nearly $46 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.59 versus $0.32 in the prior-year quarter. Funded backlog was 23% higher than the prior quarter and 37% higher than the same period last year; total funded and unfunded backlog was just over $2.8 billion. Gross margin was 30% adjusted, versus 29% a year ago. Segment revenue included $346 million from Autonomous Systems and $134.5 million from Space, Cyber and Directed Energy. For fiscal 2027, the company reiterated revenue guidance of $2.125 billion to $2.225 billion, adjusted EBITDA guidance of $305 million to $325 million, and non-GAAP EPS guidance of $3.02 to $3.34. Management also said it still expects fiscal 2027 free cash flow to be negative because of higher capital expenditures, with CapEx expected at 12% to 14% of revenue and R&D at 7% to 9% of revenue.
Wahid Nawabi framed the quarter as evidence that AV is hitting an inflection point across multiple franchise programs, especially counter-UAS, loitering munitions and uncrewed systems. He emphasized landmark awards like E-HEL, Titan, LOCUST, Switchblade 400/600 and P550, and said the company is scaling capacity aggressively to support multiyear growth. His tone was highly upbeat, but he also noted uncertainty around the timing of final U.S. budget approval and said the company is watching that closely.
Sean Woodward said the quarter exceeded targets on revenue, adjusted EBITDA and non-GAAP EPS, while also generating $13 million of positive operating cash flow. He pointed to adjusted gross margin of 30% versus 29% last year, adjusted product gross margin of 40% versus 36%, and adjusted service gross margin of 8% versus 13%, with service margin pressured by lower volume and about $5 million of revenue impact from discontinued programs and award delays. He also noted adjusted SG&A was $85 million, or 18% of revenue, and said fiscal 2027 free cash flow is still expected to be negative due to elevated capital spending. Cash investments ended at $675 million, debt was $747.5 million of zero-coupon convertible notes, and net leverage was 1.6x adjusted EBITDA.
Analysts focused on LOCUST profitability, production capacity, international demand, the remaining value in Switchblade-related IDIQs, cyber mission weakness, and whether the company should have raised guidance. Management said LOCUST margins should improve significantly in the second half and beyond as volumes rise and firm-fixed-price contracts take over, and that the business could eventually resemble the margin profile of the core segment over the next couple of years. On backlog/contract runway, Sean said there is still a couple hundred million left on the current $990 million IDIQ ceiling, while Wahid said the company has approvals for close to 20 countries for FMS/DCS sales and sees a large international opportunity for laser weapons and Switchblade. On guidance, Wahid said the main uncertainty is the timing of the fiscal 2027 budget process, but he does not expect it to change the current outlook.
The call showed broad demand momentum, with record backlog, strong bookings and multiple large awards across the portfolio. Management repeatedly described LOCUST, Titan, P550 and Switchblade as franchise programs with multi-year growth potential, and said capacity expansion is already underway to support expected demand. The company also said recent counter-UAS wins are already included in fiscal 2027 guidance, suggesting visibility is strong even before additional awards land.
Space, Cyber and Directed Energy revenue fell 21% year over year, and adjusted service gross margin dropped to 8% from 13% because of discontinued programs, award delays and lower volume. Management also said free cash flow should remain negative in fiscal 2027 because of heavy CapEx, and adjusted SG&A rose to 18% of revenue due to growth investments, legal expense and a $4.2 million bad debt reserve. The main external risk they cited was timing of U.S. budget approval, which could create uncertainty if delayed.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 74.9%
- Shares Outstanding
- 50.61M
- Float Shares
- 37.89M
of shares held by institutions
656 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 1.85. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for AVAV, newest first.
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 3.54M | ▲ 7.19K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 3.48M | ▼ 1.48M |
| State Street Corp | 2.19M | ▼ 96.68K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 1.65M | ▲ 29.70K |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 1.55M | ▼ 145.17K |
| Baillie Gifford & Co | 967.45K | ▼ 59.29K |
| Heard Capital LLC | 903.98K | ▲ 182.62K |
| Mirae Asset Global Etfs Holdings Ltd. | 854.02K | ▼ 83.44K |
| Invesco Ltd. | 698.47K | ▲ 100.18K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 671.97K | ▼ 241.92K |
| Van Eck Associates Corp | 612.91K | ▼ 75.06K |
| Ark Investment Management LLC | 607.50K | ▲ 48.25K |
Held by 438 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in AVAV by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Shackley Brian Charles | sell | 100 |
| Sep 15, 26 | PAGE STEPHEN F | sell | 250 |
| Sep 14, 26 | Ruppert Michael | other | 957 |
| Aug 17, 26 | PAGE STEPHEN F | sell | 250 |
| Aug 5, 26 | Ruppert Michael | other | 0 |
| Aug 14, 26 | Shackley Brian Charles | sell | 205 |
| Jul 15, 26 | Shackley Brian Charles | sell | 300 |
| Jun 26, 24 | Shackley Brian Charles | other | 0 |
| Jul 15, 26 | PAGE STEPHEN F | sell | 248 |
| Jul 10, 26 | Nawabi Wahid | other | 5,246 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our AVAV coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

AeroVironment (AVAV): Growth Momentum vs. Execution Risk
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AI analysis · Last refreshed October 2, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice