Nextdecade Corp
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Range $7 – $8.5
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About the company
NextDecade Corporation, an energy company, engages in the construction and development activities related to the liquefaction of natural gas in the United States. The company constructs and develops natural gas liquefaction and export facilities located in the Rio Grande Valley near Brownsville, Texas; and a carbon capture and storage project at the Rio Grande LNG Facility. It is also involved in the sale of LNG.
- CEO
- Matthew K. Schatzman
- IPO
- 2015
- Employees
- 360
- HQ
- Houston, TX, US
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Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $1.88B
- P/E
- -5.18
- Fwd P/E
- 19.57
- PEG
- 0.08
- P/S
- 0.00
- P/B
- -32.60
- EV/EBITDA
- -35.22
- Div Yield
- 0.00%
- Gross Margin
- 0.00%
- Op Margin
- 0.00%
- Net Margin
- 0.00%
- ROE
- -886.32%
- ROIC
- -1.68%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $0+0.0%
- Gross Profit
- $-12,122,000+4.6%
- Op Income
- $-225,931,000
- Net Income
- $-306,434,000-396.2%
- EPS
- $-1.17-387.5%
- OCF Growth
- -77.2%
- FCF Growth
- -88.3%
- 52W High
- $11.27
- 52W Low
- $4.75
- 50D MA
- $7.35
- 200D MA
- $6.66
- Beta
- 1.56
- RSI (14)
- 50
- Avg Volume
- 2.76M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
NextDecade said Rio Grande Phase 1 remains ahead of schedule, Train 6 commercialization is progressing, and recent financings materially improved its debt structure.· July 30, 2026
- Rio Grande Phase 1 construction is advancing safely and ahead of schedule, with first gas still expected later this year and first LNG production from Train 1 in the first half of 2027.
- Management said the company completed two financings that retired about $4.6 billion of Phase 1 bank facility borrowings and improved flexibility for Train 6 and later expansions.
- Train 6 remains on track for a potential second-half 2027 FID, with FERC saying the final EIS will be issued by June 25, 2027.
- Management said interest in long-term LNG contracts has increased, helped by Middle East supply disruptions and stronger LNG pricing.
- The company sees no major labor or construction bottlenecks so far and said Bechtel’s direct-hire model and South Texas labor pool are helping execution.
The call did not include quarterly revenue, EPS, or gross margin figures. Management instead emphasized operational and financing milestones: Trains 1 and 2 were 74% complete as of June 2026, Train 3 was over 50% complete, Train 4 was 15.5% complete, and Train 5 was 9.4% complete. In June, NextDecade entered into a $1 billion term loan at 7.05% maturing in June 2033; in July, Rio Grande LNG issued $3.5 billion of senior secured notes in four tranches ($1 billion due 2031 at 5.25%, $500 million due 2034 at 5.5%, $1.25 billion due 2036 at 5.75%, and $750 million due 2041 at 6.15%). The company said the three transactions, net of fees, were used to pay down approximately $4.6 billion of Phase 1 bank facility borrowings, and it received a $109 million swap settlement receipt in July. For guidance, NextDecade still expects first gas later in 2026, first LNG from Train 1 in the first half of 2027, and continued evaluation of uncontracted volumes as visibility improves. Management also reiterated that Train 6 commercialization is targeting a second-half 2027 FID, contingent on sufficient commercial support and financing.
Matt Schatzman’s message was that NextDecade is transitioning from a development company to an operating company, and that this is one of the highest priorities for 2026. He stressed that construction is ahead of schedule, commissioning planning is underway, and the company expects to narrow its first-LNG forecast window as more visibility emerges over the next few months. He also framed Train 6 as a highly economic brownfield expansion with strong demand support, especially given current LNG market tightness and buyer interest in U.S. long-term supply.
John Zuklic focused on balance-sheet execution and capital structure cleanup. He said NextDecade completed a $1 billion term loan at 7.05% due June 2033 and a $3.5 billion 144A senior secured note issuance split across maturities in 2031, 2034, 2036, and 2041, with the notes rated BBB- by S&P and Fitch. He noted the initial order book exceeded $14 billion and that proceeds, after fees, along with a $109 million swap settlement receipt, were used to pay down about $4.6 billion of Phase 1 bank debt. He also explained that vessel charters are being treated as finance leases and that operating and maintenance expense is now being broken out separately as the company approaches operations, with O&M expected to rise through the year.
Analysts pressed management on commissioning milestones, timing for updated first-LNG guidance, and what would be critical before introducing feed gas. Schatzman pointed to completion of the LNG tank and Bay Runner pipeline, said gas introduction could be done in different sequences with Bechtel, and hoped to give more narrowed timing guidance in the fourth quarter. Questions on Middle East disruptions and Train 6 commercialization drew a bullish response: management said buyer interest has increased, SPAs could see activity over the next six months, and FERC’s review schedule supports a second-half 2027 FID. Analysts also asked about gas supply, labor competition, and whether NextDecade might buy back partner interests; management said it sees opportunity to lock in basis discounts to Henry Hub, hasn’t seen labor constraints despite broader Gulf Coast competition, and would consider acquiring additional interests if it made economic sense.
The bull case from this call is that Rio Grande Phase 1 is moving ahead of schedule while the company has already improved its financing flexibility. Management said long-term LNG demand is strengthening, Train 6 interest is increasing, and the FERC timeline now gives clearer support for a second-half 2027 FID. If execution stays on track, NextDecade believes it can add substantial future cash flow while preserving ownership of the next expansion phases.
The main risks are execution and timing: first gas, commissioning, and first LNG are still ahead, and management acknowledged the exact introduction sequence for gas is still being worked out with Bechtel. Train 6 still depends on securing commercial support and financing, and management said it would be wary of locking in back-end contract pricing because that curve is less liquid and less reliable. The broader LNG market is also exposed to geopolitical volatility, which could cut both ways if Middle East conditions shift or if supply and pricing normalize faster than expected.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 48.8%
- Shares Outstanding
- 266.19M
- Float Shares
- 129.77M
of shares held by institutions
235 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 2.00. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Blackrock, Inc. | 23.82M | ▲ 857.36K |
| Mubadala Investment Co Pjsc | 14.21M | 0 |
| Bardin Hill Investment Partners LP | 9.27M | 0 |
| Bardin Hill Management Partners LP | 9.27M | ▲ 357.02K |
| Vanguard Group Inc | 9.22M | ▼ 1.16M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 5.53M | ▼ 375.84K |
| Catalyst Capital Advisors LLC | 5.22M | 0 |
| Valinor Management, L.P. | 4.74M | ▼ 3.71M |
| York Capital Management Global Advisors, LLC | 4.26M | 0 |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 4.25M | ▲ 229.80K |
| State Street Corp | 3.80M | ▲ 251.19K |
| Millennium Management LLC | 2.25M | ▼ 299.52K |
Held by 162 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in NEXT by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 26 | de Gyarfas Vera | other | 51,935 |
| Jul 10, 26 | Schatzman Matthew K | other | 266,531 |
| Jul 6, 26 | Zuklic John | other | 0 |
| Jun 15, 26 | Brown Charles Q. Jr. | other | 11,965 |
| Jun 15, 26 | STOVER DAVID L | other | 20,565 |
| Jun 3, 26 | Bonanno Matthew W | other | 0 |
| Jun 3, 26 | Brown Charles Q. Jr. | other | 0 |
| Jun 3, 26 | STOVER DAVID L | other | 0 |
| May 13, 26 | Boylston Luke | other | 1,312 |
| Mar 23, 26 | Beall Pamela K.M. | buy | 71,500 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our NEXT coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.
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Deutsche Bank lifts Next target to 16,000p but sticks with 'hold'
proactiveinvestors.co.uk · Aug 7
NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
seekingalpha.com · Jul 31
NextDecade Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
marketbeat.com · Jul 30
NextDecade Provides Second Quarter 2026 Business Update
businesswire.com · Jul 30
NextDecade Announces Timing of Second Quarter 2026 Investor Call
gurufocus.com · Jul 10
NextDecade Announces Timing of Second Quarter 2026 Investor Call
businesswire.com · Jul 10
NextDecade Corporation Announces Pricing of $3.50 Billion Rio Grande LNG, LLC Senior Secured Notes
businesswire.com · Jun 25
NextDecade Corporation Announces Contemplated Notes Sale by Rio Grande LNG, LLC
businesswire.com · Jun 22
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