Capital One Financial Corporation
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Range $229 – $300
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About the company
Capital One Financial Corporation, identified by its ticker COF, operates as a prominent financial services holding company. It oversees essential subsidiaries such as Capital One Bank (USA), National Association, and Capital One, National Association, which collectively offer a broad spectrum of financial products and services throughout the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. The company structures its extensive operations into three core divisions: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking.
- CEO
- Richard D. Fairbank
- IPO
- 1994
- Employees
- 78,400
- HQ
- McLean, VA, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a constructive multi-month uptrend, trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. It sits well off the 52-week low and below the 52-week high, which points to a recovery regime rather than a breakout extension.
Street sentiment is constructive: consensus sits at Buy with an average target of 256.95, implying room above the current setup. Recent changes lean positive, with HSBC upgrading to Buy and UBS lifting its target to 280, even as a few firms trimmed targets into the mid-240s.
The earnings track record is mixed but still favorable, with 5 beats in the last 7 reported quarters. Next-year EPS is modeled at 24.07 versus 18.13 TTM, so shareholders should watch whether credit costs and integration execution support that step-up after the last two quarters were misses.
Recent insider activity skews to net selling, with 11 sales and no open-market buys. Most prints are discretionary officer sales, while the award and exempt transactions look like routine compensation-related noise; the pattern does not show meaningful insider accumulation.
Profitability remains solid, with a 21.87% net margin, 33.63% operating margin, and 9.03% ROE. Growth is still positive, with revenue up 11.11% year over year, while earnings growth is slightly negative at -3.2%, suggesting top-line momentum is outpacing bottom-line conversion.
COF screens as a premium consumer finance name with a 11.26 P/E, above many traditional financials but supported by strong free cash flow and a net cash position. The setup favors a quality-vs.-value debate: execution and credit discipline matter more than simple multiple compression.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $137.25B
- P/E
- 13.84
- Fwd P/E
- 10.95
- PEG
- 0.02
- P/S
- 1.75
- P/B
- 1.22
- EV/EBITDA
- 5.82
- Div Yield
- 1.34%
- Gross Margin
- 66.19%
- Op Margin
- 21.02%
- Net Margin
- 13.38%
- ROE
- 9.28%
- ROIC
- 6.83%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $69.25B+28.4%
- Gross Profit
- $32.78B+19.6%
- Op Income
- $2.28B
- Net Income
- $2.45B-48.4%
- EPS
- $4.03-65.3%
- OCF Growth
- +52.6%
- FCF Growth
- +54.2%
- 52W High
- $259.64
- 52W Low
- $174.24
- 50D MA
- $202.32
- 200D MA
- $207.62
- Beta
- 1.02
- RSI (14)
- 67
- Avg Volume
- 4.52M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Capital One posted stronger Q2 earnings and credit trends, with Discover integration and Brex adding growth but also keeping expenses, capital, and loan growth in transition.· July 21, 2026
- Earned $3 billion, or $4.73 per diluted share; adjusted EPS was $5.81 after acquisition-related items.
- Revenue rose 4% sequentially; noninterest expense rose 7%; pre-provision earnings grew 1% quarter over quarter on an adjusted basis they were flat.
- Provision for credit losses fell $1.1 billion, or 27%, to $3 billion; the allowance released $662 million and total coverage ended at 5.02%.
- Net interest margin was 8.01%, up 14 bps sequentially, helped by lower deposit costs and lower average cash.
- Management said Discover integration remains on track for $2.5 billion of synergies, with full tech migration for new originations by end of Q3 and back book conversion continuing into Q1 next year.
Capital One earned $3 billion, or $4.73 per diluted share in Q2 2026; adjusted EPS was $5.81. Revenue increased 4% from Q1, noninterest expense grew 7%, and pre-provision earnings grew 1% quarter over quarter; on an adjusted basis, pre-provision earnings were flat. The provision for credit losses decreased $1.1 billion, or 27%, to $3 billion, reflecting $3.7 billion of net charge-offs and a $662 million allowance release. Net interest margin was 8.01%, up 14 bps sequentially. CET1 ended at 13.7%, down 70 bps. Looking ahead, management said it remains on track to deliver the full $2.5 billion of announced synergies from Discover, with about one-third of operating expense synergies realized so far and the remaining operating expense synergies expected by the second half of 2027. They also said the Discover front book should be fully on Capital One’s tech stack by the end of Q3, while the back book conversion will finish in phases and not be complete until Q1 next year.
Richard Fairbank emphasized that the quarter showed solid top-line growth, strong credit performance, and steady progress on the Discover integration. He framed the current period as a transition, with temporary loan-growth “brownout” at Discover offset by the longer-term ability to use Capital One’s technology, underwriting, and marketing to reaccelerate growth later. His tone was confident and patient: he repeatedly stressed that the company is investing for long-term value, not maximizing near-term efficiency or ROTCE.
Andrew Young highlighted that Q2 earnings were $3 billion, or $4.73 per share, with adjusted EPS of $5.81 after acquisition-related items. He said revenue rose 4% sequentially while expenses rose 7%, and that the provision for credit losses fell to $3 billion as the allowance release brought total allowance to $23 billion and portfolio coverage to 5.02%. He also noted liquidity reserves of about $144 billion, cash of about $55 billion, preliminary LCR of 165%, NSFR of 136%, NIM of 8.01%, and CET1 of 13.7%.
Analysts focused on Brex integration timing, the Discover loan-growth “brownout,” NIM near-term lift from lower cash, capital return, and how much marketing and expense investment Capital One would need to support growth. Management said Brex benefits are already starting to show through shared leads, lower funding costs, and foundational work, but broader marketing and product benefits will come over time as integration deepens. On Discover, management said new-originations tech migration is expected to finish by Q3, back book migration begins in waves later this year and completes in Q1 next year, and loan contraction should persist near term before growth returns as Capital One’s underwriting and technology are fully applied.
The company is seeing strong credit, with card delinquencies and charge-offs improving and management saying recent vintages are performing well. Management also sounded confident that Discover integration is progressing on schedule, that the $2.5 billion synergy goal is still intact, and that the business can regain growth once the brownout passes and migration is complete.
Discover is still restraining loan growth, and management said the brownout will continue in the near term and likely bottom around Q4 this year. Expenses remain elevated because Capital One is still investing in technology, AI, marketing, network acceptance, and Brex, while capital fell to 13.7% and buybacks reduced CET1 further.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 99.1%
- Shares Outstanding
- 613.49M
- Float Shares
- 608.25M
of shares held by institutions
2,160 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 0.08. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for COF, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | May 1, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Apr 13, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Sell | Feb 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Jan 9, 26 | Filing → |
| Markwayne MullinSenate · OK | Buy | Dec 29, 25 | Filing → |
| Markwayne MullinSenate · OK | Buy | Dec 29, 25 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Dec 18, 25 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Nov 13, 25 | Filing → |
| Markwayne MullinSenate · OK | Buy | Nov 10, 25 | Filing → |
| Markwayne MullinSenate · OK | Buy | Nov 10, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Oct 1, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Oct 1, 25 | Filing → |
| Valerie HoyleHouse · OR04 | Sell | Sep 23, 25 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Sep 25, 25 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 56.90M | ▲ 360.07K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 51.05M | ▲ 236.64K |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 40.51M | ▲ 40.51M |
| State Street Corp | 27.80M | ▲ 243.40K |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 17.79M | ▲ 429.97K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 14.36M | ▲ 66.70K |
| Franklin Resources Inc | 13.73M | ▲ 1.25M |
| Fmr LLC | 12.56M | ▼ 6.19M |
| Harris Associates L P | 10.36M | ▼ 467.65K |
| Norges Bank | 9.98M | ▲ 9.98M |
| Morgan Stanley | 8.93M | ▲ 252.37K |
| Dodge & Cox | 8.77M | ▼ 388.13K |
Held by 1,722 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in COF by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 26 | Zamsky Michael | sell | 5,473 |
| Aug 7, 26 | Raghu Ravi | sell | 50 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Mouadeb Mark Daniel | sell | 1,183 |
| Aug 4, 26 | Cooper Matthew W | sell | 3,500 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Hanson Jason P. | other | 2,014 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Hanson Jason P. | other | 893 |
| Aug 1, 26 | Hanson Jason P. | other | 2,014 |
| Aug 3, 26 | Mouadeb Mark Daniel | sell | 690 |
| Jul 31, 26 | Raghu Ravi | sell | 3,462 |
| Jul 31, 26 | Raghu Ravi | sell | 5,820 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our COF coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Capital One Financial (COF): Payments Platform Upside
Capital One is evolving from a consumer lender into a broader payments-and-banking platform, with Discover and Brex adding scale and network economics. Strong capital, a low forward multiple, and sharp earnings growth estimates support a Buy despite integration and credit risks.

Brex in 2026: IPO Outlook + Backdoor Routes
No, Brex is not publicly traded. The realistic paths are waiting for a future IPO, looking at public proxies like BILL and AXP, or using private secondary markets if you’re accredited.

Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) slips on deep earnings read
Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) slips after a mixed quarter, but the deeper earnings analysis points to stable credit, solid pre-provision earnings, and steady Discover integration progress. Near-term margin pressure and heavier investment spending weighed on sentiment, even as the long-term payments and banking strategy continues to build.
Want a deeper read on COF?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
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Capital One Announces Quarterly Dividend
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Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 6, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice