The Progressive Corporation
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Range $198 – $259
Price Chart
About the company
The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, offers a comprehensive range of insurance products and associated services across the United States. Its portfolio includes personal and commercial vehicle coverage, residential and commercial property protection, general liability, and various other specialized property-casualty insurance options. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property.
- CEO
- Susan Patricia Griffith
- IPO
- 1980
- Employees
- 70,053
- HQ
- Mayfield Village, OH, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
PGR is still in a long-term uptrend, but the stock has been working through a consolidation below its 200-day average after a strong run toward the 52-week high. That leaves the regime constructive but no longer extended, with the next move likely driven by whether buyers can reclaim the longer-term trend line.
Street sentiment is cautious-to-neutral: the consensus sits at Hold, while the average target of $226.17 is above the last close and implies modest upside. Recent changes skew mixed, with Morgan Stanley improving to Equal-Weight even as Wells Fargo cut to Underweight and several firms trimmed targets.
Progressive has a solid recent beat pattern, topping EPS in 3 of the last 4 reported quarters and 5 of the last 7 overall. Next-year EPS estimates are easing to 16.27 from 17.99 for 2025, so shareholders should watch whether underwriting strength can offset a softer earnings trajectory.
Recent insider activity leans to net selling, led by multiple discretionary sales from senior executives and a director-CEO. The award and in-kind entries look like compensation-related noise, but the cluster of sales from the CFO, claims president, commercial lines president, and CEO is a meaningful caution signal.
Profitability remains strong, with ROE at 34.94% and net margin at 12.85%. Growth is still positive, with revenue up 7.3% year over year and earnings up 5.0%, while free cash flow of $17.90 billion and net cash of $12.94 billion leave the balance sheet in good shape.
PGR still screens as a premium property-and-casualty franchise, supported by high returns and strong cash generation versus many peers. The valuation is not cheap, but at 11.54x earnings it remains reasonable for a business with a 14.69% free-cash-flow yield and a net-cash balance sheet.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $129.50B
- P/E
- 11.16
- Fwd P/E
- 12.60
- PEG
- 0.91
- P/S
- 1.42
- P/B
- 3.78
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.95
- Div Yield
- 6.24%
- Gross Margin
- 26.91%
- Op Margin
- 16.23%
- Net Margin
- 12.85%
- ROE
- 35.40%
- ROIC
- 27.38%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $87.64B+16.3%
- Gross Profit
- $25.83B+23.6%
- Op Income
- $14.22B
- Net Income
- $11.31B+33.3%
- EPS
- $19.29+33.5%
- OCF Growth
- +16.1%
- FCF Growth
- +15.9%
- 52W High
- $252.82
- 52W Low
- $189.20
- 50D MA
- $214.29
- 200D MA
- $210.31
- Beta
- 0.26
- RSI (14)
- 60
- Avg Volume
- 3.27M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Progressive said its property turnaround is largely complete, auto growth remains strong despite a softer market, and the company is using better property health to expand bundled Robinson opportunities.· August 4, 2026
- Property profitability improved materially, with a 75 combined ratio in 2025 and a 78 year-to-date combined ratio in 2026.
- Progressive said its auto franchise remains strong, with nearly 1 in 4 U.S. households using at least one Personal Lines product and 40 million company-wide PIFs.
- Management said the Robinson bundled-home-and-auto opportunity is large, especially in agency, but property availability had constrained growth and is now being rebuilt.
- Direct auto and agency auto both remain competitive, while growth has moderated from the peak pace of 2024 and 2025.
- Capital is being returned when available; management said it is progressing toward a 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus target for most entities by year-end.
No quarterly revenue or EPS figures were provided in the transcript. On the operating side, management said Personal Lines PIFs were up 8%, including 8% growth in agency auto, 10% growth in direct auto, 1% in property and 6% in special lines. The company said it added 45,000 auto PIFs in June, took auto rate decreases in 16 states representing 37% of country-wide net written premium, and reported $1.4 billion of advertising spend in the second quarter, up 16% from last year. On property, management highlighted a 75 combined ratio in 2025 and a 78 year-to-date combined ratio in 2026, and said high-weather-risk state total insured value mix was reduced by 23% while total insured value increased 30% and modeled 1-in-100-year probable maximum loss declined by nearly 33%. Forward-looking, management said it expects most entities that can move to a 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus ratio to get there toward the end of the year, and it continues to expand availability, distribution and segmentation in both auto and property.
Tricia Griffith emphasized Progressive’s long-term operating model: using data, segmentation and broad distribution to grow profitably while keeping underwriting discipline. She framed the quarter around the company’s ability to move talent internally, the strength of its succession planning, and the importance of two major growth channels, direct and independent agency. Her tone was confident but measured, especially on growth, saying the company is proud of its PIF growth even as comparisons become tougher and the market gets more competitive.
Andrew Quigg focused on capital and shareholder returns. He said Progressive continued moving toward a 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus ratio in mid-2026, received dividends from insurance entities, and remains bullish that most entities can get there by year-end. He also said Progressive has generated more than $50 billion in net income and returned more than $30 billion to shareholders over the past two decades, and that the company’s top priority is still reinvesting capital into its high-ROE business before returning excess capital via dividends or share repurchases. He noted that share repurchases have been higher this year and are evaluated using intrinsic value, peer, and historical valuation benchmarks.
Analysts focused on the personal auto growth outlook, frequency trends, the 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus target, capital deployment, Florida homeowners, and whether AI could affect costs and competitiveness. Management said auto growth has slowed from the very elevated 2024-2025 pace, but conversion remains strong, the company is still winning business, and it is taking targeted rate cuts, increasing advertising and agent incentives, and improving segmentation and product models. On frequency, management said personal auto frequency was down about 2.5% in the quarter and 2% trailing 12 months, with no sign of an uptick. On Florida, management said tort reform helped and that underwriting appetite will stay disciplined; growth will only come where target margins are achievable, not because capital is available.
The main bull case from the call is that Progressive appears to have re-established a healthier property business that can support future Robinson bundle growth. Management also said auto remains highly competitive, with strong conversion, 40 million PIFs company-wide, and continued gains in both direct and agency. If property availability keeps expanding and the company continues to improve agent and customer friction, Progressive could capture more of a large, underpenetrated bundled household market.
The main bear case is that growth has clearly moderated from the peak pace, while competition is increasing and shopping appears to be leveling off. Management also acknowledged that earlier property actions created friction and reduced agent consideration in some segments, and agency Robinson growth slowed while the turnaround was underway. In addition, auto pricing remains under pressure in a softer market, and management said it will accept losing volume where pricing is not adequate.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
- Free Float
- 100.2%
- Shares Outstanding
- 581.40M
- Float Shares
- 582.68M
of shares held by institutions
1,818 13F filers
Buy/sell ratio 1.77. Sells can include pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sales, not just discretionary selling.
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for PGR, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alan ArmstrongSenate | Sell | Mar 27, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Jun 16, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Apr 13, 26 | Filing → |
| David TaylorHouse · OH02 | Buy | Apr 27, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Mar 30, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Sell | Feb 10, 26 | Filing → |
| David TaylorHouse · OH02 | Buy | Feb 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Jan 9, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jan 29, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jan 13, 26 | Filing → |
| David TaylorHouse · OH02 | Buy | Jan 16, 26 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Dec 18, 25 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Nov 13, 25 | Filing → |
| David TaylorHouse · OH02 | Buy | Nov 3, 25 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 55.26M | ▲ 593.61K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 48.05M | ▼ 4.27M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 38.15M | ▲ 49.83K |
| Capital Research Global Investors | 26.55M | ▲ 3.97M |
| State Street Corp | 26.53M | ▲ 656.25K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 17.01M | ▲ 753.13K |
| Capital World Investors | 12.49M | ▼ 1.68M |
| Bank Of America Corp | 12.28M | ▼ 595.18K |
| Fmr LLC | 11.21M | ▲ 3.38M |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 10.30M | ▼ 1.83M |
| Morgan Stanley | 9.31M | ▲ 465.35K |
| Alliancebernstein L.P. | 9.18M | ▼ 986.88K |
Held by 1,970 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in PGR by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Niederst Lori A | sell | 7,339 |
| Jul 28, 26 | Quigg Andrew J | sell | 3,499 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Murphy John Jo | sell | 8,124 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Griffith Susan Patricia | sell | 37,338 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Bauer Jonathan S. | sell | 2,242 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Bailo Karen | sell | 8,452 |
| Jul 24, 26 | WITALEC DANIEL J | other | 2,422.24 |
| Jul 24, 26 | WITALEC DANIEL J | other | 706 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Stringer David M | other | 529.502 |
| Jul 24, 26 | Stringer David M | other | 235 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our PGR coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Progressive (PGR): Growth and Underwriting Still Shine
Progressive is pairing rapid policy growth with elite underwriting, making it one of the strongest operators in U.S. auto insurance. The stock still looks attractive, but valuation is no longer cheap after a big run.

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Forecasts for a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season may make insurers look like easy buys, but storm counts say little about where losses will land. The stronger trade is in carriers with pricing power, disciplined underwriting, and balance sheets built to absorb a bad season.

Insurance Stocks That Reward Quality: 7 August 2026 Picks
Seven insurance stocks are ranked by investment quality, with Allstate, Progressive, Hartford, Cincinnati Financial and CNO offering distinct risk-and-return profiles.
Want a deeper read on PGR?
Generate a full analyst-grade report — bull/bear case, price targets, valuation depth, and a complete financial breakdown.
Progressive's July Earnings Decline Y/Y on Escalating Expenses
zacks.com · Aug 20
Aurora Investment Counsel Makes New $2.33 Million Investment in The Progressive Corporation $PGR
defenseworld.net · Aug 20
Progressive Reports July 2026 Results
globenewswire.com · Aug 19
Billionaire Bruce Berkowitz Reveals 76% Of Fairholme Capital Is in Just 1 Stock
247wallst.com · Aug 18
United Therapeutics Corporation Announces Full Enrollment of the TETON-PPF Study of Inhaled Treprostinil for the Treatment of Progressive Pulmonary Fibrosis
businesswire.com · Aug 17
Berkshire Hathaway vs. Progressive: Which Insurance Powerhouse Leads?
zacks.com · Aug 14
Progressive (PGR) Up 1.5% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
zacks.com · Aug 14
6,491 Shares in The Progressive Corporation $PGR Bought by Accurate Wealth Management LLC
defenseworld.net · Aug 13
Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed August 16, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice