The Progressive Corporation
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About the company
The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, offers a comprehensive range of insurance products and associated services across the United States. Its portfolio includes personal and commercial vehicle coverage, residential and commercial property protection, general liability, and various other specialized property-casualty insurance options. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property.
- CEO
- Susan Patricia Griffith
- IPO
- 1980
- Employees
- 70,053
- HQ
- Mayfield Village, OH, US
AI snapshot
Six angles, distilled from the data.
The stock is in a cooling phase after a strong multi-month run, still trading above its 200-day average but below its 50-day line. It sits well under the 52-week high and closer to the middle of its yearly range, which points to consolidation rather than a fresh breakout.
Street sentiment is constructive but not euphoric: the consensus sits at Hold, while the average target of $222.62 is above the latest close and the median target is $228. Recent changes lean mixed-to-positive, with upgrades from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods and several reiterated Buy/Outperform calls offset by a few target trims.
The setup favors another solid report, with Progressive beating EPS in 5 of the last 7 quarters and the last three prints all topping estimates. Next-year EPS estimates are still above the current-year view, but they step down from 2026 to 2027, so shareholders should watch underwriting discipline and margin durability.
Recent insider activity leans clearly toward net selling, led by multiple discretionary sales from the CEO and several other officers. The award and in-kind entries look like compensation-related noise, but the repeated sales across senior leadership suggest management has been trimming into strength.
Profitability remains strong, with a 34.94% ROE, 18.21% operating margin, and 12.85% net margin. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year and free cash flow reached $17.90 billion, supported by $19.84 billion of cash against $6.90 billion of debt and a net cash position of $12.94 billion.
Progressive still screens as a premium P&C name, backed by a 0.259 beta and stronger profitability than most large-cap insurers. At 11.41x earnings, the valuation is not stretched for a high-ROE franchise, though the market is already paying for that quality.
Similar companies
Peers in the same neighborhood.
- Market Cap
- $123.91B
- P/E
- 10.67
- PEG
- 0.87
- P/S
- 1.36
- P/B
- 25.33
- EV/EBITDA
- 8.60
- Div Yield
- 6.52%
- Gross Margin
- 26.91%
- Op Margin
- 16.23%
- Net Margin
- 12.85%
- ROE
- 46.04%
- ROIC
- 21.72%
Latest fiscal year · YoY change
- Revenue
- $87.64B+16.3%
- Gross Profit
- $25.83B+23.6%
- Op Income
- $14.22B
- Net Income
- $11.31B+33.3%
- EPS
- $19.29+33.5%
- OCF Growth
- +16.1%
- FCF Growth
- +15.9%
- 52W High
- $245.64
- 52W Low
- $189.20
- 50D MA
- $214.34
- 200D MA
- $209.08
- Beta
- 0.26
- Avg Volume
- 2.68M
Earnings call summaries
Pick a quarter — each call distilled into takeaways, results, and a bull vs bear read.
Progressive said its property turnaround is largely complete, auto growth remains strong despite a softer market, and the company is using better property health to expand bundled Robinson opportunities.· August 4, 2026
- Property profitability improved materially, with a 75 combined ratio in 2025 and a 78 year-to-date combined ratio in 2026.
- Progressive said its auto franchise remains strong, with nearly 1 in 4 U.S. households using at least one Personal Lines product and 40 million company-wide PIFs.
- Management said the Robinson bundled-home-and-auto opportunity is large, especially in agency, but property availability had constrained growth and is now being rebuilt.
- Direct auto and agency auto both remain competitive, while growth has moderated from the peak pace of 2024 and 2025.
- Capital is being returned when available; management said it is progressing toward a 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus target for most entities by year-end.
No quarterly revenue or EPS figures were provided in the transcript. On the operating side, management said Personal Lines PIFs were up 8%, including 8% growth in agency auto, 10% growth in direct auto, 1% in property and 6% in special lines. The company said it added 45,000 auto PIFs in June, took auto rate decreases in 16 states representing 37% of country-wide net written premium, and reported $1.4 billion of advertising spend in the second quarter, up 16% from last year. On property, management highlighted a 75 combined ratio in 2025 and a 78 year-to-date combined ratio in 2026, and said high-weather-risk state total insured value mix was reduced by 23% while total insured value increased 30% and modeled 1-in-100-year probable maximum loss declined by nearly 33%. Forward-looking, management said it expects most entities that can move to a 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus ratio to get there toward the end of the year, and it continues to expand availability, distribution and segmentation in both auto and property.
Tricia Griffith emphasized Progressive’s long-term operating model: using data, segmentation and broad distribution to grow profitably while keeping underwriting discipline. She framed the quarter around the company’s ability to move talent internally, the strength of its succession planning, and the importance of two major growth channels, direct and independent agency. Her tone was confident but measured, especially on growth, saying the company is proud of its PIF growth even as comparisons become tougher and the market gets more competitive.
Andrew Quigg focused on capital and shareholder returns. He said Progressive continued moving toward a 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus ratio in mid-2026, received dividends from insurance entities, and remains bullish that most entities can get there by year-end. He also said Progressive has generated more than $50 billion in net income and returned more than $30 billion to shareholders over the past two decades, and that the company’s top priority is still reinvesting capital into its high-ROE business before returning excess capital via dividends or share repurchases. He noted that share repurchases have been higher this year and are evaluated using intrinsic value, peer, and historical valuation benchmarks.
Analysts focused on the personal auto growth outlook, frequency trends, the 3.5:1 premium-to-surplus target, capital deployment, Florida homeowners, and whether AI could affect costs and competitiveness. Management said auto growth has slowed from the very elevated 2024-2025 pace, but conversion remains strong, the company is still winning business, and it is taking targeted rate cuts, increasing advertising and agent incentives, and improving segmentation and product models. On frequency, management said personal auto frequency was down about 2.5% in the quarter and 2% trailing 12 months, with no sign of an uptick. On Florida, management said tort reform helped and that underwriting appetite will stay disciplined; growth will only come where target margins are achievable, not because capital is available.
The main bull case from the call is that Progressive appears to have re-established a healthier property business that can support future Robinson bundle growth. Management also said auto remains highly competitive, with strong conversion, 40 million PIFs company-wide, and continued gains in both direct and agency. If property availability keeps expanding and the company continues to improve agent and customer friction, Progressive could capture more of a large, underpenetrated bundled household market.
The main bear case is that growth has clearly moderated from the peak pace, while competition is increasing and shopping appears to be leveling off. Management also acknowledged that earlier property actions created friction and reduced agent consideration in some segments, and agency Robinson growth slowed while the turnaround was underway. In addition, auto pricing remains under pressure in a softer market, and management said it will accept losing volume where pricing is not adequate.
AI summary of the company's earnings call · Paraphrased · Not investment advice
of shares held by institutions
1,880 13F filers
Congressional trading
Senate and House stock disclosures for PGR, newest first.
| Member | Type | Traded | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Sell | Jul 17, 26 | Filing → |
| Alan ArmstrongSenate | Sell | Mar 27, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Jun 16, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Apr 13, 26 | Filing → |
| David J. TaylorHouse · OH02 | Buy | Apr 27, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Buy | Mar 30, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Sell | Feb 10, 26 | Filing → |
| David J. TaylorHouse · OH02 | Buy | Feb 10, 26 | Filing → |
| Gilbert Ray CisnerosHouse · CA31 | Buy | Jan 9, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jan 13, 26 | Filing → |
| Ro KhannaHouse · CA17 | Sell | Jan 29, 26 | Filing → |
| David J. TaylorHouse · OH02 | Buy | Jan 16, 26 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Dec 18, 25 | Filing → |
| Julie JohnsonHouse · TX32 | Sell | Nov 13, 25 | Filing → |
Source: public STOCK Act disclosures. Filed weeks after the trade — a lagging signal, not a real-time one.
Top institutional holders
Largest 13F positions, with quarter-over-quarter change.
| Holder | Shares | Δ Quarter |
|---|---|---|
| Vanguard Group Inc | 55.26M | ▲ 593.61K |
| Blackrock, Inc. | 48.05M | ▼ 4.27M |
| Vanguard Capital Management LLC | 38.15M | ▲ 49.83K |
| Capital Research Global Investors | 26.55M | ▲ 3.97M |
| State Street Corp | 26.53M | ▲ 656.25K |
| Geode Capital Management, LLC | 17.01M | ▲ 753.13K |
| Capital World Investors | 12.49M | ▼ 1.68M |
| Bank Of America Corp | 12.28M | ▼ 595.18K |
| Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC | 11.69M | ▼ 9.75K |
| Fmr LLC | 11.21M | ▲ 3.38M |
| Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 10.30M | ▼ 1.83M |
| Morgan Stanley | 9.31M | ▲ 465.35K |
Held by 2,026 ETFs
Biggest fund positions in PGR by dollar value.
Recent insider transactions
Who's buying, who's selling, and how much.
| Date | Insider | Type | Shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 26 | Broz Steven | sell | 1,225 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Griffith Susan Patricia | sell | 37,338 |
| Sep 1, 26 | Griffith Susan Patricia | other | 1,598 |
| Aug 20, 26 | Broz Steven | sell | 1,225 |
| Aug 13, 26 | Niederst Lori A | sell | 7,339 |
| Jul 28, 26 | Quigg Andrew J | sell | 3,499 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Murphy John Jo | sell | 8,124 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Griffith Susan Patricia | sell | 37,338 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Bauer Jonathan S. | sell | 2,242 |
| Jul 27, 26 | Bailo Karen | sell | 8,452 |
A “Sell” may be a pre-scheduled 10b5-1 plan sale rather than a discretionary decision — read insider selling with that in mind.
Our PGR coverage
Recent articles, reports, and earnings notes.

Progressive (PGR): Growth and Underwriting Still Shine
Progressive is pairing rapid policy growth with elite underwriting, making it one of the strongest operators in U.S. auto insurance. The stock still looks attractive, but valuation is no longer cheap after a big run.

Insurer earnings are not proof catastrophe risk is gone
AIG and Travelers are showing genuine underwriting improvement and benefiting from higher investment income, but lower catastrophe losses are doing real work in the earnings comparison. The market should treat these results as evidence of a favorable period—not proof that claims severity has been permanently repriced.

A quiet hurricane season is not a safe insurance trade
Forecasts for a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season may make insurers look like easy buys, but storm counts say little about where losses will land. The stronger trade is in carriers with pricing power, disciplined underwriting, and balance sheets built to absorb a bad season.
Want a deeper read on PGR?
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Headlines from third-party outlets — TickerSpark isn't affiliated with these sources.
AI analysis · Last refreshed September 30, 2026 · Live quote · Not investment advice